Airdrie United hosts Ross County in a Scotland: League One match on August 22. The away side's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak, but their away form against stronger opponents has been poor, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Conversely, Airdrie United has been struggling at home, conceding 1.67 goals per game against weaker opponents. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 1.6 goals and a most likely score of 0-0, occurring in 21.7% of simulations.
The model favours a draw, with probabilities of 35% for Airdrie United to win, 38% for the draw, and 27% for Ross County to win. Airdrie United's home scoring has averaged 1 goal per game, while Ross County's away scoring has averaged 0.62 goals per game against stronger opponents. The model's selection is the draw, with no suggested picks from the model.
Results analysis
A surprising 1-3 defeat of Ross County by Airdrie United ended the visitor’s five-game winning run, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - a Draw - wrong. The model had given the draw a 38 % probability, but the match finished with an away win, so the model’s call was incorrect. The final score of 1-3 was a clear away victory. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (100 %), Under 6.5 (99.9 %), Under 5.5 (99.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %) and Under 4.5 (97.7 %). The low-scoring affair matched the model’s expectation of a single goal, yet the actual tally of four goals confirmed the accuracy of the under-goal selections.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.25
Edge
+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
BetVictor
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Dafabet
4.30
Bet365
4.20
Draw✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.64
Edge
+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Ross County win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.70
Edge
-26.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Dafabet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Airdrie United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.47
1.36
1.29
0.81
1.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
1.58
1.27
1.45
0.87
1.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ross County
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.67
1.08
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.07
1.55
1.09
0.88
1.06
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.5%
@ 1.27-24.4%
Under 1.5
51.5%
@ 3.41+24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
BetVictor
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 1.87-28.5%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.86+28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.95
SBO
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
7.8%
@ 3.16-21.5%
Under 3.5
92.2%
@ 1.31+21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
31.2%
@ 1.82-19.8%
No
68.8%
@ 1.89+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
888Sport
1.83
William Hil
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
No
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.7%@ 10.03+17.2%
1-0
16.2%@ 11.43+12.3%
1-1
14.1%@ 6.80+7.5%
0-1
13.6%@ 6.47+6.7%
2-0
7.5%@ 23.30+5.6%
2-1
5.5%@ 13.52+2.2%
0-2
5.4%@ 7.51-0.5%
1-2
4.7%@ 7.61-1.2%
Airdrie United goals ↓
Ross County goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
22%
14%
5.4%
1.3%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.7%
1.1%
0.2%
2
7.5%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
3
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = Ross County goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Airdrie United is 0.02 points better than Ross County in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Airdrie United is 0.03 goals better than Ross County in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Airdrie United is 0.03 goals better than Ross County in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Airdrie United
For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ross County
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Airdrie United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.4
10.5
0.7
0.7
0.7
17.5
15.5
18.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.0
9.4
10.5
0.8
0.8
0.7
17.5
15.5
18.8
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
40%
67%
12%
12%
12%
20%
0%
33%
% under line
45%
60%
33%
88%
88%
88%
80%
100%
67%
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ross County
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
8.3
7.3
1.1
1.3
0.8
21.6
19.7
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
7.8
8.3
7.3
1.1
1.4
0.9
21.6
19.7
24.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
23%
29%
17%
18%
25%
12%
67%
57%
80%
% under line
77%
71%
83%
82%
75%
88%
33%
43%
20%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.6%
@ 1.61-9.1%
Under 9.5
51.4%
@ 2.19+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.14
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.8%
Under 21.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✗ Miss
72.6%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 2.00
Edge
+26.6%
35%
38%
27%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Airdrie United or Ross County✓ Hit
62.1%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.22
Edge
-13.3%
35%
38%
27%
covers Airdrie United + Ross County
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Draw or Ross County✓ Hit
65.3%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.17
Edge
-13.3%
35%
38%
27%
covers Draw + Ross County
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
57.7%
@ 1.52-3.2%
Under
42.3%
@ 2.36+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
888Sport
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
888Sport
2.38
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 3.48-5.3%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.26+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
888Sport
3.60
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 8.62-5.1%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
1xBet
8.70
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 14.75-5.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Ross County over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.16-27.7%
Under
48.1%
@ 4.49+27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.45
888Sport
4.40
Ross County over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
16.7%
@ 1.82-34.2%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.89+34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.91
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Ross County over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
3.8%
@ 3.53-22.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.25+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.90
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Ross County over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 7.57-11.8%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.08+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and Ross County receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United -2
3.1%
@ 26.00-0.5%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 15.00+3.0%
Ross County +2
87.6%
@ 1.04-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.04
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United -1
12.4%
@ 7.90+1.1%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 5.23+5.3%
Ross County +1
65.3%
@ 1.25-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Betfair
5.00
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Ross County
Airdrie United +1
72.6%
@ 2.03+29.1%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 3.45-6.8%
Ross County -1
8.5%
@ 2.86-22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Draw
Airdrie United +2
91.5%
@ 1.36+25.9%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 4.80-11.9%
Ross County -2
1.9%
@ 5.62-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Bet365
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.36
0.50
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.69
0.27
0.64
0.53
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ross County
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
1.08
0.92
0.28
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.68
1.00
0.91
0.24
0.53
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.0%
@ 1.35-2.5%
Under 0.5
34.0%
@ 2.93+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.02
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
28.4%
@ 2.68-6.0%
Under 1.5
71.6%
@ 1.41+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.1%
@ 6.61-4.9%
Under 2.5
90.9%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 2.53+5.7%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.45-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.57
1xBet
2.51
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 8.95-0.7%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.03+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.20
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 12.50-5.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Ross County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.6%
@ 1.73-12.8%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.98+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Ross County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.4%
@ 4.67-10.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.15+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Ross County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 10.25-7.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.03+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Airdrie United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
1.00
0.79
0.31
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.82
0.33
0.93
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ross County
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.58
0.17
0.78
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.39
0.55
0.18
0.65
0.53
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.3%
Under 0.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.4%
Under 1.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.4%
Under 2.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ross County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.4%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
-
-
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
97.7%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+10.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
78.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
1.44
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
-
-
-
+10.2%
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Superbet
1.41
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ross County · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronan Hale31%
Jordan White16%
Kieran Phillips12%
Akil Wright11%
Noah Chilvers10%
Alex Samuel9%
Joshua Nisbet8%
Michee Efete5%
George Harmon4%
Elijah Campbell4%
Connor Randall3%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Kacper Łopata0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Nohan Kenneh0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor Randall30%
Elijah Campbell21%
Kacper Łopata20%
Zachary Ashworth20%
Ryan Leak19%
James Brown19%
Victor Loturi18%
Michee Efete15%
Noah Chilvers13%
Nohan Kenneh13%
Akil Wright13%
Ronan Hale11%
George Harmon9%
Jordan White8%
Jonathan Tomkinson8%
Jack Grieves5%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Alex Samuel0%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
Josh Reid0%
Kieran Phillips0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Chilvers17%
Kieran Phillips12%
Zachary Ashworth10%
Jack Grieves9%
George Harmon9%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Aidan Denholm7%
Joshua Nisbet6%
Alex Samuel5%
Kacper Łopata3%
Akil Wright3%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Jordan White0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Michee Efete0%
Connor Randall0%
Ronan Hale0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Elijah Campbell0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronan Hale36%
Noah Chilvers10%
Michee Efete10%
Jordan White8%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Alex Samuel0%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Akil Wright0%
Connor Randall0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Kieran Phillips0%
Kacper Łopata0%
George Harmon0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Elijah Campbell0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
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Hamilton Academical
Alloa Athletic
East Kilbride
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
Cove Rangers
Queen of the South