Airdrie United, fresh from a 1-3 loss to Ross County, look to rebound after two straight defeats, while East Fife, having drawn 0-0 against Hamilton Academical, aim to improve on a weak away showing. The model places the home side as the favourite, assigning a 46 % chance of a win, 31 % for a draw and 23 % for an East Fife victory. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a 14.2 % probability, and the expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total at 28 %. Airdrie’s home form shows 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against similar opposition, whereas East Fife’s away form yields 0.67 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.3 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Under 5.5 (97.8 % with an 8 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 % with an 8 % edge) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3 % with a 4 % edge).
Results analysis
Airdrie United’s home form, still in a draw streak, was expected to turn the tide, yet the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the pre-match favourite. The model had picked a home win with a 46% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result, leaving the favourite disappointed. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.8%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection was accounted for.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.84
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Draw✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.50
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.74
Dafabet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
East Fife win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.67
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Unibet
3.85
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Airdrie United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.53
1.33
1.40
0.80
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
1.65
1.25
1.58
0.86
1.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.60
0.93
1.60
0.60
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
1.42
0.92
1.58
0.67
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
2.33
1.00
1.67
0.33
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.26-8.6%
Under 1.5
35.5%
@ 3.42+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.3%
@ 1.87-13.7%
Under 2.5
63.7%
@ 1.86+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Unibet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.90
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
@ 3.17-12.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
@ 1.30+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
@ 1.76-9.6%
No
57.1%
@ 1.95+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Betfair
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.51+7.3%
1-0
13.8%@ 6.96+7.4%
0-0 ✓
13.0%@ 10.46+8.7%
2-0
9.8%@ 8.61+4.6%
0-1
8.7%@ 10.60+4.4%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.01+2.7%
1-2
5.5%@ 12.04+1.7%
0-2
4.2%@ 19.71+2.0%
Airdrie United goals ↓
East Fife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.5%
1.6%
0.3%
2
9.8%
8.3%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
3
4.2%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Airdrie United is 0.28 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Airdrie United is 0.41 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Airdrie United is 0.25 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Airdrie United
For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Fife
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Airdrie United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
11.0
0.6
0.7
0.6
16.9
15.5
18.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.2
9.4
11.0
0.7
0.8
0.7
16.9
15.5
18.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
40%
80%
12%
12%
12%
11%
0%
20%
% under line
40%
60%
20%
88%
88%
88%
89%
100%
80%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.1
9.4
2.7
3.0
2.4
22.7
23.2
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.4
9.4
9.3
2.8
3.0
2.5
22.7
23.3
22.1
vs Weaker (10)
11.0
12.0
9.8
2.5
2.8
2.2
22.8
23.0
22.5
% over line
52%
55%
50%
38%
40%
36%
55%
65%
45%
% under line
48%
45%
50%
62%
60%
64%
45%
35%
55%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.3%
@ 1.74-5.2%
Under 9.5
51.7%
@ 2.00+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
+1.2%
46%
31%
23%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Airdrie United or East Fife✗ Miss
68.8%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.22
Edge
-6.0%
46%
31%
23%
covers Airdrie United + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or East Fife✓ Hit
54.4%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.84
Edge
+4.8%
46%
31%
23%
covers Draw + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.6%
@ 1.18-5.8%
Under
27.4%
@ 4.28+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Under
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
@ 1.92-11.1%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.78+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 3.91-9.4%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.21+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 8.27-7.0%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
East Fife over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.3%
@ 1.44-6.6%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.56+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.64
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
Betano
2.57
East Fife over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 3.10-8.8%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.32+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
East Fife over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 7.68-6.4%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
East Fife over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 12.38-6.5%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and East Fife receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: East Fife
Airdrie United -2
7.8%
@ 7.15-4.7%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 5.35-2.8%
East Fife +2
78.3%
@ 1.26+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.80
Bet365
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: East Fife
Airdrie United -1
21.7%
@ 3.19-5.4%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.44-1.2%
East Fife +1
54.4%
@ 1.81+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.20
Unibet
2.80
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
2.95
Away
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +1
76.7%
@ 1.22+4.1%
Draw +1
15.3%
@ 5.35-1.3%
East Fife -1
8.0%
@ 8.25-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Away
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +2
92.0%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Draw +2
6.0%
@ 12.00-1.7%
East Fife -2
2.0%
@ 21.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.33
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.38
0.73
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.79
0.33
0.92
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.33
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.36-1.8%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.88+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.96
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.9%
@ 2.70-6.3%
Under 1.5
72.1%
@ 1.40+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Pinnacle
2.74
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 6.55-4.6%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.08+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 1.82-8.6%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.89+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 5.33-6.9%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 10.75-6.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.42+4.6%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.49-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 9.03+1.8%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.03-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Marathonbet
9.70
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
1.00
0.80
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.92
1.00
0.83
0.36
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.83
0.67
0.80
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.62
0.58
0.67
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.67
1.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.22-1.9%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.81+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 2.08-2.8%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.68+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 4.32-4.8%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.18+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.57-10.0%
Under
51.1%
@ 2.25+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.75-7.8%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.23+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 8.65-7.6%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 2.02+6.1%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.70-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 6.30+3.2%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.08-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 11.75-4.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.5%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.3%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.0%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.08
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.0%
1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.7%
1.21
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.7%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
1.35
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+6.4%
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
-5.8%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.1%
1.40
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →