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Alashkert II vs Noah II Result & Analysis

Date: 01/09/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Vs
13%
13%
74%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Alashkert II win✓ Hit
13.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Noah II win✗ Miss
73.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L05L23L27L12L43W43W15L22D05LA·BKM22/04H·GAN29/04A·MIK04/05H·WES09/05A·ARA14/05A·PYU23/05H·BAN28/05A·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
3.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.333.371.503.211.193.50
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.174.111.384.001.004.20
vs Weaker (9)1.782.221.802.001.752.50
Clean sheet %3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-881W21W22D02LA·NIK06/08H·SHI14/08A·AND21/08H·SYU26/08
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.001.501.001.505.001.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (3)4.001.332.001.005.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

11%22%33%44%1%02%17%212%316%418%544%6+
The model estimates around 5.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (44%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
97.3%
Under 1.5
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
90.2%
Under 2.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.0%
Under 3.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
79.6%
No
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
6.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-3
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-4
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-5
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
Alashkert II goals ↓
Noah II goals →
01234
00.8%1.5%3.2%4.0%3.6%
10.5%3.3%5.4%6.7%6.1%
20.7%2.5%4.6%5.6%5.1%
30.4%1.4%2.6%3.1%2.9%
40.2%0.6%1.1%1.3%1.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alashkert II goals (down), columns = Noah II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Alashkert II is 0.07 points worse than Noah II in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Alashkert II is 0.25 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Andranik
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Alashkert II is 0.39 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L01L22D00D10W23L03L12L03LA·BKM22/04H·GAN29/04A·MIK04/05H·WES09/05A·ARA14/05A·PYU23/05H·BAN28/05A·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.330.671.750.601.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.002.001.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.441.690.572.290.331.22
vs Weaker (8)0.880.750.750.751.000.75
Clean sheet %26% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W12L00DA·NIK06/08H·SHI14/08A·AND21/08H·SYU26/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.750.500.500.003.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (3)2.330.671.000.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L02L22D05L12L33D20W12L10W02LA·BKM22/04H·GAN29/04A·MIK04/05H·WES09/05A·ARA14/05A·PYU23/05H·BAN28/05A·SYU06/08H·ARA21/08A·ARA26/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.742.190.921.670.602.60
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (16)0.882.501.002.000.782.89
vs Weaker (8)0.751.881.001.250.502.50
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D10W02LA·NIK06/08H·SHI14/08A·AND21/08H·SYU26/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.000.501.502.000.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (3)1.670.671.001.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alashkert II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alashkert II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.597.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.590.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes79.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.578.0%-------✓ Hit
Away win73.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AI wins
0
Draws
0
NI wins

Head-to-head

Alashkert II vs Noah II · H/A from AI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Alashkert IIAlashkert II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23AArarat II Vs AI5-0
21/08/23HAI Vs Ararat-Armenia II2-2
06/08/23ASyunik Vs AI5-1
28/05/23HAI Vs Banants II4-3
23/05/23APyunik II Vs AI3-4
14/05/23AArarat II Vs AI2-1
09/05/23HAI Vs West Armenia2-7
04/05/23AMika Vs AI3-2
29/04/23HAI Vs Gandzasar0-5
22/04/23ABKMA II Vs AI2-1

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23HNI Vs Syunik0-2
21/08/23AAndranik Vs NI2-2
14/08/23HNI Vs Shirak II2-1
06/08/23ANikarm Vs NI1-8

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Alashkert II
Alashkert II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL0.62
HomeDLLWD0.75
AwayLLWLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%19%17%
AVG goals4.564.564.56
Over 1.5 %94%94%94%
Over 2.5 %85%81%89%
Over 3.5 %65%69%61%
Scored1.291.501.11
Conceded3.263.063.44
BTTS62%62%61%
Clean Sheet6%6%6%
Corners---
Cards---
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDL1.75
HomeWL1.50
AwayWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals4.502.506.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %75%50%100%
Over 3.5 %50%0%100%
Scored3.001.005.00
Conceded1.501.501.50
BTTS75%50%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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