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Afturelding vs Ægir Result & Analysis

Date: 09/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 5-0
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
73%
14%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ægir
Ægir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ægir win✗ Miss
12.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-910W31W90W25L11D12L22D21W02L24LH·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07H·GRO02/08H·GRI10/08A·VES16/08A·NJA20/08H·LEI26/08A·FJO31/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.471.772.531.672.401.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)2.521.782.751.832.271.73
vs Weaker (7)2.291.711.671.002.752.25
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-723L10W15L22D13L23L04L22D27L05LA·LEI12/07H·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.152.851.002.401.303.30
vs Stronger (20)1.152.851.002.401.303.30
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %5% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%17%25%34%1%03%110%215%318%418%534%6+
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (34%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
95.5%
Under 1.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
85.4%
Under 2.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
74.4%
No
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
3-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
4-2
4.6%
Afturelding goals ↓
Ægir goals →
01234
01.3%0.8%0.9%0.4%0.2%
12.4%4.5%3.0%1.5%0.5%
24.7%6.8%5.0%2.4%0.9%
35.2%7.5%5.5%2.7%1.0%
44.3%6.2%4.6%2.2%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = Ægir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Afturelding is 1.59 points better than Ægir in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Afturelding is 1.55 goals better than Ægir in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Afturelding is 1.69 goals better than Ægir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 3.05).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W40W01L01L01L02L11D01L12LH·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07H·GRO02/08H·GRI10/08A·VES16/08A·NJA20/08H·LEI26/08A·FJO31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.671.200.601.000.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.170.701.330.581.000.82
vs Weaker (7)0.860.570.670.671.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ÆgirÆgir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W02L12L01L02L02L22D02L03LA·LEI12/07H·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.150.601.200.601.10
vs Stronger (20)0.601.150.601.200.601.10
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W50W24L10W11D20W10W01L12LH·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07H·GRO02/08H·GRI10/08A·VES16/08A·NJA20/08H·LEI26/08A·FJO31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.101.331.071.401.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.091.421.251.270.91
vs Weaker (7)1.431.141.000.331.751.75
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ÆgirÆgir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D13L10W12L21W02L00D25L02LA·LEI12/07H·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.700.401.200.702.20
vs Stronger (20)0.551.700.401.200.702.20
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.595.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.585.4%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes74.4%-------✗ Miss
Home win72.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Afturelding and Ægir have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Afturelding and Ægir have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Afturelding and Ægir have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Afturelding and Ægir have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AFT wins
0
Draws
0
ÆGI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs Ægir · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
07/07/23AÆgir Vs AFT1-4

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/23AFjolnir Vs AFT4-2
26/08/23HAFT Vs Leiknir R.0-2
20/08/23ANjardvik Vs AFT1-2
16/08/23AVestri Vs AFT2-2
10/08/23HAFT Vs Grindavik1-2
02/08/23HAFT Vs Grotta1-1
28/07/23HAFT Vs IA Akranes2-5
21/07/23HAFT Vs Selfoss9-0
16/07/23AThor Akureyri Vs AFT1-3
12/07/23HAFT Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-0

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23HÆGI Vs Vestri0-5
25/08/23AGrindavik Vs ÆGI7-2
21/08/23HÆGI Vs Grotta2-2
16/08/23AIA Akranes Vs ÆGI4-0
11/08/23HÆGI Vs Thor Akureyri2-3
02/08/23ASelfoss Vs ÆGI3-1
27/07/23HÆGI Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2
21/07/23AFjolnir Vs ÆGI5-1
16/07/23HÆGI Vs Njardvik1-0
12/07/23ALeiknir R. Vs ÆGI3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.64
HomeWLDLL1.62
AwayWWDWL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals3.883.863.90
Over 1.5 %88%86%90%
Over 2.5 %69%57%81%
Over 3.5 %55%48%62%
Scored2.212.292.14
Conceded1.671.571.76
BTTS69%62%76%
Clean Sheet17%19%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Ægir
Ægir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.45
HomeWDLDL0.50
AwayLLLLL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%10%10%
AVG goals4.003.404.60
Over 1.5 %85%70%100%
Over 2.5 %85%70%100%
Over 3.5 %75%70%80%
Scored1.151.001.30
Conceded2.852.403.30
BTTS75%60%90%
Clean Sheet5%10%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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