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Afturelding vs Vestri Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Afturelding
Afturelding
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afturelding win✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vestri win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L11D12L33D34L12L13L11D32W22DA·STJ28/07H·VES06/08A·KR 11/08H·KA 17/08A·VAL26/08H·FH 31/08A·IA 15/09A·IBV21/09H·KA 28/09A·KR 04/10
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.671.931.330.932.00
vs Stronger (3)2.330.673.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.331.781.771.540.932.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D32W12L10W14L11D14L04L05L11DA·AFT06/08H·FRA10/08A·STJ17/08A·VAL22/08A·VIK26/08H·KR 31/08A·KA 14/09H·IA 20/09H·IBV28/09A·KA 05/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.121.381.001.43
vs Stronger (10)0.901.400.751.251.001.50
vs Similar (20)1.151.401.251.421.001.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Afturelding goals ↓
Vestri goals →
01234
05.8%4.6%3.3%1.3%0.4%
17.8%12%6.2%2.4%0.7%
28.3%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.1%6.1%3.6%1.4%0.4%
42.4%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afturelding goals (down), columns = Vestri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.67
Stjarnan
1.56
Breidablik
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.44
Fram Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur
1.22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.22
KR Reykjavik
1.15
Vestri
1.07
Afturelding
1.00
Afturelding is 0.07 points worse than Vestri in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
2.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.15
KR Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.85
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Breidablik
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.67
Fram Reykjavik
1.52
IA Akranes
1.37
Afturelding
1.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.26
Vestri
0.96
Afturelding is 0.37 goals better than Vestri in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.15
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.37
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
Breidablik
1.56
Vestri
1.63
Stjarnan
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Afturelding
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.81
IA Akranes
1.85
KR Reykjavik
2.30
Afturelding is 0.07 goals worse than Vestri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W01L20W11D01L00D01L01LA·STJ28/07H·VES06/08A·KR 11/08H·KA 17/08A·VAL26/08H·FH 31/08A·IA 15/09A·IBV21/09H·KA 28/09A·KR 04/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.470.870.270.67
vs Stronger (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.330.850.381.000.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D12L10W02L11D01L00D04L10WA·AFT06/08H·FRA10/08A·STJ17/08A·VAL22/08A·VIK26/08H·KR 31/08A·KA 14/09H·IA 20/09H·IBV28/09A·KA 05/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.690.620.640.57
vs Stronger (10)0.300.800.000.750.500.83
vs Similar (20)0.850.500.920.580.750.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W02L32W14L01L12L11D31W21WA·STJ28/07H·VES06/08A·KR 11/08H·KA 17/08A·VAL26/08H·FH 31/08A·IA 15/09A·IBV21/09H·KA 28/09A·KR 04/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.470.470.671.33
vs Stronger (3)1.670.672.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.000.931.380.540.641.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vestri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VestriVestri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W00D00D12L00D13L04L01L01LA·AFT06/08H·FRA10/08A·STJ17/08A·VAL22/08A·VIK26/08H·KR 31/08A·KA 14/09H·IA 20/09H·IBV28/09A·KA 05/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.440.750.360.86
vs Stronger (10)0.600.600.750.500.500.67
vs Similar (20)0.300.900.330.830.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vestri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
Afturelding and Vestri have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Afturelding and Vestri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
Afturelding and Vestri have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Afturelding and Vestri have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
AFT wins
3
Draws
2
VES wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afturelding vs Vestri · H/A from AFT
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/25HAFT Vs Vestri1-1
10/05/25AVestri Vs AFT2-0
30/09/23AVestri Vs AFT0-0
16/08/23AVestri Vs AFT2-2
10/06/23HAFT Vs Vestri3-1
16/07/22AVestri Vs AFT1-4
14/05/22HAFT Vs Vestri0-2

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25AKR Reykjavik Vs AFT2-2
28/09/25HAFT Vs KA Akureyri3-2
21/09/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs AFT1-1
15/09/25AIA Akranes Vs AFT3-1
31/08/25HAFT Vs FH hafnarfjordur1-2
26/08/25AValur Reykjavik Vs AFT4-3
17/08/25HAFT Vs KA Akureyri3-3
11/08/25AKR Reykjavik Vs AFT2-1
06/08/25HAFT Vs Vestri1-1
28/07/25AStjarnan Vs AFT4-1

VestriVestri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25AKA Akureyri Vs VES1-1
28/09/25HVES Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-5
20/09/25HVES Vs IA Akranes0-4
14/09/25AKA Akureyri Vs VES4-1
31/08/25HVES Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
26/08/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs VES4-1
22/08/25AValur Reykjavik Vs VES0-1
17/08/25AStjarnan Vs VES2-1
10/08/25HVES Vs Fram Reykjavik3-2
06/08/25AAfturelding Vs VES1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.40
HomeDDDLW1.56
AwayLLLDD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals3.243.163.32
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.701.841.56
Conceded1.541.321.76
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Vestri
Vestri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.22
HomeWWDLL1.32
AwayLWLLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.642.402.88
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.181.041.32
Conceded1.461.361.56
BTTS50%32%68%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2757
63%
2.1
5831+27
3.3
85%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2745
48%
1.7
6146+15
4.0
100%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.7
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5045+5
3.5
93%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.7
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2742
41%
1.6
4642+4
3.3
89%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2739
41%
1.4
4549-4
3.5
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.8
-
6Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2736
37%
1.3
4140+1
3.0
85%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.5
-
7IA AkranesIA Akranes2734
41%
1.3
3750-13
3.2
81%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2733
30%
1.2
4946+3
3.5
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.7
-
9IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2733
33%
1.2
3437-3
2.6
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.4
-
10KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2731
30%
1.1
5562-7
4.3
93%
85%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.3
-
11VestriVestri2729
30%
1.1
2644-18
2.6
78%
33%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
12AftureldingAfturelding2727
22%
1.0
3646-10
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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