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Ajax vs Heracles Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2025
Time: 14:45
Final 2-0
Ajax
Ajax
Vs
79%
15%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heracles
Heracles
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajax win✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied 81.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied 12.5% · @ 7.54
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heracles win✗ Miss
6.5%
Avg Implied 6.6% · @ 14.34
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W31W21W04L11D03L22D20W20W22DA·PSV30/03H·NAC06/04A·WIL13/04A·UTR20/04H·SPA27/04H·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.101.811.061.361.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.381.381.401.801.330.67
vs Weaker (22)1.681.002.000.731.361.27
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeraclesHeracles

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D10W14L14L21W14L12L04L14LH·TWE30/03A·WAA06/04H·AZ 13/04A·GRO23/04H·FEY03/05A·WIL09/05A·PSV14/05H·NEC18/05A·UTR10/08H·NEC16/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.701.691.500.861.93
vs Stronger (12)1.002.251.501.330.503.17
vs Similar (18)1.501.331.801.601.121.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%011%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.3%
@ 1.33-6.0%
Under 2.5
35.7%
@ 3.14+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.2%
Under 3.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.7%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
4-1
5.0%
Ajax goals ↓
Heracles goals →
01234
04.3%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
19.0%7.1%2.2%0.5%0.1%
213%8.6%2.9%0.6%0.1%
311%7.5%2.5%0.6%0.1%
47.4%5.0%1.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajax goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Ajax is 1.11 points better than Heracles in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Ajax is 0.75 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Ajax is 1.36 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 2.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Ajax is 11.7 percentage points better than Heracles in terms of average possession (56% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AjaxAjax

For 7.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

180968104634811141111119251518107915121297A·GO H·TELH·TWEA·GROH·NECH·SPAA·UTRA·WILH·NACA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

90212363412311153253297341637A·GO H·TWEA·GROH·NECH·SPAA·UTRA·WILH·NACA·PSVH·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

28012991210171315121210121174881881021212728242218122618A·GO H·TELH·TWEA·GROH·NECH·SPAA·UTRA·WILH·NACA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeraclesHeracles

For 5.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1503744951101055153639616108141115689157H·NECA·UTRH·NECA·PSVA·WILH·FEYA·GROH·AZ A·WAAH·TWE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70322111131521115225312453272H·NECA·UTRH·NECA·WILH·FEYA·GROH·AZ A·WAAH·TWEA·HEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

280911161010987116111017913101211151320261915172126232328H·NECA·UTRH·NECA·PSVA·WILH·FEYA·GROH·AZ A·WAAH·TWE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.48.63.93.84.023.322.823.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)8.88.98.85.36.34.326.324.128.8
vs Weaker (36)9.09.68.53.42.83.922.122.322.0
% over line38%46%30%50%56%44%49%50%48%
% under line62%54%70%50%44%56%51%50%52%
This opponent (Heracles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeraclesHeracles

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.710.32.93.22.623.522.924.1
vs Stronger (17)9.49.09.82.63.61.623.021.724.1
vs Similar (33)11.011.410.63.02.93.123.723.424.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%65%55%34%38%29%64%57%73%
% under line40%35%45%66%62%71%36%43%27%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Heracles
10.7
NEC Nijmegen
10.6
Telstar
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Utrecht
10.2
Excelsior
10.0
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
PEC Zwolle
9.6
Twente
9.6
Heerenveen
9.5
NAC Breda
9.4
AZ Alkmaar
9.3
Groningen
9.1
Ajax
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.5
Ajax
4.4
Twente
3.9
Excelsior
3.8
Groningen
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
FC Volendam
3.6
Heracles
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
Telstar
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.6
Ajax
23.4
FC Volendam
23.0
Heracles
22.9
AZ Alkmaar
22.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.9
Excelsior
21.8
PEC Zwolle
21.8
NEC Nijmegen
21.6
Twente
21.4
Heerenveen
21.4
Feyenoord
21.1
Groningen
20.9
Utrecht
20.8
NAC Breda
20.4
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
Sparta Rotterdam
18.0
PSV Eindhoven
17.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.8%
Under 21.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W01L01L00D00D10W10W10W22DA·PSV30/03H·NAC06/04A·WIL13/04A·UTR20/04H·SPA27/04H·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.810.310.430.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.400.600.330.33
vs Weaker (22)0.730.361.000.180.450.55
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeraclesHeracles

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D12L03L10W04L00D01L11DH·TWE30/03A·WAA06/04H·AZ 13/04A·GRO23/04H·FEY03/05A·WIL09/05A·PSV14/05H·NEC18/05A·UTR10/08H·NEC16/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.750.690.431.00
vs Stronger (12)0.421.250.670.830.171.67
vs Similar (18)0.720.560.800.600.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W03L11D03L12L10W10W00DA·PSV30/03H·NAC06/04A·WIL13/04A·UTR20/04H·SPA27/04H·NEC11/05A·GRO14/05H·TWE18/05H·TEL10/08A·GO 17/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.000.750.930.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.881.001.201.000.33
vs Weaker (22)0.950.641.000.550.910.73
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeraclesHeracles

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W02L11D11D10W12L03L03LH·TWE30/03A·WAA06/04H·AZ 13/04A·GRO23/04H·FEY03/05A·WIL09/05A·PSV14/05H·NEC18/05A·UTR10/08H·NEC16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.940.810.430.93
vs Stronger (12)0.581.000.830.500.331.50
vs Similar (18)0.780.781.001.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards84.7%-------✓ Hit
Home win78.6%1.16------2.4%✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Godts32%
Oscar Gloukh21%
Wout Weghorst21%
Davy Klaassen20%
Kasper Dolberg17%
Steven Berghuis14%
Jorthy Mokio11%
Kenneth Taylor11%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Anton Gaaei8%
Owen Wijndal7%
Youri Baas7%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Raúl Moro5%
Kian Fitz-Jim5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wout Weghorst26%
Aaron Bouwman21%
Youri Regeer16%
Anton Gaaei16%
Kenneth Taylor16%
Lucas Rosa15%
Owen Wijndal15%
James McConnell14%
Rayane Bounida14%
Steven Berghuis14%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen14%
Youri Baas12%
Kou Itakura12%
Kian Fitz-Jim9%
Mika Godts9%
Sean Steur8%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Davy Klaassen7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Vítězslav Jaroš4%
Kasper Dolberg3%
Josip Šutalo3%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts34%
Kenneth Taylor21%
Rayane Bounida18%
Oscar Gloukh16%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu11%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Raúl Moro10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Jorthy Mokio8%
Sean Steur8%
Youri Regeer5%
Davy Klaassen5%
Steven Berghuis5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Lucas Rosa3%
Youri Baas2%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kou Itakura0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts27%
Steven Berghuis23%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Youri Baas0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Heracles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jizz Hornkamp47%
Yvandro Borges Sanches25%
Luka Kulenović19%
Lequincio Zeefuik14%
Ajdin Hrustić13%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Mike te Wierik8%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck7%
Walid Ould-Chikh7%
Thomas Bruns7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Ivan Mesík6%
Damon Mirani6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Mario Engels4%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Jan Žambůrek24%
Mimeirhel Benita23%
Ivan Mesík21%
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Sem Scheperman19%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck19%
Damon Mirani17%
Jannes Wieckhoff14%
Jizz Hornkamp13%
Rhys Bozinovski12%
Mario Engels11%
Walid Ould-Chikh11%
Thomas Bruns11%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Djevencio van der Kust9%
Mike te Wierik8%
Luka Kulenović6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Walid Ould-Chikh19%
Bryan Limbombe16%
Djevencio van der Kust13%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Luka Kulenović9%
Yvandro Borges Sanches8%
Mario Engels7%
Jizz Hornkamp7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Jan Žambůrek3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jizz Hornkamp40%
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Luka Kulenović22%
Sava Arangel Čestić12%
Tristan van Gilst7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mike te Wierik4%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck4%
Thomas Bruns4%
Ajdin Hrustić3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Mario Engels0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Walid Ould-Chikh0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Ajax's squad is €165m more valuable than Heracles's (€173m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Ajax's attack is €91m more valuable than Heracles's (€95m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Ajax's midfield is €14m more valuable than Heracles's (€15m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Ajax's defence is €60m more valuable than Heracles's (€63m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
AJA wins
1
Draws
0
HER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajax vs Heracles · H/A from AJA
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25HAJA Vs Heracles4-0
20/10/24AHeracles Vs AJA3-4
27/01/24AHeracles Vs AJA2-4
12/08/23HAJA Vs Heracles4-1
06/02/22HAJA Vs Heracles3-0
30/10/21AHeracles Vs AJA0-0
13/02/21AHeracles Vs AJA0-2
22/11/20HAJA Vs Heracles5-0

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs AJA2-2
10/08/25HAJA Vs Telstar2-0
18/05/25HAJA Vs Twente2-0
14/05/25AGroningen Vs AJA2-2
11/05/25HAJA Vs NEC Nijmegen0-3
27/04/25HAJA Vs Sparta Rotterdam1-1
20/04/25AUtrecht Vs AJA4-0
13/04/25AWillem II Vs AJA1-2
06/04/25HAJA Vs NAC Breda3-1
30/03/25APSV Eindhoven Vs AJA0-2

HeraclesHeracles

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HHER Vs NEC Nijmegen1-4
10/08/25AUtrecht Vs HER4-0
18/05/25HHER Vs NEC Nijmegen1-2
14/05/25APSV Eindhoven Vs HER4-1
09/05/25AWillem II Vs HER1-2
03/05/25HHER Vs Feyenoord1-4
23/04/25AGroningen Vs HER4-1
13/04/25HHER Vs AZ Alkmaar1-0
06/04/25AWaalwijk Vs HER0-0
30/03/25HHER Vs Twente2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD2.08
HomeWDLWW2.28
AwayWWLDD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%72%56%
AVG goals2.983.162.80
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %56%68%44%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.962.281.64
Conceded1.020.881.16
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet44%48%40%
Corners8.989.388.57
Cards4.434.524.35
Heracles
Heracles
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.18
HomeWWLLL1.42
AwayDLWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.983.122.83
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.201.580.79
Conceded1.781.542.04
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners10.4910.7010.27
Cards3.513.733.26

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches