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Alashkert II vs Lernayin Artsakh II Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 10:30
Final 4-1
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Vs
41%
24%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh II
Lernayin Artsakh II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Alashkert II win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-724L24L02L02L21W07L22D12L12L05LH·GAN25/08A·MIK30/08H·WES04/09A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10H·SHI16/10A·BKM21/10H·ARA25/10A·SYU01/11
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.922.851.002.830.862.86
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.713.000.753.250.672.67
vs Weaker (5)1.202.801.502.001.003.33
Clean sheet %8% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L16L14L02L23L25L34L13L11D02LA·ARA18/08H·ARA23/08H·PYU30/08A·BAN06/09H·SHI10/09H·SYU29/09A·BKM10/10A·GAN16/10H·MIK26/10A·WES31/10
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.004.001.144.860.833.00
vs Stronger (7)1.004.711.006.671.003.25
vs Similar (6)1.003.171.253.500.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.0%
Under 2.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.7%
No
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
Alashkert II goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh II goals →
01234
03.6%3.8%4.1%2.4%1.0%
14.2%9.7%7.6%4.4%1.9%
24.8%8.3%7.2%4.1%1.8%
33.0%5.2%4.5%2.6%1.1%
41.4%2.4%2.1%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alashkert II goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Armenia
2.25
BKMA II
2.13
Gandzasar
2.12
Ararat II
1.78
Ararat-Armenia II
1.72
Banants II
1.34
Pyunik II
1.31
Shirak II
1.23
Mika
1.03
Syunik
0.97
Alashkert II
0.65
Lernayin Artsakh II
0.11
Alashkert II is 0.53 points better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 0.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gandzasar
2.59
West Armenia
2.56
BKMA II
2.42
Ararat-Armenia II
1.94
Ararat II
1.94
Banants II
1.81
Pyunik II
1.69
Syunik
1.32
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.06
Lernayin Artsakh II
1.00
Mika
1.00
Alashkert II is 0.32 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
BKMA II
0.97
Gandzasar
0.97
West Armenia
1.06
Shirak II
1.23
Ararat II
1.50
Ararat-Armenia II
1.62
Syunik
1.71
Pyunik II
1.72
Banants II
1.78
Mika
2.41
Alashkert II
3.19
Lernayin Artsakh II
3.72
Alashkert II is 0.53 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.19 vs 3.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D11D02L10W00DA·SHI04/08A·MIK30/08A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10A·BKM21/10H·ARA25/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.001.000.800.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.002.000.500.50
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L23L00D02LH·GAN04/08H·PYU30/08A·BAN06/09A·BKM10/10H·MIK26/10A·WES31/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.500.671.000.672.00
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.002.50
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L03L02L10W05L02L12LA·SHI04/08A·MIK30/08A·ARA11/09A·PYU30/09H·BAN08/10A·BKM21/10H·ARA25/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.292.430.503.500.202.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (3)0.332.330.005.000.501.00
vs Weaker (3)0.332.671.002.000.003.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L01L11D11D00DH·GAN04/08H·PYU30/08A·BAN06/09A·BKM10/10H·MIK26/10A·WES31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.170.331.670.330.67
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (3)0.331.670.502.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.4%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AI wins
0
Draws
0
LAI wins

Head-to-head

Alashkert II vs Lernayin Artsakh II · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/22ASyunik Vs AI5-0
25/10/22HAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-2
21/10/22ABKMA II Vs AI2-1
16/10/22HAI Vs Shirak II2-2
08/10/22HAI Vs Banants II0-7
30/09/22APyunik II Vs AI1-2
11/09/22AArarat II Vs AI2-0
04/09/22HAI Vs West Armenia0-2
30/08/22AMika Vs AI4-2
25/08/22HAI Vs Gandzasar2-4

Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/22AWest Armenia Vs LAI2-0
26/10/22HLAI Vs Mika1-1
16/10/22AGandzasar Vs LAI3-1
10/10/22ABKMA II Vs LAI4-3
29/09/22HLAI Vs Syunik2-5
10/09/22HLAI Vs Shirak II2-3
06/09/22ABanants II Vs LAI2-0
30/08/22HLAI Vs Pyunik II1-4
23/08/22HLAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-6
18/08/22AArarat II Vs LAI4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.54
HomeLLLDL0.67
AwayLLWLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%17%14%
AVG goals3.773.833.71
Over 1.5 %92%83%100%
Over 2.5 %77%67%86%
Over 3.5 %46%50%43%
Scored0.921.000.86
Conceded2.852.832.86
BTTS54%50%57%
Clean Sheet8%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh II
Lernayin Artsakh II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.08
HomeLLLLD0.14
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals5.006.003.83
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %77%86%67%
Over 3.5 %77%86%67%
Scored1.001.140.83
Conceded4.004.863.00
BTTS69%86%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1West ArmeniaWest Armenia3272
69%
2.2
8234+48
3.6
84%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.1
-
2GandzasarGandzasar3268
66%
2.1
8331+52
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.61.0
-
3BKMA IIBKMA II3166
68%
2.1
7530+45
3.4
87%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.0
-
4Ararat IIArarat II3257
56%
1.8
6248+14
3.4
88%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
5Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3255
53%
1.7
6252+10
3.6
78%
66%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Banants IIBanants II3243
38%
1.3
5857+1
3.6
81%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Pyunik IIPyunik II3242
41%
1.3
5455-1
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Shirak IIShirak II3138
35%
1.2
3338-5
2.3
68%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9MikaMika3233
31%
1.0
3277-45
3.4
81%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
10SyunikSyunik3130
29%
1.0
4153-12
3.0
74%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.31.7
-
11Alashkert IIAlashkert II3120
19%
0.6
4199-58
4.5
94%
84%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.2
-
12Lernayin Artsakh IILernayin Artsakh II182
0%
0.1
1867-49
4.7
100%
78%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.7
-
Armenia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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