Ajax is the clear favourite to win at home, with the model predicting a 68% chance of victory. The model's confidence stems from Heerenveen's struggles on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, where they concede an average of 3 goals. Meanwhile, Ajax has excelled at home, scoring 2.25 goals per game against weaker opponents.
The expected total number of goals is 3.3, with the model predicting a most likely score of 2-0, which is the most probable outcome. Heerenveen's away form is a concern, as they score only 0.8 goals per game against stronger opponents, while Ajax's home form is impressive, conceding just 0.92 goals per game against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 68% chance. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with an 84.9% probability. The probabilities for the match result are: Home win 68%, Draw 20%, Away win 13%. The suggested picks are Home win 68%, Draw 20%, Away win 13%, Over 1.584.9%.
Results analysis
Ajax's unbeaten run was extended to six matches with a thrilling 2-2 draw against Heerenveen. The home side's impressive recent form, unbeaten in their last 5 matches, came as no surprise, but the actual result defied expectations. The pre-match favourite, Ajax, failed to come through, as the model's selection of a home win was incorrect. The model had assigned a 68% probability to Ajax winning, but Heerenveen's strong away form and the model's suggested pick of 'Over 1.5' goals proved to be a more accurate prediction, hitting with an 84.9% probability. Heerenveen's away form, coming off a draw against Ajax in their last match, was also a key factor in the outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ajax win✗ Miss
67.6%
Avg Implied 65.4% · @ 1.44
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Dafabet
1.46
888Sport
1.44
Draw✓ Hit
19.5%
Avg Implied 19.5% · @ 4.83
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.20
Pinnacle
5.07
Betano
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.94
Heerenveen win✗ Miss
12.9%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 6.21
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.70
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.43
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ajax
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.27
2.07
1.00
2.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.86
1.67
1.33
1.00
2.25
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
1.09
2.18
0.91
2.33
1.25
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.57
1.92
1.08
1.41
1.94
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.00
1.25
1.25
1.20
2.60
vs Similar (20)
1.75
1.40
2.12
1.00
1.50
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
@ 1.10-0.0%
Under 1.5
15.1%
@ 6.23+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Under
Pinnacle
6.56
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.0%
@ 1.38-3.6%
Under 2.5
36.0%
@ 2.89+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.95
Unibet
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.9%
@ 2.00-5.2%
Under 3.5
58.1%
@ 1.78+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.09
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.53-4.2%
No
43.6%
@ 2.36+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%@ 8.96+5.1%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.79+3.9%
1-1
9.1%@ 9.26+4.2%
3-0
8.0%@ 10.85+3.8%
1-0
7.8%@ 10.12+3.4%
3-1
7.6%@ 9.81+3.0%
4-0
4.7%@ 16.86+2.0%
2-2 ✓
4.6%@ 13.14+1.2%
Ajax goals ↓
Heerenveen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
2.7%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
7.8%
9.1%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
2
10%
9.7%
4.6%
1.5%
0.3%
3
8.0%
7.6%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.7%
4.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = Heerenveen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Cambuur
1.04
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Ajax is 0.25 points better than Heerenveen in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Willem II
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
ADO Den Haag
1.15
Ajax is 0.14 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.64).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.94
Cambuur
2.09
PEC Zwolle
2.09
ADO Den Haag
2.17
Ajax is 0.47 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Ajax is 5.2 percentage points better than Heerenveen in terms of average possession (56% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ajax
For 7.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
For 5.4 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.1 · Total 18.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ajax
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.5
3.5
3.1
3.8
22.3
24.2
20.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.5
10.0
9.0
3.9
3.3
4.4
25.1
25.4
24.7
vs Weaker (36)
10.2
9.4
11.1
3.3
3.0
3.6
21.2
23.7
18.6
% over line
54%
48%
60%
42%
32%
52%
56%
72%
40%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
58%
68%
48%
44%
28%
60%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.1
2.9
3.0
2.9
20.6
19.7
21.4
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
10.4
10.0
2.6
1.8
3.1
19.6
18.0
20.7
vs Similar (35)
10.3
10.1
10.5
3.1
3.5
2.8
21.3
20.3
22.2
vs Weaker (3)
9.0
12.0
7.5
2.0
1.0
2.5
17.3
18.0
17.0
% over line
54%
61%
48%
30%
35%
26%
40%
30%
48%
% under line
46%
39%
52%
70%
65%
74%
60%
70%
52%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Fortuna Sittard
10.7
Telstar
10.6
Willem II
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.5
ADO Den Haag
10.4
Heerenveen
10.2
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Twente
10.0
Ajax
10.0
Feyenoord
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.7
Excelsior
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NEC Nijmegen
4.1
Cambuur
4.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.0
Feyenoord
3.9
Utrecht
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.7
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Twente
3.6
Ajax
3.6
Groningen
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
27.2
Cambuur
26.5
NEC Nijmegen
24.0
Fortuna Sittard
23.7
Utrecht
23.0
Feyenoord
22.9
PEC Zwolle
22.9
AZ Alkmaar
22.8
Willem II
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Ajax
22.3
Excelsior
21.8
Twente
20.7
Groningen
20.7
Heerenveen
20.6
Sparta Rotterdam
20.4
GO Ahead Eagles
19.1
PSV Eindhoven
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Under 9.5
41.2%
@ 2.24+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.5%
@ 2.12-7.2%
Under 3.5
63.5%
@ 1.65+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Unibet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.62
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.6%
Under 21.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ajax or Draw✓ Hit
87.1%
Avg Implied -
68%
20%
13%
covers Ajax + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajax or Heerenveen✗ Miss
80.5%
Avg Implied -
68%
20%
13%
covers Ajax + Heerenveen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heerenveen✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied -
68%
20%
13%
covers Draw + Heerenveen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ajax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.37
1.21
0.29
1.12
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.30
1.36
0.27
1.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.85
0.62
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.11
0.75
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ajax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.86
0.71
0.88
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.83
0.78
0.82
0.64
0.83
0.92
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
1.08
0.46
0.94
1.18
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.89
0.50
0.25
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.85
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
80.6%
1.33
Unibet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
1.31
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+1.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julian Brandt50%
Davy Klaassen50%
Tolu Arokodare40%
Anton Gaaei33%
Mika Godts33%
Kasper Dolberg25%
Owen Wijndal25%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen20%
Youri Baas20%
Oscar Gloukh17%
Abdellah Ouazane17%
Marcos Leonardo14%
Jorthy Mokio14%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Caio Henrique0%
Steven Berghuis0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Rosa40%
Anton Gaaei33%
Youri Regeer29%
Jorthy Mokio29%
Aaron Bouwman29%
Davy Klaassen17%
Abdellah Ouazane17%
Marcos Leonardo14%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Kasper Dolberg0%
Julian Brandt0%
Caio Henrique0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Steven Berghuis0%
Maarten Paes0%
Tolu Arokodare0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Baas0%
Oscar Gloukh0%
Mika Godts0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts67%
Tolu Arokodare40%
Caio Henrique33%
Steven Berghuis33%
Lucas Rosa20%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen20%
Abdellah Ouazane17%
Youri Regeer14%
Jorthy Mokio14%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Kasper Dolberg0%
Julian Brandt0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Maarten Paes0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Youri Baas0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Oscar Gloukh0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts67%
Kasper Dolberg50%
Steven Berghuis50%
Marcos Leonardo43%
Anton Gaaei33%
Jorthy Mokio29%
Tolu Arokodare20%
Oscar Gloukh17%
Marc-André Ter Stegen0%
Daley Blind0%
Julian Brandt0%
Caio Henrique0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Youri Baas0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Abdellah Ouazane0%
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Trenskow33%
Dylan Vente0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dirk Wanner Proper33%
Jacob Trenskow33%
Dylan Vente0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam Kersten33%
Jacob Trenskow33%
Dylan Vente0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dylan Vente33%
Jacob Trenskow33%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Ajax's squad is €123m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€173m vs €50m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Ajax's attack is €71m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€95m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Ajax's midfield is €8m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€15m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Ajax's defence is €43m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€63m vs €20m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Excelsior
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Utrecht
Cambuur