PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2022
Time: 19:15
Final 0-1
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur win✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L10W41W22D21W12L41W54W41WH·GRO03/06A·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.571.671.332.251.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.081.671.601.202.432.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W31W13L21W33D40W21W21W21WH·THO11/06A·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.141.292.571.001.711.57
vs Stronger (3)2.331.673.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (11)2.091.182.401.001.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
0-1 ✓
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
Afturelding goals ↓
HK Kopavogur goals →
01234
05.0%5.0%4.6%2.4%0.9%
15.7%11%7.9%4.0%1.5%
25.7%8.8%6.7%3.4%1.3%
33.3%5.0%3.8%1.9%0.7%
41.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = HK Kopavogur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fylkir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grotta
1.68
Fjolnir
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.50
Selfoss
1.45
Thor Akureyri
1.36
Afturelding
1.32
Vestri
1.27
Grindavik
1.23
KV
0.82
Thróttur Vogar
0.27
Afturelding is 0.77 points worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 2.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fylkir
2.86
Fjolnir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grindavik
1.95
Grotta
1.91
Selfoss
1.86
Afturelding
1.77
Vestri
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.64
Thor Akureyri
1.41
KV
1.23
Thróttur Vogar
0.36
Afturelding is 0.32 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 2.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fylkir
1.05
HK Kopavogur
1.36
Kórdrengir
1.36
Grotta
1.50
Thor Akureyri
1.59
Fjolnir
1.68
Afturelding
1.77
Selfoss
1.77
Vestri
2.00
Grindavik
2.05
KV
2.36
Thróttur Vogar
2.55
Afturelding is 0.41 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D20W02L11D01L01L12L20WH·GRO03/06A·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.830.170.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.800.200.431.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D03L10W21W10W10W01L11DH·THO11/06A·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.640.860.570.710.71
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.000.500.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.000.451.200.600.830.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L10W21W20W10W11D40W42W21WH·GRO03/06A·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.000.831.171.880.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.501.000.801.002.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W31W10W11D12L30W11D20W10WH·THO11/06A·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.360.641.710.431.000.86
vs Stronger (3)2.330.333.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (11)1.090.731.200.401.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
Afturelding and HK Kopavogur have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
Afturelding and HK Kopavogur have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Afturelding and HK Kopavogur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (10)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Afturelding and HK Kopavogur have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AFT wins
0
Draws
1
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/22AHK Kopavogur Vs AFT2-0

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/22ASelfoss Vs AFT1-4
21/07/22AGrindavik Vs AFT4-5
16/07/22AVestri Vs AFT1-4
09/07/22AFjolnir Vs AFT2-1
05/07/22HAFT Vs Kórdrengir2-1
01/07/22AFylkir Vs AFT2-2
24/06/22HAFT Vs Thor Akureyri4-1
16/06/22AThróttur Vogar Vs AFT0-1
09/06/22AKV Vs AFT2-1
03/06/22HAFT Vs Grotta2-2

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/22HHK Vs Grotta2-1
21/07/22ASelfoss Vs HK1-2
17/07/22AThróttur Vogar Vs HK1-2
14/07/22HHK Vs KV4-0
09/07/22AVestri Vs HK3-3
05/07/22HHK Vs Grindavik2-1
30/06/22AFjolnir Vs HK3-1
23/06/22HHK Vs Kórdrengir3-1
16/06/22AFylkir Vs HK0-1
11/06/22HHK Vs Thor Akureyri3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.57
HomeLDDWW1.50
AwayDLWWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%33%50%
AVG goals3.573.004.00
Over 1.5 %93%100%88%
Over 2.5 %64%50%75%
Over 3.5 %43%33%50%
Scored2.001.672.25
Conceded1.571.331.75
BTTS79%83%75%
Clean Sheet7%0%12%
Corners---
Cards---
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.21
HomeWWWWW2.57
AwayWLDWW1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%86%57%
AVG goals3.433.573.29
Over 1.5 %93%100%86%
Over 2.5 %79%86%71%
Over 3.5 %50%57%43%
Scored2.142.571.71
Conceded1.291.001.57
BTTS71%71%71%
Clean Sheet21%29%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FylkirFylkir2251
73%
2.3
6323+40
3.9
86%
68%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.0
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2246
68%
2.1
4630+16
3.5
91%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.4
-
3GrottaGrotta2237
55%
1.7
4233+9
3.4
73%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.5
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2236
50%
1.6
5137+14
4.0
91%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
5KórdrengirKórdrengir2233
41%
1.5
3630+6
3.0
77%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6SelfossSelfoss2232
41%
1.5
4139+2
3.6
91%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2230
41%
1.4
3135-4
3.0
73%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
8AftureldingAfturelding2229
36%
1.3
3939+0
3.5
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.8
-
9VestriVestri2228
32%
1.3
3644-8
3.6
86%
73%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2227
32%
1.2
4345-2
4.0
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
11KVKV2218
23%
0.8
2752-25
3.6
95%
77%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar226
5%
0.3
856-48
2.9
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.5
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches