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Afturelding vs Dalvík / Reynir Result & Analysis

Date: 08/06/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 4-3
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
59%
22%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dalvík / Reynir
Dalvík / Reynir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-733D70W41W41W11D24L13L03L11D10WH·LEI23/02H·DAL09/03A·LEI13/04H·DAL25/04H·GRO03/05A·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.401.772.871.471.932.07
vs Stronger (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
vs Similar (17)2.122.242.712.001.702.40
vs Weaker (12)2.920.923.001.002.750.75
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-706L05L07L20W14L31W03L00D11D22DA·IA 24/02H·VIK02/03A·AFT09/03H·KF12/04A·AFT25/04H·IBV04/05A·NJA09/05H·FJO18/05A·IR 25/05H·GRO01/06
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.833.081.172.170.504.00
vs Stronger (6)0.334.170.002.500.505.00
vs Similar (6)1.332.001.752.000.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
Under 2.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
Afturelding goals ↓
Dalvík / Reynir goals →
01234
04.6%3.3%2.4%0.9%0.3%
17.0%10%5.2%2.0%0.6%
28.5%9.8%5.6%2.2%0.6%
36.1%7.0%4.0%1.6%0.4%
43.3%3.8%2.2%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = Dalvík / Reynir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
Dalvík / Reynir
0.59
Afturelding is 1.13 points better than Dalvík / Reynir in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 0.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
Dalvík / Reynir
1.05
Afturelding is 0.67 goals better than Dalvík / Reynir in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
Dalvík / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
Afturelding is 0.75 goals better than Dalvík / Reynir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D50W20W10W10W21W12L01L00D00DH·LEI23/02H·DAL09/03A·LEI13/04H·DAL25/04H·GRO03/05A·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.701.470.600.800.80
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (17)1.060.941.290.710.901.10
vs Weaker (12)1.330.331.620.500.750.00
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L02L05L10W01L21W01L00D01L20WA·IA 24/02H·VIK02/03A·AFT09/03H·KF12/04A·AFT25/04H·IBV04/05A·NJA09/05H·FJO18/05A·IR 25/05H·GRO01/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.451.000.600.172.17
vs Stronger (6)0.172.170.001.000.252.75
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.670.330.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W21W31W01L03L01L02L11D10WH·LEI23/02H·DAL09/03A·LEI13/04H·DAL25/04H·GRO03/05A·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.071.400.871.131.27
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.061.291.431.290.801.30
vs Weaker (12)1.580.581.380.502.000.75
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dalvík / Reynir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L02L10W13L10W02L00D10W02LA·IA 24/02H·VIK02/03A·AFT09/03H·KF12/04A·AFT25/04H·IBV04/05A·NJA09/05H·FJO18/05A·IR 25/05H·GRO01/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.361.450.401.000.331.83
vs Stronger (6)0.172.000.001.500.252.25
vs Similar (5)0.600.800.670.670.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dalvík / Reynir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
AFT wins
0
Draws
0
D/R wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs Dalvík / Reynir · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/24HAFT Vs Dalvík / Reynir4-1
09/03/24HAFT Vs Dalvík / Reynir7-0

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs AFT0-1
25/05/24HAFT Vs Grindavik1-1
21/05/24AKeflavik Vs AFT3-0
17/05/24HAFT Vs Valur Reykjavik1-3
09/05/24AThor Akureyri Vs AFT4-2
03/05/24HAFT Vs Grotta1-1
25/04/24HAFT Vs Dalvík / Reynir4-1
13/04/24ALeiknir R. Vs AFT1-4
09/03/24HAFT Vs Dalvík / Reynir7-0
23/02/24HAFT Vs Leiknir R.3-3

Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/24HD/R Vs Grotta2-2
25/05/24AIR Reykjavik Vs D/R1-1
18/05/24HD/R Vs Fjolnir0-0
09/05/24ANjardvik Vs D/R3-0
04/05/24HD/R Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-1
25/04/24AAfturelding Vs D/R4-1
12/04/24HD/R Vs KF2-0
09/03/24AAfturelding Vs D/R7-0
02/03/24HD/R Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-5
24/02/24AIA Akranes Vs D/R6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.68
HomeWWDLD1.74
AwayLWLLW1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals4.144.224.07
Over 1.5 %88%87%89%
Over 2.5 %76%65%85%
Over 3.5 %60%57%63%
Scored2.402.742.11
Conceded1.741.481.96
BTTS68%57%78%
Clean Sheet22%30%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Dalvík / Reynir
Dalvík / Reynir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD0.75
HomeLWWDD1.33
AwayLLLLD0.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%33%0%
AVG goals3.923.334.50
Over 1.5 %92%83%100%
Over 2.5 %75%67%83%
Over 3.5 %67%67%67%
Scored0.831.170.50
Conceded3.082.174.00
BTTS42%33%50%
Clean Sheet17%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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