Alaves vs Getafe Result & Analysis

Alaves’ defensive solidity is highlighted by a 0.7 average goals conceded at home, while Getafe’s away form shows a 1.14 average conceded, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a home win, with a 38% chance, a 33% draw probability, and a 29% away win chance. The expected total is 2.0 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. Alaves have scored 1.3 goals per game at home against similar opposition, and Getafe have managed 0.86 away goals against similar teams. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (97.8%), Over 2.5 cards (95.2%), Over 21.5 fouls (94.5%), Over 23.5 fouls (88.4%), Over 3.5 cards (87.7%), Under 3.5 (85.4%), Under 11.5 corners (79.2%), and Over 25.5 fouls (78.9%). The match is likely to stay tight, with Alaves’ recent win over Villarreal giving them a slight edge.

Alaves’ recent win over Villarreal has kept their confidence high, while Getafe’s two-game losing streak has dampened their form. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as Alaves secured a 2-0 victory. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 38%. The model’s selections largely hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 97.8% hit, Over 2.5 cards at 95.2% hit, Over 21.5 fouls at 94.5% hit, Over 23.5 fouls at 88.4% hit, Over 3.5 cards at 87.7% hit, Under 3.5 at 85.4% hit, Under 11.5 corners at 79.2% hit, and Over 25.5 fouls at 78.9% hit. The final score of 2-0 matched the predicted most likely score of 1-1, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.