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Airdrie United vs Ross County Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-3
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ross County
Ross County
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Airdrie United’s recent home form has been uneven, but the model still favours a home win, with a 47% chance of victory, a 24% draw probability and a 29% chance of Ross County winning. The predicted outcome is a 1-1 draw, the most likely scoreline, with a 10.6% chance. The expected total of 3.4 goals suggests a high-scoring encounter, and the most probable total is three goals, carrying a 22% probability. Airdrie’s average of 1.08 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home against similar opposition contrasts with Ross County’s 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on the road, indicating a defensive edge for the visitors. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 97.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 96.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 95.4%, Under 6.5 at 94.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.9%, Under 4.5 cards at 89.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 89.6%, and Under 5.5 at 87.6%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

Results analysis

A surprising turn saw Ross County overturn the pre-match favourite, Airdrie United, with a 0-3 victory that extended their five-game winning run. The model had tipped a home win at 47 percent, but the prediction proved wrong. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 97.8 percent, Under 5.5 cards at 96.0 percent, Under 6.5 goals at 94.5 percent, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.9 percent, Under 4.5 cards at 89.6 percent and Under 5.5 at 87.6 percent. Ross County’s clean sheet and three-goal margin matched the model’s expectation of a high-scoring game, yet the home side’s 1-3 loss to Ross County earlier in the season foreshadowed the upset.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✗ Miss
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ross County win✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D22D21W21W11D01L12L24L01L30WH·DUN14/04H·PAR18/04H·AYR25/04H·AYR25/04A·MOR01/05A·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.371.201.200.931.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.041.481.081.331.001.62
vs Weaker (5)1.200.801.670.670.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ross CountyRoss County

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L21W21W40W23L23L41W31W11DA·QUE10/04A·QUE10/04H·AYR18/04H·AYR18/04H·MOR25/04A·RAI01/05A·RAI01/05A·ANN11/07H·CLY18/07H·DUN21/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.431.000.811.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.931.111.311.000.601.20
vs Weaker (2)3.501.003.001.004.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
4.4%
Airdrie United goals ↓
Ross County goals →
01234
04.4%4.1%3.7%1.8%0.7%
15.6%11%7.1%3.4%1.3%
26.3%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
34.0%5.8%4.2%2.1%0.8%
41.9%2.7%2.0%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = Ross County goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
Partick
2.50
ST Johnstone
2.40
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Motherwell
2.29
ST Mirren
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Celtic
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Rangers
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Cove Rangers
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Inverness CT
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Clyde
1.25
Stranraer
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Edinburgh City
0.25
Annan Athletic
0.25
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Airdrie United is 0.50 points better than Ross County in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Celtic
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Ross County
2.75
Rangers
2.33
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Inverness CT
2.25
Partick
2.17
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Motherwell
1.57
Arbroath
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Cove Rangers
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Stirling
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Airdrie United is 0.75 goals worse than Ross County in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
ST Johnstone
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Celtic
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Rangers
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Stirling
2.25
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Airdrie United and Ross County are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

150666643969331261012156H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

4013122222111414432H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 8.5 · Total 16.8

⚠️ Fouls

250413961091510458817151925916H·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ross CountyRoss County

For 4.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

120737545145541423410129510567H·DUNA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

6042113251223222362564543H·DUNA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

30011012111219111114131211111010122233025252220H·DUNA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.50.70.60.717.515.818.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.610.810.50.80.70.817.515.818.8
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line64%60%67%10%8%12%18%0%33%
% under line36%40%33%90%92%88%82%100%67%
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ross CountyRoss County

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.38.01.11.30.821.119.722.7
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (47)8.28.38.01.11.40.921.119.722.7
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line31%29%33%16%25%8%62%57%67%
% under line69%71%67%84%75%92%38%43%33%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.8
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Hamilton Academical
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Falkirk
24.5
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.4
Montrose
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Ross County
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
20.5%
Under 21.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✗ Miss
71.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United or Ross County✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Airdrie United + Ross County
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ross County✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Draw + Ross County
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.0%
Under
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and Ross County receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United -2
12.3%
Draw -2
14.5%
Ross County +2
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United -1
26.8%
Draw -1
20.1%
Ross County +1
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United +1
71.1%
Draw +1
15.3%
Ross County -1
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United +2
86.4%
Draw +2
8.6%
Ross County -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L00D01L01L21W00D10WH·DUN14/04H·PAR18/04H·AYR25/04H·AYR25/04A·MOR01/05A·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.330.470.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.680.250.580.620.77
vs Weaker (5)0.400.000.670.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ross CountyRoss County

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D11D20W10W10W10W21W01LA·QUE10/04A·QUE10/04H·AYR18/04H·AYR18/04H·MOR25/04A·RAI01/05A·RAI01/05A·ANN11/07H·CLY18/07H·DUN21/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.671.000.790.250.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.540.680.920.770.200.60
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L20W20W11D00D11D03L01L20WH·DUN14/04H·PAR18/04H·AYR25/04H·AYR25/04A·MOR01/05A·ALL05/05H·ALL09/05A·DUN11/07A·CLY14/07H·ANN18/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.870.730.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.800.830.750.380.85
vs Weaker (5)0.800.801.000.670.501.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ross CountyRoss County

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W10W20W13L13L31W10W10WA·QUE10/04A·QUE10/04H·AYR18/04H·AYR18/04H·MOR25/04A·RAI01/05A·RAI01/05A·ANN11/07H·CLY18/07H·DUN21/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.430.210.560.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.390.430.380.230.400.60
vs Weaker (2)2.000.501.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards96.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls95.4%--------
Under 6.594.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards89.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls89.6%--------
Under 5.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.0%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals81.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls79.5%--------
Away over 0.5 goals76.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards76.6%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away75.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.9%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw71.1%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap71.1%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AU wins
1
Draws
1
RC wins

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs Ross County · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ARoss County Vs AU0-4
24/01/26HAU Vs Ross County0-1
06/12/25ARoss County Vs AU1-2
02/08/25HAU Vs Ross County2-2

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HAU Vs Annan Athletic3-0
14/07/26AClyde Vs AU1-0
11/07/26ADundee Vs AU4-2
09/05/26HAU Vs Alloa Athletic1-2
05/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs AU1-0
01/05/26AMorton Vs AU1-1
25/04/26HAU Vs Ayr2-1
25/04/26HAU Vs Ayr Utd2-1
18/04/26HAU Vs Partick2-2
14/04/26HAU Vs Dunfermline2-2

Ross CountyRoss County

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/26HRC Vs Dundee1-1
18/07/26HRC Vs Clyde3-1
11/07/26AAnnan Athletic Vs RC1-4
01/05/26ARaith Rvs Vs RC3-2
01/05/26ARaith Rovers Vs RC3-2
25/04/26HRC Vs Morton4-0
18/04/26HRC Vs Ayr Utd2-1
18/04/26HRC Vs Ayr2-1
10/04/26AQueen's Park Vs RC1-0
10/04/26AQueens Park Vs RC1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.02
HomeDWWLW1.04
AwayLDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%23%25%
AVG goals2.402.232.58
Over 1.5 %64%62%67%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.061.001.12
Conceded1.341.231.46
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners10.6410.8010.50
Cards3.003.202.83
Ross County
Ross County
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.16
HomeWWWWD1.46
AwayLLLLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.602.922.31
Over 1.5 %70%88%54%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.141.540.77
Conceded1.461.381.54
BTTS42%50%35%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners8.158.298.00
Cards4.084.573.50

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
100+10
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County39
100%
3.0
62+4
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.00.7
-
3East KilbrideEast Kilbride47
50%
1.8
95+4
3.5
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
4Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic47
50%
1.8
51+4
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.2
-
5PeterheadPeterhead46
50%
1.5
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife45
25%
1.2
32+1
1.2
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
7Cove RangersCove Rangers44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
8MontroseMontrose43
25%
0.8
410-6
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United42
0%
0.5
28-6
2.5
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South30
0%
0.0
18-7
3.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.7
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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