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Airdrie United vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Date: 06/02/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Vs
33%
24%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: FA Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Airdrie United’s recent five matches have been a mix of losses and a draw, and they finished 1-3 at home to Ross County, while ST Mirren, after a defeat to Rangers, have won two of their last five away games and scored 1-5. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 43% chance of ST Mirren triumphing, 33% for Airdrie United and 24% for a draw. The expected total is 3.4 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% probability. Airdrie United typically score 0.67 goals and concede 1.27 at home against similar opposition, whereas ST Mirren average 1.33 goals scored and 1.78 conceded away. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.7%), Under 6.5 (94.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.9%), Under 5.5 (87.3%), Over 1.5 (86.1%), Away +2 handicap (83.8%) and Away over 0.5 goals (83.7%).

Results analysis

Airdrie United’s recent run of two straight defeats has been broken by a 1-2 loss to ST Mirren, the away side’s victory extending their winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct and came with a 43% probability. The final score of 1-2 matched the predicted outcome. Every model selection hit: Under 7.5 (97.7%), Under 6.5 (94.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.9%), Under 5.5 (87.3%), Over 1.5 (86.1%), Away +2 handicap (83.8%) and Away over 0.5 goals (83.7%). The most likely total of 3 goals, at 22% probability, was also reflected in the 3-goal tally. The predictions were largely accurate, confirming the model’s assessment.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Airdrie United win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L11D00D00D11D11D22D01L20WH·QUE20/12H·QUE20/12A·ARB27/12H·RAI03/01H·RAI03/01A·AYR10/01A·AYR10/01H·ARB17/01H·ROS24/01A·DUN31/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.230.621.251.361.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.961.250.671.271.311.23
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L02L02L02L11D11D00D10WH·LIV20/12H·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.270.880.811.211.79
vs Stronger (13)1.001.461.001.251.001.80
vs Similar (17)1.061.120.750.381.331.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.7%
Under 2.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2 ✓
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
Airdrie United goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
01234
04.4%5.2%5.6%3.4%1.5%
14.4%11%8.8%5.3%2.4%
24.2%7.6%6.9%4.2%1.9%
32.2%4.0%3.6%2.2%1.0%
40.9%1.6%1.4%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Airdrie United goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Aberdeen
2.60
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
Dundee North End
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.25
Brechin
2.25
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Fraserburgh
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Queen's Park
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
1.75
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Turriff United
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Culter
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Rangers
1.50
Falkirk
1.50
Stranraer
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Elgin
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Tweedmouth
1.03
Lossiemouth
1.03
Johnstone Burgh
1.03
St Cadoc's
1.03
Partick
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Inverurie Loco Works
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Ross County
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Airdrie United and ST Mirren are level in average points per game (both 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Stirling
4.50
Threave Rovers
4.00
Peterhead
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Fraserburgh
3.25
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Aberdeen
2.60
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Dundee North End
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Culter
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Bo'ness United
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Brechin
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Queen's Park
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Tweedmouth
1.44
Lossiemouth
1.44
Johnstone Burgh
1.44
St Cadoc's
1.44
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Hibernian
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Edinburgh City
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Pollok
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Keith
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Airdrie United and ST Mirren are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Rangers
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Hibernian
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Culter
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
East Fife
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Heart Of Midlothian
1.25
Dunfermline
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stirling
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Turriff United
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Falkirk
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Forfar
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Morton
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Partick
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Inverurie Loco Works
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Keith
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Tweedmouth
2.14
Lossiemouth
2.14
Johnstone Burgh
2.14
St Cadoc's
2.14
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Montrose
2.50
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Peterhead
3.00
Ross County
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Airdrie United is 0.67 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 4.2 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

1603969333231374445111215651611816A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

4022211122213112143242423A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 8.5 · Total 17.6

⚠️ Fouls

2501510458811988871211710259162016152317A·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·AYRA·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1707256435348894511474379117812179151110H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

6012133112142111313162343114H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 8.9 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

2701981210141212711813101489891315527222619192322172220H·HEAH·DUNA·LIVA·HEAH·FALA·MOTA·RANH·KILH·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.710.80.80.90.719.419.019.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.710.710.80.91.00.719.419.019.8
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line64%67%60%10%11%9%36%33%40%
% under line36%33%40%90%89%91%64%67%60%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.011.73.33.73.021.421.321.4
vs Stronger (23)10.69.512.14.04.63.122.021.922.1
vs Similar (24)11.010.711.33.12.73.420.720.620.8
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line65%64%67%38%50%25%50%50%50%
% under line35%36%33%62%50%75%50%50%50%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
11.2
Ross County
11.1
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Celtic
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Hibernian
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.7
Aberdeen
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Elgin
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Dundee
10.3
Airdrie United
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.3
Partick
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Kilmarnock
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.7
Livingston
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.6
Clyde
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.4
Forfar
9.3
Inverness CT
9.3
Motherwell
9.3
Cove Rangers
9.2
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Spartans
8.8
Peterhead
8.6
Montrose
8.5
Stenhousemuir
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.8
Peterhead
5.5
Edinburgh City
5.2
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Forfar
4.9
Elgin
4.9
Morton
4.9
Ayr Utd
4.8
Aberdeen
4.6
Clyde
4.5
Hibernian
4.5
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Motherwell
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Partick
4.2
Stirling
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Rangers
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Kelty Hearts
4.0
East Fife
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Dunfermline
3.8
ST Mirren
3.8
Dumbarton
3.7
Celtic
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Dundee
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Ross County
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Cove Rangers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.0
Peterhead
26.4
Livingston
25.8
Motherwell
25.0
Forfar
24.6
Rangers
24.5
Edinburgh City
24.1
Kilmarnock
23.8
Aberdeen
23.8
East Fife
23.7
Falkirk
23.7
Stenhousemuir
23.6
Elgin
23.3
Heart Of Midlothian
23.0
Morton
22.5
Clyde
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.1
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Hibernian
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Stranraer
21.8
Celtic
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Annan Athletic
21.4
Montrose
21.4
Dundee
21.3
Stirling
21.3
ST Mirren
21.1
Dunfermline
20.9
Kelty Hearts
20.9
Ross County
20.9
Spartans
20.7
Arbroath
20.5
Brechin
20.4
Cove Rangers
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Partick
20.2
Dumbarton
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Airdrie United or Draw✗ Miss
57.2%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Airdrie United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United or ST Mirren✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Airdrie United + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ST Mirren✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
24%
43%
covers Draw + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.6%
Under
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.1%
Under
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Airdrie United, so a minus line means Airdrie United give that many goals of a start and ST Mirren receive them. At -1, Airdrie United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Airdrie United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Airdrie United)Actual: ST Mirren
Airdrie United -2
6.3%
Draw -2
9.9%
ST Mirren +2
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Airdrie United)Actual: ST Mirren
Airdrie United -1
16.2%
Draw -1
16.5%
ST Mirren +1
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Airdrie United)Actual: Draw
Airdrie United +1
57.2%
Draw +1
19.2%
ST Mirren -1
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Airdrie United)Actual: Airdrie United
Airdrie United +2
76.4%
Draw +2
13.2%
ST Mirren -2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D00D00D11D11D10W00D10WH·QUE20/12H·QUE20/12A·ARB27/12H·RAI03/01H·RAI03/01A·AYR10/01A·AYR10/01H·ARB17/01H·ROS24/01A·DUN31/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.120.500.570.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.680.130.530.620.85
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L01L00D00D11D00D00D00DH·LIV20/12H·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.500.190.430.64
vs Stronger (13)0.310.310.500.380.000.20
vs Similar (17)0.590.470.500.000.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L11D00D00D00D00D12L01L10WH·QUE20/12H·QUE20/12A·ARB27/12H·RAI03/01H·RAI03/01A·AYR10/01A·AYR10/01H·ARB17/01H·ROS24/01A·DUN31/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.500.750.790.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.610.570.530.730.690.38
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D01L02L02L00D11D00D10WH·LIV20/12H·KIL27/12A·RAN30/12A·MOT03/01H·FAL10/01A·HEA14/01A·LIV17/01A·LIV20/01H·DUN31/01H·HEA03/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.380.620.791.14
vs Stronger (13)0.691.150.500.881.001.60
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.250.380.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals88.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.587.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.586.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap83.8%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals83.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.5%--------
Over 19.5 fouls77.4%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.1%--------
Home +2 handicap76.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
LIV (29)
€6m
DUN (31)
€6m
SJ (26)
€5m
PAR (22)
€3m
RC (26)
€2m
MOR (26)
€2m
ARB (25)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
DUN (10)
€3m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
LIV (12)
€2m
RC (9)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
ARB (5)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
LIV (8)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
PAR (7)
€1m
SJ (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (8)
€1m
RC (5)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
DUN (14)
€2m
LIV (9)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
PAR (9)
€1m
RC (12)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (12)
€1m
MON (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AU wins
0
Draws
0
SM wins

Head-to-head

Airdrie United vs ST Mirren · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26ADunfermline Vs AU0-2
24/01/26HAU Vs Ross County0-1
17/01/26HAU Vs Arbroath2-2
10/01/26AAyr Vs AU1-1
10/01/26AAyr Utd Vs AU1-1
03/01/26HAU Vs Raith Rvs0-0
03/01/26HAU Vs Raith Rovers0-0
27/12/25AArbroath Vs AU1-1
20/12/25HAU Vs Queens Park0-3
20/12/25HAU Vs Queen's Park0-3

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/26HSM Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
31/01/26HSM Vs Dundee0-0
20/01/26ALivingston Vs SM1-1
17/01/26ALivingston Vs SM1-1
14/01/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs SM2-0
10/01/26HSM Vs Falkirk0-2
03/01/26AMotherwell Vs SM2-0
30/12/25ARangers Vs SM2-1
27/12/25HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-0
20/12/25HSM Vs Livingston1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLW1.20
HomeLDDDL0.93
AwayWDDDW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%19%39%
AVG goals2.182.042.35
Over 1.5 %64%56%74%
Over 2.5 %44%44%43%
Over 3.5 %16%19%13%
Scored1.040.851.26
Conceded1.141.191.09
BTTS44%37%52%
Clean Sheet32%30%35%
Corners10.7310.6710.80
Cards3.453.833.00
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: FA Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.38
HomeWDLDW1.54
AwayLLLDD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.702.582.83
Over 1.5 %74%58%92%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.421.461.38
Conceded1.281.121.46
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners10.8010.0511.72
Cards3.803.963.60

🏆 16. League Table

Airdrie United plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
3121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
6
3121.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0111.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
2
1111.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
2
1011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
2
1111.21.2
-
10Queens ParkQueens Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
3
2011.01.3
-
11QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr		3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
3
1111.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
ST Mirren plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
154
5538601.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
33
19951.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
127
5928402.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
21
12461.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
30
141061.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
7
2231.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
0
0001.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
12
2551.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
24
10581.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
13
5351.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
3320.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
6
2321.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
6
3120.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0110.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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