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Airdrie United vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
46%
31%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Airdrie United, fresh from a 1-3 loss to Ross County, look to rebound after two straight defeats, while East Fife, having drawn 0-0 against Hamilton Academical, aim to improve on a weak away showing. The model places the home side as the favourite, assigning a 46 % chance of a win, 31 % for a draw and 23 % for an East Fife victory. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a 14.2 % probability, and the expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total at 28 %. Airdrie’s home form shows 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against similar opposition, whereas East Fife’s away form yields 0.67 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.3 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Under 5.5 (97.8 % with an 8 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 % with an 8 % edge) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3 % with a 4 % edge).

Results analysis

Airdrie United’s home form, still in a draw streak, was expected to turn the tide, yet the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the pre-match favourite. The model had picked a home win with a 46% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result, leaving the favourite disappointed. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection was accounted for.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.84
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Draw✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.50
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.74
Dafabet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
East Fife win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.67
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Unibet
3.85
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L24L01L30W03L00D11D04L13LA·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07H·ROS25/07A·COV01/08H·EAS08/08A·HAM15/08H·ROS22/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.331.400.801.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.041.651.251.580.861.71
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.670.670.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D11D20W11D00D20W12L00DA·ALL18/04H·INV25/04A·COV02/05A·INV11/07H·MOR14/07A·ST 25/07A·ALL01/08H·COV08/08A·PET15/08H·HAM22/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.600.931.600.601.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.791.420.921.580.671.25
vs Weaker (6)0.672.331.001.670.333.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.26-8.6%
Under 1.5
35.5%
@ 3.42+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.3%
@ 1.87-13.7%
Under 2.5
63.7%
@ 1.86+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Unibet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.90
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
@ 3.17-12.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
@ 1.30+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
@ 1.76-9.6%
No
57.1%
@ 1.95+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Betfair
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.51+7.3%
1-0
13.8%@ 6.96+7.4%
0-0 ✓
13.0%@ 10.46+8.7%
2-0
9.8%@ 8.61+4.6%
0-1
8.7%@ 10.60+4.4%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.01+2.7%
1-2
5.5%@ 12.04+1.7%
0-2
4.2%@ 19.71+2.0%
Airdrie United goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
013%8.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
114%14%5.5%1.6%0.3%
29.8%8.3%3.6%1.0%0.2%
34.2%3.6%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.4%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Airdrie United is 0.28 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Airdrie United is 0.41 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Airdrie United is 0.25 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

12036666643991261012H·ROSH·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

4022131222244144H·ROSH·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

25041396109151017151925H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

14019223103145410410458352104134914149117A·ST A·COVH·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.1

🟨 Cards

5011122411321111024540311A·ST A·COVH·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

320119119141171119131271110151115531020202518321921262013A·ST A·COVH·INVA·ALLH·PETA·MONH·STEA·QUEA·KELH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.411.00.60.70.616.915.518.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.29.411.00.70.80.716.915.518.0
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line60%40%80%12%12%12%11%0%20%
% under line40%60%20%88%88%88%89%100%80%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.19.42.73.02.422.723.222.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (40)9.49.49.32.83.02.522.723.322.1
vs Weaker (10)11.012.09.82.52.82.222.823.022.5
% over line52%55%50%38%40%36%55%65%45%
% under line48%45%50%62%60%64%45%35%55%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.3%
@ 1.74-5.2%
Under 9.5
51.7%
@ 2.00+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
+1.2%
46%
31%
23%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Airdrie United or East Fife✗ Miss
68.8%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-6.0%
46%
31%
23%
covers Airdrie United + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or East Fife✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.84
Edge
+4.8%
46%
31%
23%
covers Draw + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.6%
@ 1.18-5.8%
Under
27.4%
@ 4.28+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Under
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 1.92-11.1%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.78+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 3.91-9.4%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.21+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 8.27-7.0%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
East Fife over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.3%
@ 1.44-6.6%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.56+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.64
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
Betano
2.57
East Fife over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 3.10-8.8%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.32+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
East Fife over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 7.68-6.4%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
East Fife over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 12.38-6.5%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and East Fife receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: East Fife
Airdrie United -2
7.8%
@ 7.15-4.7%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 5.35-2.8%
East Fife +2
78.3%
@ 1.26+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.80
Bet365
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: East Fife
Airdrie United -1
21.7%
@ 3.19-5.4%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.44-1.2%
East Fife +1
54.4%
@ 1.81+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.20
Unibet
2.80
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
2.95
Away
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +1
76.7%
@ 1.22+4.1%
Draw +1
15.3%
@ 5.35-1.3%
East Fife -1
8.0%
@ 8.25-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Away
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +2
92.0%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Draw +2
6.0%
@ 12.00-1.7%
East Fife -2
2.0%
@ 21.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L21W00D10W01L00D00D01L02LA·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07H·ROS25/07A·COV01/08H·EAS08/08A·HAM15/08H·ROS22/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.330.600.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.380.730.250.750.500.71
vs Weaker (4)0.500.000.670.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W20W00D00D00D00D00DA·ALL18/04H·INV25/04A·COV02/05A·INV11/07H·MOR14/07A·ST 25/07A·ALL01/08H·COV08/08A·PET15/08H·HAM22/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.770.270.800.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.330.790.330.920.330.67
vs Weaker (6)0.170.670.000.330.331.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.36-1.8%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.88+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.96
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.9%
@ 2.70-6.3%
Under 1.5
72.1%
@ 1.40+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Pinnacle
2.74
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 6.55-4.6%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.08+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 1.82-8.6%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.89+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 5.33-6.9%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 10.75-6.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.42+4.6%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.49-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 9.03+1.8%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.03-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Marathonbet
9.70
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D03L01L20W02L00D11D03L11DA·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07H·ROS25/07A·COV01/08H·EAS08/08A·HAM15/08H·ROS22/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.901.000.800.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.650.921.000.830.361.00
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.670.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D01L00D11D00D20W12L00DA·ALL18/04H·INV25/04A·COV02/05A·INV11/07H·MOR14/07A·ST 25/07A·ALL01/08H·COV08/08A·PET15/08H·HAM22/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.670.800.270.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.460.620.580.670.330.58
vs Weaker (6)0.501.671.001.330.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.22-1.9%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.81+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 2.08-2.8%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.68+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 4.32-4.8%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.18+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.57-10.0%
Under
51.1%
@ 2.25+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.75-7.8%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.23+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 8.65-7.6%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 2.02+6.1%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.70-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 6.30+3.2%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.08-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 11.75-4.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
--+6.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.9%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
---+6.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.8%1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-+7.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.8%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
---+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.7%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
--+7.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.5%1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.593.3%1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
+8.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap92.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.4%1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.5%1.12
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
--+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.0%1.03
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---1.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals85.8%1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+9.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards84.1%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals83.3%1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+4.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.1%1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
--+7.8%✓ Hit
Under 3.583.0%1.30
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+12.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.1%1.08
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
---3.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals79.0%1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+8.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.3%1.26
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
---+7.5%✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.7%1.21
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+1.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.7%1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
---+4.1%✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners74.8%1.35
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
---+6.4%-
Over 0.5 2H goals73.8%1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
-1.9%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals72.6%1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
-5.8%✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals72.1%1.40
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
+6.3%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.6%--------
Under 4.5 cards70.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards70.2%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
AU wins
1
Draws
1
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs East Fife · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/22AEast Fife Vs AU0-2
08/01/22HAU Vs East Fife3-0
13/11/21AEast Fife Vs AU0-1
18/09/21HAU Vs East Fife3-0
20/04/21HAU Vs East Fife2-0
05/12/20AEast Fife Vs AU2-0
07/03/20HAU Vs East Fife1-0
11/01/20AEast Fife Vs AU2-2

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HAU Vs Ross County1-3
15/08/26AHamilton Academical Vs AU4-0
08/08/26HAU Vs East Kilbride1-1
01/08/26ACove Rangers Vs AU0-0
25/07/26HAU Vs Ross County0-3
18/07/26HAU Vs Annan Athletic3-0
14/07/26AClyde Vs AU1-0
11/07/26ADundee Vs AU4-2
09/05/26HAU Vs Alloa Athletic1-2
05/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs AU1-0

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HEF Vs Hamilton Academical0-0
15/08/26APeterhead Vs EF2-1
08/08/26HEF Vs Cove Rangers2-0
01/08/26AAlloa Athletic Vs EF0-0
25/07/26AST Johnstone Vs EF1-1
14/07/26HEF Vs Morton2-0
11/07/26AInverness CT Vs EF1-1
02/05/26ACove Rangers Vs EF0-0
25/04/26HEF Vs Inverness CT1-1
18/04/26AAlloa Vs EF2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.04
HomeLWLDL1.04
AwayLLLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%23%25%
AVG goals2.342.422.25
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.001.040.96
Conceded1.341.381.29
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet28%23%33%
Corners10.209.4011.00
Cards3.203.403.00
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.10
HomeWDWWD1.40
AwayDDDDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.422.362.48
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %18%12%24%
Scored0.941.120.76
Conceded1.481.241.72
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.7210.059.40
Cards3.383.703.05

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches