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Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 18:00
Ajax
Ajax
Vs
64%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Ajax’s recent unbeaten run of five matches, highlighted by a 4-2 win over FC Sion, sets the stage for a clear favourite at home. The model assigns a 63 % chance to a home victory, 21 % for a draw and 17 % for an away win, making a home win the most likely result. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a lively encounter, with the most probable scoreline being 2-1 for Ajax, a 9.7 % probability. Ajax’s home form shows they average 2.25 goals scored and only 1.08 conceded against weaker opposition, while Excelsior’s away record against stronger teams yields just 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.1 %), Under 6.5 (93.9 %), Home +2 handicap (93.5 %), Home over 0.5 goals (90.1 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.2 %), Under 5.5 cards (89.1 %) and Over 1.5 (86.7 %). The model’s selections reflect a dominant home advantage and a tight defensive contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajax win
64.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win
15.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D41W31W20W22D22D42W53W40WH·GRO21/05H·UTR24/05H·VOJ30/07H·SHE06/08A·PEC09/08A·SHE13/08H·HEE16/08A·FC 20/08H·FC 27/08A·TEL30/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.302.271.271.801.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.172.171.502.001.002.25
vs Weaker (24)2.251.082.381.152.091.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L22D50W32W11D32W40W12L21WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.401.331.331.531.47
vs Stronger (10)1.401.701.801.601.001.80
vs Similar (20)1.451.251.101.201.801.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.9%
Under 2.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 3.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
Ajax goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
04.2%2.8%1.9%0.7%0.2%
17.0%9.2%4.5%1.6%0.4%
29.0%9.7%5.2%1.9%0.5%
37.0%7.5%4.0%1.4%0.4%
44.1%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Ajax is 0.55 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Ajax is 0.51 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Ajax is 0.51 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Ajax is 8.8 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (56% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AjaxAjax

For 7.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1504552757211410214828449712915121410124A·TELH·FC A·FC H·HEEA·SHEA·PECH·SHEH·VOJH·UTRH·GRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

50241312323112211432545522353H·FC A·FC H·HEEA·SHEA·PECH·SHEH·VOJH·UTRH·GROA·HEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

330131147107810121010121149181617131724111718222215273330A·TELH·FC A·FC H·HEEA·SHEA·PECH·SHEH·VOJH·UTRH·GRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

13064178525585322525161081375135777H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

4021141341121311113144413422H·SPAH·PSVA·SPAH·FC H·UTRA·PECA·HERA·FEYH·HEEH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

320137931161511107105128131089151720121726171520231732H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.23.23.03.421.323.019.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.210.38.23.42.94.024.124.323.8
vs Weaker (37)9.98.810.93.23.13.320.322.518.2
% over line51%43%58%42%36%48%51%65%38%
% under line49%57%42%58%64%52%49%35%62%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.79.92.62.72.521.520.722.4
vs Stronger (17)9.37.211.61.91.82.118.817.620.1
vs Similar (32)9.29.29.23.03.42.622.822.123.4
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line43%38%48%30%28%32%47%38%57%
% under line57%62%52%70%72%68%53%62%43%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Willem II
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Telstar
10.6
ADO Den Haag
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.4
Heerenveen
10.2
Feyenoord
10.1
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Twente
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.8
Ajax
9.7
Excelsior
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cambuur
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.7
Ajax
3.6
ADO Den Haag
3.6
Groningen
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Willem II
3.1
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.5
Cambuur
26.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.4
Utrecht
23.2
Feyenoord
22.8
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Willem II
22.3
Ajax
21.8
Excelsior
21.7
Groningen
20.7
Twente
20.6
Sparta Rotterdam
20.6
Heerenveen
20.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.2%
Under 9.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.5%
Under 21.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ajax or Draw
84.7%
Avg Implied -
64%
20%
15%
covers Ajax + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajax or Excelsior
79.7%
Avg Implied -
64%
20%
15%
covers Ajax + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Excelsior
35.6%
Avg Implied -
64%
20%
15%
covers Draw + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ajax over/under 0.5
Over
90.2%
Under
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5
Over
40.9%
Under
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 3.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5
Over
65.8%
Under
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5
Over
29.1%
Under
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ajax, so a minus line means Ajax give that many goals of a start and Excelsior receive them. At -1, Ajax must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ajax win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ajax)
Ajax -2
23.4%
Draw -2
19.3%
Excelsior +2
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ajax)
Ajax -1
42.7%
Draw -1
21.6%
Excelsior +1
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ajax)
Ajax +1
84.7%
Draw +1
9.6%
Excelsior -1
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ajax)
Ajax +2
94.2%
Draw +2
4.1%
Excelsior -2
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D20W00D21W21W01L32W10WH·GRO21/05H·UTR24/05H·VOJ30/07H·SHE06/08A·PEC09/08A·SHE13/08H·HEE16/08A·FC 20/08H·FC 27/08A·TEL30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.400.470.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.170.670.500.500.000.75
vs Weaker (24)1.330.381.540.461.090.27
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D20W11D11D10W30W01L10WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.600.400.800.67
vs Stronger (10)0.600.800.600.800.600.80
vs Similar (20)0.750.400.600.200.900.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D30W11D20W01L01L41W21W30WH·GRO21/05H·UTR24/05H·VOJ30/07H·SHE06/08A·PEC09/08A·SHE13/08H·HEE16/08A·FC 20/08H·FC 27/08A·TEL30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.870.870.801.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.501.001.501.001.50
vs Weaker (24)0.920.710.850.691.000.73
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D30W21W00D22D10W11D11DA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.730.930.730.80
vs Stronger (10)0.800.901.200.800.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.850.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------
Under 6.594.3%-------
Home +2 handicap94.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals90.2%-------
Under 5.5 cards89.6%-------
Under 5.587.2%-------
Over 1.586.1%-------
Home or Draw84.7%-------
Home +1 handicap84.7%-------
Under 25.5 fouls80.9%-------
Home or Away79.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals79.6%-------
Under 4.5 cards78.2%-------
Under 4.574.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.9%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davy Klaassen57%
Tolu Arokodare50%
Julian Brandt43%
Mika Godts33%
Kasper Dolberg25%
Owen Wijndal25%
Marcos Leonardo25%
Anton Gaaei25%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen17%
Youri Baas17%
Steven Berghuis14%
Oscar Gloukh14%
Abdellah Ouazane14%
Jorthy Mokio12%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Caio Henrique0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Dies Janse0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Rosa40%
Youri Regeer29%
Anton Gaaei25%
Jorthy Mokio25%
Aaron Bouwman25%
Davy Klaassen14%
Abdellah Ouazane14%
Marcos Leonardo12%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Kasper Dolberg0%
Julian Brandt0%
Caio Henrique0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Steven Berghuis0%
Maarten Paes0%
Tolu Arokodare0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Baas0%
Oscar Gloukh0%
Mika Godts0%
Dies Janse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts67%
Steven Berghuis43%
Tolu Arokodare33%
Caio Henrique29%
Lucas Rosa20%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen17%
Youri Regeer14%
Oscar Gloukh14%
Abdellah Ouazane14%
Jorthy Mokio12%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Kasper Dolberg0%
Julian Brandt0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Maarten Paes0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Youri Baas0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Dies Janse0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts67%
Kasper Dolberg50%
Steven Berghuis43%
Marcos Leonardo38%
Anton Gaaei25%
Jorthy Mokio25%
Tolu Arokodare17%
Oscar Gloukh14%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Julian Brandt0%
Caio Henrique0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Youri Baas0%
Dies Janse0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Abdellah Ouazane0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Casper Widell33%
David Garden33%
Irakli Yegoian33%
Nesto Groen33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Jan Plug0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Simon Janssen33%
Jan Plug33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Irakli Yegoian67%
Simon Janssen33%
Ilano Silva Timas33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Garden33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Jan Plug0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Ajax's squad is €157m more valuable than Excelsior's (€173m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Ajax's attack is €88m more valuable than Excelsior's (€95m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Ajax's midfield is €12m more valuable than Excelsior's (€15m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Ajax's defence is €57m more valuable than Excelsior's (€63m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AJA wins
3
Draws
1
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajax vs Excelsior · H/A from AJA
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/26AExcelsior Vs AJA2-2
22/11/25HAJA Vs Excelsior1-2
24/04/24HAJA Vs Excelsior2-2
19/08/23AExcelsior Vs AJA2-2
29/01/23AExcelsior Vs AJA1-4
16/10/22HAJA Vs Excelsior7-1
13/04/19HAJA Vs Excelsior6-2
11/11/18AExcelsior Vs AJA1-7

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATelstar Vs AJA0-4
27/08/26HAJA Vs FC Sion5-3
20/08/26AFC Sion Vs AJA2-4
16/08/26HAJA Vs Heerenveen2-2
13/08/26AShelbourne Vs AJA2-2
09/08/26APEC Zwolle Vs AJA0-2
06/08/26HAJA Vs Shelbourne3-1
30/07/26HAJA Vs Vojvodina4-1
24/05/26HAJA Vs Utrecht0-0
21/05/26HAJA Vs Groningen2-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam2-1
15/08/26HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
07/08/26ACambuur Vs EXC0-4
17/05/26ASparta Rotterdam Vs EXC2-3
10/05/26HEXC Vs FC Volendam1-1
02/05/26AGroningen Vs EXC2-3
26/04/26HEXC Vs Utrecht5-0
12/04/26APEC Zwolle Vs EXC2-2
04/04/26HEXC Vs NEC Nijmegen0-2
20/03/26AHeracles Vs EXC1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.62
HomeDWWDW1.56
AwayDWDWW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals3.523.123.92
Over 1.5 %94%96%92%
Over 2.5 %68%60%76%
Over 3.5 %50%36%64%
Scored1.961.802.12
Conceded1.561.321.80
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.729.0810.36
Cards3.623.383.88
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.46
HomeLWDLW1.48
AwayDDWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.962.643.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.581.561.60
Conceded1.381.081.68
BTTS64%52%76%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.408.969.84
Cards3.113.093.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar412
100%
3.0
133+10
4.0
100%
50%
50%
14.0
100%
2.2
25%
23.8
50%
136
6121543.20.8
53%
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven410
75%
2.5
155+10
5.0
100%
100%
75%
10.8
50%
2.8
25%
17.5
25%
280
106601153.81.2
61%
3FeyenoordFeyenoord48
50%
2.0
106+4
4.0
75%
75%
75%
11.8
75%
2.3
0%
17.8
25%
229
9343932.51.5
53%
4AjaxAjax37
67%
2.3
82+6
3.3
100%
67%
67%
10.0
33%
4.5
100%
21.3
67%
173
9515632.70.7
56%
5GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles47
50%
1.8
119+2
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
2.0
0%
17.2
25%
22
9482.82.2
49%
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard47
50%
1.8
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.8
50%
3.0
25%
17.0
0%
17
6472.01.8
45%
7NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen36
67%
2.0
84+4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
10.7
67%
3.0
67%
26.3
100%
54
225262.71.3
57%
8TwenteTwente36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
67%
67%
67%
10.7
67%
2.5
0%
16.7
0%
87
3413392.31.0
54%
9ExcelsiorExcelsior36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
2.0
0%
16.3
0%
16
7362.31.0
48%
10GroningenGroningen46
50%
1.5
910-1
4.8
100%
100%
75%
8.8
25%
2.8
25%
19.8
50%
32
126142.22.5
50%
11HeerenveenHeerenveen45
25%
1.2
56-1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
2.7
33%
14.5
0%
50
246201.21.5
51%
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam44
25%
1.0
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
50%
12.2
100%
2.7
0%
23.0
50%
28
142121.81.8
47%
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle43
25%
0.8
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.8
50%
3.3
67%
20.0
50%
21
84101.02.0
45%
14TelstarTelstar33
33%
1.0
38-5
3.7
100%
100%
67%
12.3
67%
3.0
50%
26.7
100%
8
3231.02.7
45%
15Willem IIWillem II31
0%
0.3
410-6
4.7
100%
100%
100%
9.0
33%
2.0
0%
19.3
33%
13
4451.33.3
-
16ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag41
0%
0.2
411-7
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.2
50%
2.0
0%
20.5
75%
13
7151.02.8
-
17UtrechtUtrecht41
0%
0.2
615-9
5.2
100%
100%
75%
10.8
75%
4.7
67%
29.5
100%
61
3314151.53.8
47%
18CambuurCambuur40
0%
0.0
416-12
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.8
75%
1.7
0%
20.5
25%
12
3181.04.0
-
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

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