The most likely outcome of this match is an away win for Beșiktaș, as indicated by the model's pick. This is consistent with the probabilities, where Alanyaspor has a 24% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and Beșiktaș has a 49% chance of winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13%.
Alanyaspor has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 2.0 goals against stronger opponents. Beșiktaș has also had issues away from home, but has been more effective, scoring 1.92 goals and conceding 1.0 goal against weaker opponents.
The model suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls (77%), Over 1.5 goals (76%), Under 3.5 goals (72%), and Over 3.5 cards (71%). Alanyaspor has a 24% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and Beșiktaș has a 49% chance of winning.
Results analysis
Alanyaspor’s win over Beşiktaş was the shock of the day, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite for an away victory. The final score was 1-0, giving the home side a hard-fought win that left the prediction model wrong. The model had assigned a 49 % probability to an away win, but the outcome was the opposite. Its suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 98.0 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4 %, and Under 5.5 at 94.4 %. Alanyaspor were coming off a win, while Beşiktaş had just suffered a defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Alanyaspor win✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.45
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.90
Pinnacle
4.82
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.75
1xBet
4.72
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.59
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.72
Pinnacle
3.72
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Beşiktaş win✗ Miss
48.7%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.78
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Alanyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.64
1.43
1.31
1.12
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.89
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.00
1.80
1.20
1.45
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.73
1.83
0.61
1.58
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.83
0.67
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (24)
1.92
0.71
2.07
0.53
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
@ 1.27+2.4%
Under 1.5
23.8%
@ 3.57-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
3.90
Unibet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.62
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.90+0.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.90-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.98
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
10Bet
2.10
888Sport
2.00
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
@ 3.16-1.2%
Under 3.5
71.6%
@ 1.33+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Betano
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
@ 1.78+1.6%
No
46.0%
@ 1.96-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
No
10Bet
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Unibet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
William Hil
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.43+6.0%
0-1
9.8%@ 6.65+3.0%
1-2
9.5%@ 7.61+3.6%
0-2
8.8%@ 8.00+3.2%
0-0
8.0%@ 9.54+3.2%
2-1
6.4%@ 12.99+2.9%
1-0 ✓
6.1%@ 11.60+2.2%
2-2
5.1%@ 13.78+1.9%
Alanyaspor goals ↓
Beşiktaş goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
9.8%
8.8%
4.7%
1.9%
1
6.1%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.1%
2
3.9%
6.4%
5.1%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.4%
2.3%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alanyaspor goals (down), columns = Beşiktaş goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Alanyaspor is 0.68 points worse than Beşiktaş in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Alanyaspor is 0.53 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Alanyaspor is 0.03 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Alanyaspor is 7.4 percentage points worse than Beşiktaş in terms of average possession (48% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Alanyaspor
For 4.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
For 7.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alanyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.9
8.4
7.4
4.1
3.7
4.4
26.7
25.9
27.5
vs Stronger (15)
7.7
7.8
7.6
3.7
3.6
3.9
25.2
25.3
25.1
vs Similar (34)
8.0
8.6
7.3
4.4
3.8
4.9
27.3
26.1
28.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
32%
32%
32%
56%
46%
65%
82%
77%
86%
% under line
68%
68%
68%
44%
54%
35%
18%
23%
14%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.4
10.1
4.6
4.9
4.2
25.3
27.0
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.5
9.3
11.7
5.9
5.5
6.2
24.2
25.0
23.3
vs Weaker (41)
10.2
10.6
9.8
4.3
4.7
3.7
25.5
27.4
23.2
% over line
53%
61%
45%
64%
67%
61%
74%
83%
65%
% under line
47%
39%
55%
36%
33%
39%
26%
17%
35%
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
9.1
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Göztepe
5.1
Konyaspor
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Samsunspor
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Fenerbahçe
25.2
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.4%
@ 2.00+0.9%
Under 9.5
52.6%
@ 1.73-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.32+2.4%
Under 3.5
29.9%
@ 2.77-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
2.77
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.6%
Under 21.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Alanyaspor or Draw✓ Hit
51.3%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.99
Edge
+4.2%
24%
27%
49%
covers Alanyaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.08
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.02
Alanyaspor or Beşiktaş✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.5%
24%
27%
49%
covers Alanyaspor + Beşiktaş
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
Draw or Beşiktaş✗ Miss
75.8%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.7%
24%
27%
49%
covers Draw + Beşiktaş
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.0%
@ 1.49+3.4%
Under
34.0%
@ 2.49-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
10Bet
2.90
888Sport
2.80
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 3.42+1.9%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.29-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.82
BetVictor
3.80
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
Superbet
3.55
Under
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.36
Unibet
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 8.72-1.2%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.05+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.60
1xBet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Alanyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 23.62-1.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Bet365
29.00
888Sport
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.1%
@ 1.16-0.1%
Under
19.9%
@ 4.69+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
888Sport
4.60
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.0%
@ 1.84-2.6%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.89+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Under
Unibet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 3.66-3.4%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.25+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.87
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Under
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Beşiktaş over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 8.09-3.4%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
888Sport
8.50
Superbet
8.20
1xBet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Alanyaspor, so a minus line means Alanyaspor give that many goals of a start and Beşiktaş receive them. At -1, Alanyaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Alanyaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Alanyaspor)Actual: Beşiktaş
Alanyaspor -2
2.8%
@ 28.00-0.5%
Draw -2
6.8%
@ 12.38-0.7%
Beşiktaş +2
90.4%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
10Bet
17.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Handicap -1 (Alanyaspor)Actual: Draw
Alanyaspor -1
9.6%
@ 9.64+0.3%
Draw -1
14.6%
@ 5.94-0.5%
Beşiktaş +1
75.8%
@ 1.19+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.20
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.85
Unibet
5.60
10Bet
5.25
Away
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Handicap +1 (Alanyaspor)Actual: Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor +1
51.3%
@ 1.95+5.6%
Draw +1
22.5%
@ 3.52-3.0%
Beşiktaş -1
26.2%
@ 3.10-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Bet365
1.91
Draw
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Handicap +2 (Alanyaspor)Actual: Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor +2
73.8%
@ 1.32+6.1%
Draw +2
15.2%
@ 4.97-2.8%
Beşiktaş -2
11.0%
@ 6.23-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Draw
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Alanyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.79
0.64
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.29
0.90
0.40
0.73
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
1.11
0.33
0.42
0.42
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
0.33
1.20
0.27
0.44
0.44
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.38+3.9%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 2.86-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Superbet
2.92
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.74+0.7%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 6.96-0.5%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.07+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.3%
@ 2.56+6.0%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.47-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 9.74+1.1%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 45.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.1%
@ 1.77-1.5%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.96+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.92
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 4.81-5.5%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.14+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 12.25-5.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Alanyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.86
0.79
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.71
0.90
0.80
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.72
0.28
1.17
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (24)
1.00
0.38
0.87
0.27
1.22
0.56
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.24+2.7%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 3.69-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.1%
@ 2.10+0.7%
Under 1.5
54.9%
@ 1.68-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Unibet
1.74
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 4.59-2.1%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.17+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.0%
@ 2.19+4.8%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.60-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 7.12+1.4%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.30
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 19.25-1.0%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.0%
@ 1.54-4.5%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.35+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 3.50-6.6%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.26+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 9.07-4.7%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Superbet
9.60
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.03
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.05
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Bet365
1.05
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.4%
1.04
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.02
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.07
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.4%
1.11
10Bet
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.12
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.17
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
78.0%
1.25
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.24
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
1.27
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
75.8%
1.20
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
-2.7%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
75.8%
1.19
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
73.8%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.8%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.6%
1.33
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.38
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.29
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.36
Unibet
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
1.32
Superbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Alanyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nuno Lima33%
Arda Usluoğlu33%
Ruan Pereira Duarte33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gaius Makouta33%
Fidan Aliti33%
Ümit Akdağ33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florent Hadergjonaj33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Beşiktaş
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Václav Černý67%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Olaitan67%
Emmanuel Agbadou33%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý33%
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Alanyaspor's squad is €164m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€38m vs €202m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Alanyaspor's attack is €61m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€9m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Alanyaspor's midfield is €32m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€18m vs €50m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Alanyaspor's defence is €71m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€11m vs €82m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor