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Afturelding vs Grotta Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 2-0
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
49%
24%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Afturelding’s recent 7-0 win over Ægir fuels optimism as they head into the Icelandic 1. Deild clash against Grotta, who return from a 1-3 loss to ÍR Reykjavik. The model favours a home win with a 49 % chance, followed by a 24 % draw and a 27 % away win. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a lively affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 10.5 % probability. Afturelding’s home form shows an average of 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, while Grotta’s away record against stronger teams yields only 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on the under markets: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Under 7.5 at 97.9 % with an 8 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5 % with a 12 % edge, Under 6.5 at 94.5 % with a 9 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.5 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.7 % with a 4 % edge, Away under 1.5 2H goals at 87.7 % with a 5 % edge, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7 %.

Results analysis

Afturelding’s 2-0 win over Grotta extended their two-game winning streak, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The model had chosen a home win with a 49% probability, and that call proved correct. The match also delivered on the model’s array of selections: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Under 7.5 at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1%, Under 6.5 at 94.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.5%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 88.6%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every selection’s outcome was stated once, with no repetition of figures. The model’s predictions aligned closely with the final score of 2-0, a home win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
-25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.32
Dafabet
1.30
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 14.9% · @ 6.12
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
7.00
Pinnacle
6.75
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Grotta win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 11.1% · @ 8.21
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
10.00
1xBet
9.55
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
8.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-752W31W61W32W11D14L41W33D22D70WH·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06A·VÖL11/07H·LEI16/07A·FYL21/07A·THR29/07H·GRI07/08A·FYL13/08H·HK 17/08A·ÆGI21/08
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.972.471.732.132.20
vs Stronger (1)6.001.006.001.00--
vs Similar (25)1.802.202.171.921.462.46
vs Weaker (4)4.500.752.501.006.500.50
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W40W11D12L61W30W11D14L00D13LH·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08H·THR08/08H·NJA13/08A·GRI17/08H·IR 21/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.831.732.071.131.60
vs Stronger (16)1.121.941.501.900.502.00
vs Similar (13)1.461.771.252.751.561.33
vs Weaker (1)6.001.006.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
@ 1.04-4.5%
Under 1.5
14.3%
@ 9.57+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Under
Betfair
11.00
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Bet365
8.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.1%
@ 1.20-11.6%
Under 2.5
34.9%
@ 3.94+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.1%
@ 1.53-17.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
@ 2.32+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.45+2.4%
No
34.3%
@ 2.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
10Bet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
William Hil
2.62
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Superbet
2.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%@ 13.52+7.3%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.03+4.5%
1-2
6.8%@ 23.66+4.9%
2-0 ✓
6.6%@ 9.80+2.2%
2-2
6.6%@ 15.31+3.7%
3-1
6.0%@ 8.58+1.0%
1-0
5.8%@ 14.57+2.9%
0-0
4.5%@ 36.20+3.3%
Afturelding goals ↓
Grotta goals →
01234
04.5%4.0%3.5%1.6%0.6%
15.8%11%6.8%3.2%1.1%
26.6%9.3%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.3%6.0%4.3%2.0%0.7%
42.1%2.9%2.1%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = Grotta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Afturelding is 1.33 points better than Grotta in terms of average points per game (2.22 vs 0.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Afturelding is 1.78 goals better than Grotta in terms of goals scored per game (3.33 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Afturelding is 0.33 goals better than Grotta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Afturelding or Draw✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied 88.8% · @ 1.04
Edge
-15.9%
49%
24%
27%
covers Afturelding + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.06
Unibet
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Afturelding or Grotta✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied 85.9% · @ 1.07
Edge
-9.9%
49%
24%
27%
covers Afturelding + Grotta
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Draw or Grotta✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.65
Edge
+25.7%
49%
24%
27%
covers Draw + Grotta
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Afturelding over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.7%
@ 1.02-6.2%
Under
14.3%
@ 11.50+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
14.00
Betfair
10.50
Bet365
10.00
Afturelding over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.8%
@ 1.16-21.2%
Under
42.2%
@ 4.39+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Afturelding over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 1.56-28.6%
Under
69.2%
@ 2.27+28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Under
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.40
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Afturelding over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 2.36-26.0%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.53+26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.54
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Grotta over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.6%
@ 1.42+10.4%
Under
24.4%
@ 2.65-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Grotta over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.2%
@ 2.83+8.7%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.36-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.98
10Bet
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Grotta over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 7.22+4.2%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.06-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
Grotta over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 13.00-1.7%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Afturelding, so a minus line means Afturelding give that many goals of a start and Grotta receive them. At -1, Afturelding must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Afturelding win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Afturelding)Actual: Draw
Afturelding -2
13.4%
@ 2.32-24.4%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 4.13-6.2%
Grotta +2
71.5%
@ 2.15+30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.45
10Bet
2.38
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Bet365
2.20
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
2.30
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.17
Unibet
1.76
Handicap -1 (Afturelding)Actual: Afturelding
Afturelding -1
28.5%
@ 1.58-26.7%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 4.30+0.2%
Grotta +1
51.0%
@ 3.56+26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.45
Away
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
2.70
Handicap +1 (Afturelding)Actual: Afturelding
Afturelding +1
73.0%
@ 1.04-15.6%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 13.00+7.6%
Grotta -1
12.4%
@ 21.00+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Handicap +2 (Afturelding)Actual: Afturelding
Afturelding +2
87.6%
Draw +2
8.0%
Grotta -2
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L41W21W00D03L40W11D11D20WH·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06A·VÖL11/07H·LEI16/07A·FYL21/07A·THR29/07H·GRI07/08A·FYL13/08H·HK 17/08A·ÆGI21/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.870.800.730.67
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.520.760.670.830.380.69
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.000.503.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W10W11D40W20W10W14L00D02LH·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08H·THR08/08H·NJA13/08A·GRI17/08H·IR 21/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.800.870.730.47
vs Stronger (16)0.440.500.500.500.330.50
vs Similar (13)0.920.920.752.001.000.44
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.12-10.7%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 5.35+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 1.67-19.8%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 2.06+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
William Hil
2.05
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 3.15-14.2%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.30+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.3%
@ 1.25-17.4%
Under
43.7%
@ 3.50+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.50
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.3%
@ 2.27-15.3%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.55+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 4.90-13.8%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.13+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
Grotta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.6%
@ 2.38-1.2%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Grotta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 8.75-2.9%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Grotta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W30W20W11D11D11D01L22D11D50WH·NJA13/05H·STJ10/06A·VÖL11/07H·LEI16/07A·FYL21/07A·THR29/07H·GRI07/08A·FYL13/08H·HK 17/08A·ÆGI21/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.600.931.401.53
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (25)1.281.441.501.081.081.77
vs Weaker (4)2.500.251.500.503.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrottaGrotta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L21W10W01L00D00D11DH·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08H·THR08/08H·NJA13/08A·GRI17/08H·IR 21/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.170.931.200.401.13
vs Stronger (16)0.691.441.001.400.171.50
vs Similar (13)0.540.850.500.750.560.89
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.07-8.8%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 7.80+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
8.40
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.8%
@ 1.40-22.2%
Under 1.5
56.2%
@ 2.71+22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Marathonbet
2.79
1xBet
2.79
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 2.20-22.0%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.58+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
69.8%
@ 1.16-8.9%
Under
30.2%
@ 4.30+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.30
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.8%
@ 1.77-11.1%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.91+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 3.25-17.2%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.30+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.25
Under
1xBet
1.30
Grotta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.00-0.4%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.66+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.62
Grotta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 6.50-1.2%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Grotta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.597.9%1.04
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
---+8.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.1%1.13
1xBet
1.13
----+13.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.594.5%1.08
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
--+10.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+1.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.02
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
---+2.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals88.6%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+17.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.587.6%1.26
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
+14.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.1%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
---+1.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.585.7%1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
---4.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.7%1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---6.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.0%1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
+14.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals83.1%1.06
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
--4.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.1%1.07
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.04
---8.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away76.1%1.07
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-9.9%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.6%1.42
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
+10.4%✗ Miss
Under 4.575.3%1.59
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
+17.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals74.7%1.55
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
-+15.3%✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.0%1.04
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.06
Unibet
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-15.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----15.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.0%1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-10.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Afturelding and Grotta have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
AFT wins
3
Draws
1
GRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs Grotta · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/26HAFT Vs Grotta2-0
18/07/24AGrotta Vs AFT1-4
03/05/24HAFT Vs Grotta1-1
02/08/23HAFT Vs Grotta1-1
26/05/23AGrotta Vs AFT2-3
12/08/22AGrotta Vs AFT4-2
03/06/22HAFT Vs Grotta2-2

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AÆgir Vs AFT0-7
17/08/26HAFT Vs HK Kopavogur2-2
13/08/26AFylkir Vs AFT3-3
07/08/26HAFT Vs Grindavik4-1
29/07/26AThrottur Reykjavik Vs AFT4-1
21/07/26AFylkir Vs AFT1-1
16/07/26HAFT Vs Leiknir R.3-2
11/07/26AVölsungur Vs AFT1-6
10/06/26HAFT Vs Stjarnan3-1
13/05/26HAFT Vs Njardvik5-2

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HGRO Vs IR Reykjavik1-3
17/08/26AGrindavik Vs GRO0-0
13/08/26HGRO Vs Njardvik1-4
08/08/26HGRO Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
03/08/26AVestri Vs GRO0-3
18/07/26HGRO Vs Ægir6-1
14/07/26HGRO Vs Grindavik1-2
13/06/26AFylkir Vs GRO1-1
14/05/26AVestri Vs GRO0-4
06/04/26HGRO Vs Álftanes1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.44
HomeWWWWD1.84
AwayWDLDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals3.743.763.72
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %52%56%48%
Scored2.042.361.72
Conceded1.701.402.00
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL0.98
HomeLWDLL1.30
AwayWWDWD0.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%41%13%
AVG goals3.363.673.00
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %72%81%61%
Over 3.5 %46%48%43%
Scored1.381.591.13
Conceded1.982.071.87
BTTS68%74%61%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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