PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Afturelding vs Grotta Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2023
Time: 19:15
Final 1-1
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
64%
19%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✗ Miss
64.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grotta win✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-930W31W72W22D43W41W10W31W90W25LA·GRI01/06H·VES10/06H·NJA16/06A·LEI23/06H·FJO29/06A·ÆGI07/07H·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
3.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.671.603.001.572.381.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)2.671.622.921.692.361.55
vs Weaker (6)2.671.504.000.002.401.80
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L51W22D21W12L10W20W31W13L03LH·AFT26/05H·LEI02/06A·FJO08/06H·ÆGI15/06A·THR22/06H·SEL28/06H·GRI16/07A·NJA21/07A·THO25/07A·VES29/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.572.271.331.001.80
vs Stronger (17)1.651.242.331.110.881.38
vs Similar (12)1.582.082.201.801.142.29
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%2%06%115%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.5%
Under 1.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.2%
Under 2.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.6%
No
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
1-1 ✓
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
Afturelding goals ↓
Grotta goals →
01234
02.5%1.8%1.7%0.8%0.3%
14.2%7.2%4.4%2.0%0.7%
26.4%8.7%5.9%2.7%0.9%
35.7%7.7%5.2%2.3%0.8%
43.8%5.1%3.4%1.6%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = Grotta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Afturelding is 0.82 points better than Grotta in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Afturelding is 1.05 goals better than Grotta in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Afturelding is 0.32 goals better than Grotta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W42W01L41W00D00D21W40W01LA·GRI01/06H·VES10/06H·NJA16/06A·LEI23/06H·FJO29/06A·ÆGI07/07H·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.571.500.500.810.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.170.621.460.540.820.73
vs Weaker (6)1.000.332.000.000.800.40
Clean sheet %57% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L31W11D00D10W10W10W11D01L01LH·AFT26/05H·LEI02/06A·FJO08/06H·ÆGI15/06A·THR22/06H·SEL28/06H·GRI16/07A·NJA21/07A·THO25/07A·VES29/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.731.000.730.330.73
vs Stronger (17)0.590.651.000.780.120.50
vs Similar (12)0.830.921.200.800.571.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D30W21W02L41W10W10W50W24LA·GRI01/06H·VES10/06H·NJA16/06A·LEI23/06H·FJO29/06A·ÆGI07/07H·THR12/07A·THO16/07H·SEL21/07H·IA 28/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.031.501.071.561.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.501.001.461.151.550.82
vs Weaker (6)1.671.172.000.001.601.40
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W11D21W02L00D10W20W12L02LH·AFT26/05H·LEI02/06A·FJO08/06H·ÆGI15/06A·THR22/06H·SEL28/06H·GRI16/07A·NJA21/07A·THO25/07A·VES29/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.270.600.671.07
vs Stronger (17)1.060.591.330.330.750.88
vs Similar (12)0.751.171.001.000.571.29
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AFT wins
1
Draws
1
GRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs Grotta · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23AGrotta Vs AFT2-3
12/08/22AGrotta Vs AFT4-2
03/06/22HAFT Vs Grotta2-2

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/23HAFT Vs IA Akranes2-5
21/07/23HAFT Vs Selfoss9-0
16/07/23AThor Akureyri Vs AFT1-3
12/07/23HAFT Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-0
07/07/23AÆgir Vs AFT1-4
29/06/23HAFT Vs Fjolnir4-3
23/06/23ALeiknir R. Vs AFT2-2
16/06/23HAFT Vs Njardvik7-2
10/06/23HAFT Vs Vestri3-1
01/06/23AGrindavik Vs AFT0-3

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23AVestri Vs GRO3-0
25/07/23AThor Akureyri Vs GRO3-1
21/07/23ANjardvik Vs GRO1-3
16/07/23HGRO Vs Grindavik2-0
28/06/23HGRO Vs Selfoss1-0
22/06/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs GRO2-1
15/06/23HGRO Vs Ægir2-1
08/06/23AFjolnir Vs GRO2-2
02/06/23HGRO Vs Leiknir R.5-1
26/05/23HGRO Vs Afturelding2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.78
HomeWWWWL1.83
AwayWWDWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%56%50%
AVG goals3.974.113.83
Over 1.5 %86%83%89%
Over 2.5 %69%61%78%
Over 3.5 %58%56%61%
Scored2.362.562.17
Conceded1.611.561.67
BTTS67%61%72%
Clean Sheet19%22%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.60
HomeLWWWW2.28
AwayDLWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%72%24%
AVG goals3.313.722.88
Over 1.5 %77%83%71%
Over 2.5 %69%67%71%
Over 3.5 %49%56%41%
Scored1.832.561.06
Conceded1.491.171.82
BTTS63%61%65%
Clean Sheet31%39%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches