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Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
vs
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L13L40W04L22D22D21W21W11D01LA·RAI21/03A·RAI21/03A·ROS04/04A·ST 11/04H·DUN14/04H·PAR18/04H·AYR25/04H·AYR25/04A·MOR01/05A·ALL05/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.200.791.211.121.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.821.270.731.090.911.45
vs Weaker (8)1.381.001.001.671.600.60
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W25L22D23L10WH·HAM09/05A·HAM13/05H·HAM07/05A·HAM11/05H·AIR05/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.001.330.672.004.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.752.501.501.002.004.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Alloa Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.15
Partick
1.85
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rvs
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queens Park
1.14
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr
1.08
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Ross County
1.02
Queen of the South
1.00
Airdrie United
0.94
Airdrie United is 1.31 points worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
ST Johnstone
1.81
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr
1.06
Ayr Utd
1.06
Ross County
1.04
Morton
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Queens Park
0.97
Queen's Park
0.97
Airdrie United
0.92
Airdrie United is 0.33 goals worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
ST Johnstone
0.71
Partick
0.96
Alloa Athletic
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rvs
1.17
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr
1.31
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queens Park
1.33
Queen's Park
1.33
Airdrie United
1.34
Morton
1.38
Ross County
1.56
Airdrie United is 0.34 goals worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 3.8 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

16066664396933323131261012156516H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

401312222211122241443242H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 8.5 · Total 17.1

⚠️ Fouls

250413961091510458811988171519259162016H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.710.50.80.90.718.317.818.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.610.710.51.11.20.918.317.818.8
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line67%67%67%12%12%12%25%17%33%
% under line33%33%33%88%88%88%75%83%67%
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (1)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.0
Ross County
10.9
ST Johnstone
10.4
Partick
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Ayr
9.9
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.1
Queens Park
9.0
Raith Rvs
8.8
Stenhousemuir
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Morton
4.6
Ayr
4.4
ST Johnstone
4.4
Partick
4.3
Raith Rvs
4.2
Dunfermline
4.0
Queens Park
3.9
Arbroath
3.7
Airdrie United
3.4
Ross County
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.2
ST Johnstone
22.7
Ayr
22.6
Morton
21.8
Raith Rvs
21.6
Queens Park
21.6
Dunfermline
21.4
Ross County
21.4
Arbroath
20.8
Partick
20.2
Airdrie United
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.9%
Under 21.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W03L10W10W01L01L00D01LA·RAI21/03A·RAI21/03A·ROS04/04A·ST 11/04H·DUN14/04H·PAR18/04H·AYR25/04H·AYR25/04A·MOR01/05A·ALL05/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.570.210.570.440.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.270.640.180.550.360.73
vs Weaker (8)0.500.380.330.670.600.20
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W24L01L12L10WH·HAM09/05A·HAM13/05H·HAM07/05A·HAM11/05H·AIR05/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.400.670.331.503.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (4)1.001.750.500.501.503.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.9%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.6%--------
Under 23.5 fouls72.7%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.1%--------

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (31)
€6m
SJ (26)
€5m
PAR (22)
€3m
AYR (26)
€3m
QP (28)
€3m
RR (21)
€2m
RC (26)
€2m
MOR (26)
€2m
ARB (25)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (10)
€3m
SJ (9)
€3m
QP (14)
€2m
RC (9)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AYR (8)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
ARB (5)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (7)
€1m
SJ (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
RR (8)
€1m
AYR (7)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (8)
€1m
RC (5)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
QP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (14)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
PAR (9)
€1m
AYR (11)
€1m
QP (12)
€1m
RR (8)
€1m
RC (12)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (12)
€1m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AU wins
0
Draws
1
AA wins

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs AU1-0

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs AU1-0
01/05/26AMorton Vs AU1-1
25/04/26HAU Vs Ayr2-1
25/04/26HAU Vs Ayr Utd2-1
18/04/26HAU Vs Partick2-2
14/04/26HAU Vs Dunfermline2-2
11/04/26AST Johnstone Vs AU4-0
04/04/26ARoss County Vs AU0-4
21/03/26ARaith Rovers Vs AU3-1
21/03/26ARaith Rvs Vs AU3-1

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26HAA Vs Airdrie United1-0
11/05/24AHamilton Academical Vs AA3-2
07/05/24HAA Vs Hamilton Academical2-2
13/05/23AHamilton Academical Vs AA5-2
09/05/23HAA Vs Hamilton Academical1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL0.96
HomeDDDWW0.96
AwayLWLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%16%24%
AVG goals2.201.962.44
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored0.900.761.04
Conceded1.301.201.40
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.5810.6710.50
Cards3.333.832.83
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.40
HomeWDW2.33
AwayLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%67%0%
AVG goals3.602.006.00
Over 1.5 %60%33%100%
Over 2.5 %60%33%100%
Over 3.5 %60%33%100%
Scored1.601.332.00
Conceded2.000.674.00
BTTS60%33%100%
Clean Sheet40%67%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
3121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
6
3121.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0111.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
2
1111.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
2
1011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
2
1111.21.2
-
10QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
11
QP
Queens Park		3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
3
2011.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr		3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
3
1111.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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