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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 2-0
Alaves
Alaves
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Spain: Copa del Rey
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table17 Who played

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alaves win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚜ 2. Goal Analysis

AlavesAlaves

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L13L30W10W12L10W03L11D13LA·GIR08/11H·CEL22/11A·BAR29/11A·POR02/12H·REA06/12H·REA14/12H·SEV17/12A·OSA20/12H·OVI04/01A·VIL10/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.931.000.751.141.14
vs Stronger (9)0.671.220.670.670.672.33
vs Similar (19)0.840.891.200.800.441.00
vs Weaker (2)5.000.00--5.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W01L21W00D30W04L11D31W21WH·VAL01/12A·REA04/12A·ESP07/12A·JAG11/12H·REA15/12H·DRI18/12A·ELC21/12H·GET02/01A·GRA06/01H·MAL11/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.071.460.621.531.41
vs Stronger (4)0.752.000.500.501.003.50
vs Similar (21)1.291.051.330.781.251.25
vs Weaker (5)3.000.403.000.003.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

đŸ’Ș 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.67
Osasuna
2.40
Valencia
2.40
Real Sociedad
2.29
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Celta Vigo
2.25
Real Madrid
2.17
Zaragoza
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Valladolid
2.00
CastellĂłn
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Girona
2.00
Estepona
2.00
Orihuela
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Alaves
2.00
UD Logroñés
1.67
Gimnastic
1.50
Manises
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Cacereño
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Tenerife
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Oviedo
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
UCAM Murcia
0.97
Rayo Majadahonda
0.97
SĂĄmano
0.97
Quintanar del Rey
0.97
Real Avilés
0.97
CD Yuncos
0.97
Reddis
0.97
Mutilvera
0.97
Azuaga
0.97
NĂĄxara
0.97
Sant Just
0.97
UD Ourense
0.97
Atlético Astorga
0.97
Valle EgĂŒĂ©s
0.97
Deportivo Getxo
0.97
Ebro
0.97
AtlĂštic Lleida
0.97
CF Talavera
0.97
Torrent
0.97
Navalcarnero
0.97
Guadalajara
0.97
Palma del Rio
0.97
Teruel
0.97
Atlético Baleares
0.97
Caudal
0.97
Lorca Deportiva
0.97
Los Garres
0.97
Puerto de Vega
0.97
Atlético Tordesillas
0.97
ConstĂ ncia
0.97
Maracena
0.97
La Unión Atlético
0.97
Inter de Valdemoro
0.97
CD Sant Jordi
0.97
SD Negreira
0.97
Cieza
0.97
Toledo
0.97
Roda (Spain)
0.97
San Fernando CD
0.97
Antoniano
0.97
Arenas Getxo
0.97
RSD AlcalĂĄ
0.97
TropezĂłn
0.97
Portugalete
0.97
Puente Genil
0.97
SD Logroñés
0.97
Real Murcia
0.97
MĂ©rida AD
0.97
Textil Escudo
0.97
Campanario
0.97
Betis Valladolid
0.97
Tarazona
0.97
Lourdes
0.97
Universitario FC
0.97
Sporting Ceuta
0.97
Atletico Calatayud
0.97
Atlético Melilla
0.97
Alberite
0.97
Antequera
0.97
Sabadell
0.68
Ponferradina
0.67
Athletic Club
0.50
Real Ávila
0.50
Ibiza
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Levante
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Langreo
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Malaga
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Alaves is 0.25 points worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).

⚔ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Barcelona
3.67
Zaragoza
3.50
Valladolid
3.33
Real Madrid
3.33
Las Palmas
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Osasuna
2.60
Burgos
2.50
Estepona
2.50
Almeria
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Malaga
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Manises
1.50
Cacereño
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Alaves
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
UCAM Murcia
1.19
Rayo Majadahonda
1.19
SĂĄmano
1.19
Quintanar del Rey
1.19
Real Avilés
1.19
CD Yuncos
1.19
Reddis
1.19
Mutilvera
1.19
Azuaga
1.19
NĂĄxara
1.19
Sant Just
1.19
UD Ourense
1.19
Atlético Astorga
1.19
Valle EgĂŒĂ©s
1.19
Deportivo Getxo
1.19
Ebro
1.19
AtlĂštic Lleida
1.19
CF Talavera
1.19
Torrent
1.19
Navalcarnero
1.19
Guadalajara
1.19
Palma del Rio
1.19
Teruel
1.19
Atlético Baleares
1.19
Caudal
1.19
Lorca Deportiva
1.19
Los Garres
1.19
Puerto de Vega
1.19
Atlético Tordesillas
1.19
ConstĂ ncia
1.19
Maracena
1.19
La Unión Atlético
1.19
Inter de Valdemoro
1.19
CD Sant Jordi
1.19
SD Negreira
1.19
Cieza
1.19
Toledo
1.19
Roda (Spain)
1.19
San Fernando CD
1.19
Antoniano
1.19
Arenas Getxo
1.19
RSD AlcalĂĄ
1.19
TropezĂłn
1.19
Portugalete
1.19
Puente Genil
1.19
SD Logroñés
1.19
Real Murcia
1.19
MĂ©rida AD
1.19
Textil Escudo
1.19
Campanario
1.19
Betis Valladolid
1.19
Tarazona
1.19
Lourdes
1.19
Universitario FC
1.19
Sporting Ceuta
1.19
Atletico Calatayud
1.19
Atlético Melilla
1.19
Alberite
1.19
Antequera
1.19
Tenerife
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
CastellĂłn
1.00
Levante
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Poblense
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Sabadell
0.84
Eldense
0.67
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
UD Logroñés
0.33
Ibiza
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Alaves is 1.50 goals worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.00).

đŸ›Ąïž Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Oviedo
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Pontevedra
0.50
CastellĂłn
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.86
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Gimnastic
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Elche
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Getafe
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Ourense CF
1.25
Osasuna
1.40
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Real Madrid
1.83
UCAM Murcia
1.87
Rayo Majadahonda
1.87
SĂĄmano
1.87
Quintanar del Rey
1.87
Real Avilés
1.87
CD Yuncos
1.87
Reddis
1.87
Mutilvera
1.87
Azuaga
1.87
NĂĄxara
1.87
Sant Just
1.87
UD Ourense
1.87
Atlético Astorga
1.87
Valle EgĂŒĂ©s
1.87
Deportivo Getxo
1.87
Ebro
1.87
AtlĂštic Lleida
1.87
CF Talavera
1.87
Torrent
1.87
Navalcarnero
1.87
Guadalajara
1.87
Palma del Rio
1.87
Teruel
1.87
Atlético Baleares
1.87
Caudal
1.87
Lorca Deportiva
1.87
Los Garres
1.87
Puerto de Vega
1.87
Atlético Tordesillas
1.87
ConstĂ ncia
1.87
Maracena
1.87
La Unión Atlético
1.87
Inter de Valdemoro
1.87
CD Sant Jordi
1.87
SD Negreira
1.87
Cieza
1.87
Toledo
1.87
Roda (Spain)
1.87
San Fernando CD
1.87
Antoniano
1.87
Arenas Getxo
1.87
RSD AlcalĂĄ
1.87
TropezĂłn
1.87
Portugalete
1.87
Puente Genil
1.87
SD Logroñés
1.87
Real Murcia
1.87
MĂ©rida AD
1.87
Textil Escudo
1.87
Campanario
1.87
Betis Valladolid
1.87
Tarazona
1.87
Lourdes
1.87
Universitario FC
1.87
Sporting Ceuta
1.87
Atletico Calatayud
1.87
Atlético Melilla
1.87
Alberite
1.87
Antequera
1.87
Valladolid
2.00
Manises
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Langreo
2.00
Estepona
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Real Ávila
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Celta Vigo
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Sabadell
2.64
Malaga
3.00
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Levante
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Poblense
6.00
Alaves is 0.50 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

đŸŽČ 4. Props Analysis

AlavesAlaves

For 4.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.4

đŸš© Corners

2006167911957583545421671392012138967A·VILH·OVIA·OSAH·SEVH·REAH·REAA·PORA·BARH·CELA·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2

🟹 Cards

802442212312232322232843445543A·VILH·OVIA·OSAH·SEVH·REAH·REAA·PORA·BARH·CELA·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.9

⚠ Fouls

36014101120111615181213201620161710211515924312733253636273624A·VILH·OVIA·OSAH·SEVH·REAH·REAA·PORA·BARH·CELA·GIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

For 6.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.4

đŸš© Corners

150651133254348382261131051114597111081415H·MALA·GRAH·GETA·ELCH·DRIH·REAA·JAGA·ESPA·REAH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.4

🟹 Cards

140253343211414295121173752561432H·MALA·GRAH·GETA·ELCH·DRIH·REAA·JAGA·ESPA·REAH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.2

⚠ Fouls

41014149191310111591110722182219141511928282326201740412920H·MALA·GRAH·GETA·ELCH·DRIH·REAA·JAGA·ESPA·REAH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AlavesAlaves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.79.05.15.54.730.329.631.0
vs Stronger (14)8.39.67.05.96.35.630.530.031.0
vs Similar (33)10.611.19.95.15.24.930.029.530.6
vs Weaker (3)8.0-8.01.7-1.736.0-36.0
% over line40%48%30%78%88%68%96%96%96%
% under line60%52%70%22%12%32%4%4%4%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.711.14.64.34.924.322.925.6
vs Stronger (8)10.511.310.04.65.34.222.925.021.6
vs Similar (37)10.910.711.24.94.25.624.722.826.6
vs Weaker (5)11.59.513.52.23.01.724.021.027.0
% over line62%65%60%68%74%63%73%70%76%
% under line38%35%40%32%26%37%27%30%24%
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Antoniano
22.0
CF Talavera
16.0
Real Ávila
14.0
Atlético Baleares
12.0
Ourense CF
11.7
Real Madrid
11.3
Orihuela
11.0
Real Murcia
11.0
Sant Andreu
11.0
Ebro
11.0
Guadalajara
11.0
Barcelona
10.9
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Racing Santander
10.3
Real Sociedad
10.2
Atletico Madrid
10.1
Albacete
10.1
Real Betis
10.0
Valencia
10.0
Navalcarnero
10.0
Mallorca
9.9
Levante
9.9
Cordoba
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Alaves
9.8
CastellĂłn
9.8
Numancia
9.8
Huesca
9.8
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Sevilla
9.6
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.6
Leganes
9.6
Girona
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Malaga
9.4
Rayo Majadahonda
9.4
FC Andorra
9.4
Cultural Leonesa
9.3
Villarreal
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eldense
9.2
Athletic Club
9.2
AD Ceuta FC
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Tenerife
9.1
Gimnastic
9.0
Osasuna
9.0
Extremadura 1924
9.0
Valladolid
9.0
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Eibar
9.0
Sabadell
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Las Palmas
8.7
Mirandes
8.6
Celta Vigo
8.6
Elche
8.3
Getafe
8.2
Burgos
8.2
Portugalete
8.0
Ciudad de Lucena
7.0

🟹 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sant Andreu
10.0
Racing Santander
6.6
Zaragoza
6.3
Orihuela
6.0
Ourense CF
6.0
Cordoba
5.9
Gimnastic
5.9
Rayo Majadahonda
5.8
Burgos
5.8
Mirandes
5.6
Las Palmas
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Getafe
5.5
Alaves
5.4
Cadiz
5.4
Malaga
5.3
Sevilla
5.2
Cultural Leonesa
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Granada CF
5.1
AD Ceuta FC
5.1
Eibar
5.1
CastellĂłn
5.1
FC Andorra
5.0
Real Sociedad
5.0
Portugalete
5.0
Leganes
5.0
Celta Vigo
5.0
Elche
5.0
Valencia
4.8
Rayo Vallecano
4.8
Osasuna
4.8
Tenerife
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Deportivo La Coruna
4.8
Eldense
4.6
Levante
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Villarreal
4.6
Huesca
4.6
Oviedo
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Real Madrid
4.5
Real Betis
4.5
Real Murcia
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.3
Girona
4.3
Athletic Club
4.3
Mallorca
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.3
FC Cartagena
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
Espanyol
4.2
Guadalajara
4.0
Pontevedra
3.0
Extremadura 1924
3.0
Antoniano
3.0
Real Ávila
3.0
Navalcarnero
2.0
Ebro
2.0
Atlético Baleares
2.0
CF Talavera
1.5
Ciudad de Lucena
1.0

⚠ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sant Andreu
40.0
Portugalete
36.0
Navalcarnero
33.0
Ourense CF
32.7
Orihuela
32.0
Antoniano
31.0
Numancia
30.6
Rayo Majadahonda
30.5
Gimnastic
30.1
Alaves
30.1
Getafe
29.7
Cordoba
29.5
Real Ávila
29.0
Elche
28.3
Mirandes
28.2
Zaragoza
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Racing Santander
27.9
Sabadell
27.8
Valladolid
27.8
Cadiz
27.4
Tenerife
27.3
Cultural Leonesa
27.2
Granada CF
27.1
Extremadura 1924
27.0
Burgos
27.0
Las Palmas
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Eibar
26.5
Sevilla
26.3
FC Andorra
26.3
Malaga
26.3
AD Ceuta FC
26.1
Leganes
26.0
Real Sociedad
26.0
Racing Ferrol
26.0
Oviedo
26.0
CastellĂłn
25.2
Espanyol
25.1
Eldense
25.0
Atlético Baleares
25.0
Athletic Club
24.8
Osasuna
24.7
Real Betis
24.6
Valencia
24.5
Villarreal
24.4
Celta Vigo
24.4
Girona
24.4
Rayo Vallecano
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Levante
24.2
Huesca
24.1
FC Cartagena
24.1
Ponferradina
23.8
Deportivo La Coruna
23.7
Real Madrid
23.2
Sporting Gijon
23.1
Atletico Madrid
22.8
Ebro
22.0
Barcelona
22.0
Albacete
21.6
Real Murcia
20.0
Ciudad de Lucena
20.0
Guadalajara
20.0
CF Talavera
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
85.0%
Under 9.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.0%
Under 3.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

đŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ 7. Handicap

⏱ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AlavesAlaves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L10W10W01L00D00D00D00DA·GIR08/11H·CEL22/11A·BAR29/11A·POR02/12H·REA06/12H·REA14/12H·SEV17/12A·OSA20/12H·OVI04/01A·VIL10/01
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.330.380.250.570.43
vs Stronger (9)0.330.670.330.500.331.00
vs Similar (19)0.320.210.400.100.220.33
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L11D00D10W01L10W01L21WH·VAL01/12A·REA04/12A·ESP07/12A·JAG11/12H·REA15/12H·DRI18/12A·ELC21/12H·GET02/01A·GRA06/01H·MAL11/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.540.310.710.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (21)0.620.430.560.330.670.50
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AlavesAlaves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L20W00D11D10W03L11D13LA·GIR08/11H·CEL22/11A·BAR29/11A·POR02/12H·REA06/12H·REA14/12H·SEV17/12A·OSA20/12H·OVI04/01A·VIL10/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.620.500.570.71
vs Stronger (9)0.330.560.330.170.331.33
vs Similar (19)0.530.680.800.700.220.67
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D10W00D20W03L01L30W00DH·VAL01/12A·REA04/12A·ESP07/12A·JAG11/12H·REA15/12H·DRI18/12A·ELC21/12H·GET02/01A·GRA06/01H·MAL11/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.920.310.820.88
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.500.000.502.50
vs Similar (21)0.670.620.780.440.580.75
vs Weaker (5)2.000.202.000.002.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners91.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners85.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners76.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards71.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (65)
€1301m
RM (42)
€1256m
AM (35)
€540m
VIL (39)
€360m
RS (37)
€270m
AC (39)
€236m
CV (35)
€200m
GIR (41)
€199m
SEV (37)
€163m
VAL (41)
€147m
ELC (40)
€127m
LEV (28)
€111m
OSA (32)
€99m
GET (43)
€94m
RV (31)
€94m
RS (37)
€82m
ALA (33)
€78m
MAL (23)
€77m
ALM (35)
€69m
OVI (38)
€61m
DLC (33)
€58m
LP (36)
€53m
MAL (32)
€35m
VAL (35)
€35m
SG (29)
€33m
GC (31)
€31m
FA (30)
€26m
CAS (40)
€24m
MIR (32)
€23m
BUR (33)
€21m
CAD (32)
€21m
LEG (28)
€20m
COR (29)
€18m
ZAR (36)
€18m
CL (33)
€17m
EIB (31)
€16m
HUE (33)
€16m
ALB (28)
€15m
ACF (30)
€14m
TEN (28)
€12m
SAB (28)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Alaves's squad is €16m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€78m vs €94m).

⚔ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€712m
BAR (21)
€589m
AM (10)
€226m
VIL (15)
€168m
RS (16)
€132m
AC (15)
€103m
GIR (15)
€83m
CV (13)
€81m
LEV (10)
€68m
SEV (12)
€65m
VAL (13)
€54m
OSA (11)
€51m
GET (16)
€46m
DLC (10)
€43m
RS (14)
€42m
ALM (13)
€37m
ELC (15)
€34m
MAL (7)
€31m
RV (9)
€29m
ALA (11)
€26m
OVI (14)
€26m
MAL (11)
€24m
VAL (15)
€20m
SG (12)
€20m
LP (17)
€19m
CAS (20)
€16m
GC (12)
€15m
FA (13)
€12m
LEG (12)
€10m
CAD (14)
€10m
MIR (13)
€9m
ACF (15)
€9m
BUR (11)
€8m
HUE (12)
€8m
CL (12)
€8m
EIB (12)
€7m
ZAR (13)
€6m
COR (9)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ALB (7)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Alaves's attack is €2m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€26m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (14)
€298m
RM (8)
€250m
AM (7)
€123m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (6)
€55m
RS (7)
€54m
VAL (8)
€46m
CV (7)
€39m
ELC (7)
€37m
GIR (8)
€33m
SEV (7)
€28m
GET (8)
€25m
MAL (5)
€23m
ALA (6)
€22m
ALM (6)
€22m
RS (6)
€17m
LEV (7)
€15m
OSA (6)
€13m
OVI (8)
€11m
RV (7)
€11m
LP (3)
€9m
ZAR (8)
€7m
MIR (6)
€7m
BUR (9)
€7m
VAL (6)
€6m
GC (7)
€6m
ALB (9)
€5m
COR (6)
€5m
MAL (8)
€4m
DLC (6)
€4m
SG (5)
€4m
CAD (6)
€4m
FA (5)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
HUE (8)
€4m
LEG (4)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
ACF (5)
€2m
CAS (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
CL (6)
€2m
ELD (3)
€1m
Alaves's midfield is €11m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€22m vs €11m).

đŸ›Ąïž Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (30)
€413m
RM (22)
€294m
AM (18)
€190m
VIL (18)
€137m
GIR (18)
€84m
RS (14)
€83m
CV (15)
€80m
AC (17)
€76m
SEV (18)
€70m
ELC (18)
€56m
RV (15)
€54m
VAL (20)
€47m
OSA (15)
€35m
ALA (16)
€29m
LEV (11)
€27m
LP (16)
€25m
RS (17)
€24m
OVI (16)
€23m
GET (19)
€23m
MAL (11)
€23m
DLC (17)
€11m
GC (12)
€11m
SG (12)
€10m
FA (12)
€10m
ALM (16)
€9m
VAL (14)
€9m
CL (15)
€7m
MIR (13)
€7m
MAL (13)
€7m
BUR (13)
€7m
COR (14)
€7m
CAD (12)
€6m
CAS (16)
€6m
LEG (12)
€6m
EIB (13)
€6m
ALB (12)
€6m
HUE (13)
€5m
ZAR (15)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ACF (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
Alaves's defence is €25m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€29m vs €54m).

đŸ€ 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ALA wins
0
Draws
6
RV wins

Head-to-head

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano · H/A from ALA
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25ARayo Vallecano Vs ALA1-0
29/03/25HALA Vs Rayo Vallecano0-2
26/10/24ARayo Vallecano Vs ALA1-0
10/03/24HALA Vs Rayo Vallecano1-0
15/09/23ARayo Vallecano Vs ALA2-0
16/04/22HALA Vs Rayo Vallecano1-0
18/12/21ARayo Vallecano Vs ALA2-0
28/01/19HALA Vs Rayo Vallecano0-1

AlavesAlaves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26AVillarreal Vs ALA3-1
04/01/26HALA Vs Oviedo1-1
20/12/25AOsasuna Vs ALA3-0
17/12/25HALA Vs Sevilla1-0
14/12/25HALA Vs Real Madrid1-2
06/12/25HALA Vs Real Sociedad1-0
02/12/25APortugalete Vs ALA0-3
29/11/25ABarcelona Vs ALA3-1
22/11/25HALA Vs Celta Vigo0-1
08/11/25AGirona Vs ALA1-0

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26HRV Vs Mallorca2-1
06/01/26AGranada CF Vs RV1-3
02/01/26HRV Vs Getafe1-1
21/12/25AElche Vs RV4-0
18/12/25HRV Vs Drita3-0
15/12/25HRV Vs Real Betis0-0
11/12/25AJagiellonia Vs RV1-2
07/12/25AEspanyol Vs RV1-0
04/12/25AReal Ávila Vs RV1-2
01/12/25HRV Vs Valencia1-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Alaves
Alaves
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.22
HomeLWLWD1.40
AwayLLWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.181.642.72
Over 1.5 %56%48%64%
Over 2.5 %36%20%52%
Over 3.5 %20%4%36%
Scored1.080.841.32
Conceded1.100.801.40
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners9.8510.688.96
Cards5.315.525.09
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Spain: Copa del Rey
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.54
HomeDDWDW1.65
AwayWLWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%39%44%
AVG goals2.462.132.74
Over 1.5 %68%65%70%
Over 2.5 %48%35%59%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.301.261.33
Conceded1.160.871.41
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet32%39%26%
Corners10.9010.6511.12
Cards4.794.265.28

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3894
82%
2.5
9536+59
3.4
89%
74%
42%
11.3
68%
4.5
51%
21.4
50%
1301
5892984132.50.9
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3886
71%
2.3
7735+42
2.9
87%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
4.8
54%
24.4
68%
1256
7122502942.00.9
59%
3VillarrealVillarreal3872
58%
1.9
7246+26
3.1
92%
58%
37%
9.1
45%
4.3
58%
24.1
61%
360
168551371.91.2
45%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3869
55%
1.8
6244+18
2.8
74%
50%
26%
10.8
61%
4.4
59%
20.9
39%
540
2261231901.61.2
53%
5Real BetisReal Betis3860
39%
1.6
5948+11
2.8
89%
53%
26%
9.6
50%
4.6
65%
23.7
71%
0
0001.61.3
50%
6Celta VigoCelta Vigo3854
37%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
79%
45%
24%
8.4
29%
4.4
58%
24.1
63%
200
8139801.41.3
50%
7GetafeGetafe3851
39%
1.3
3238-6
1.8
58%
26%
5%
8.9
37%
5.6
79%
29.8
100%
94
4625230.81.0
40%
8Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3850
32%
1.3
4144-3
2.2
71%
37%
16%
10.9
66%
5.3
74%
24.5
76%
94
2911541.11.2
53%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4655-9
2.7
79%
42%
24%
9.9
45%
4.6
68%
24.2
66%
147
5446471.21.4
48%
10Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
29%
1.2
5961-2
3.2
82%
58%
42%
10.1
53%
5.0
63%
26.6
76%
270
13254831.61.6
51%
11EspanyolEspanyol3846
32%
1.2
4355-12
2.6
76%
50%
24%
9.5
45%
5.2
70%
26.5
76%
0
0001.11.4
42%
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club3845
34%
1.2
4358-15
2.7
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
4.6
67%
24.3
66%
236
10357761.11.5
49%
13ElcheElche3843
26%
1.1
4957-8
2.8
79%
58%
39%
8.3
34%
4.6
71%
28.3
92%
127
3437561.31.5
58%
14AlavesAlaves3843
29%
1.1
4456-12
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.1
53%
4.9
74%
28.4
95%
78
2622291.21.5
48%
15SevillaSevilla3843
32%
1.1
4660-14
2.8
79%
55%
26%
9.3
50%
5.2
68%
27.6
82%
163
6528701.21.6
51%
16OsasunaOsasuna3842
29%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
68%
50%
26%
8.6
32%
5.1
79%
25.1
82%
99
5113351.21.3
47%
17MallorcaMallorca3842
29%
1.1
4757-10
2.7
84%
63%
21%
10.0
58%
4.7
62%
24.6
74%
77
3123231.21.5
47%
18LevanteLevante3842
29%
1.1
4761-14
2.8
87%
45%
29%
10.2
47%
4.9
71%
25.3
76%
111
6815271.21.6
43%
19GironaGirona3841
24%
1.1
3955-16
2.5
79%
45%
16%
9.4
39%
4.4
50%
25.0
71%
199
8333841.01.4
51%
20OviedoOviedo3829
16%
0.8
2660-34
2.3
66%
39%
16%
9.5
47%
4.2
58%
24.1
63%
61
2611230.71.6
46%
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

đŸ‘„ 17. Who played

Alaves
90'Jon Pacheco7.2
90'Denis SuĂĄrez7.7
90'Carlos BenavĂ­dez6.9
90'Nahuel Tenaglia7.6
90'RaĂșl FernĂĄndez7.7
90'Ander Guevara7.0
89'Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim7.0
85'Aitor Mañas5.9
64'Abderrahman Rebbach7.3
64'Toni MartĂ­nez⚽7.7
64'Calebe Gonçalves6.9
26'Carles Aleñå6.3
26'Jon Guridi6.3
26'Carlos Vicente⚽7.9
13'Antonio Blanco6.7
1'Jonny Otto
Rayo Vallecano
90'Dani CĂĄrdenas7.0
90'Nobel Mendy6.9
90'Florian Lejeune7.2
90'Alfonso Espino6.2
90'Óscar Valentín6.6
90'Gerard Gumbau6.3
83'Fran PĂ©rez6.9
62'Randy Nteka6.3
61'Óscar Trejo6.0
40'Sergio Camello6.9
40'IvĂĄn Balliu7.0
50'Álvaro García7.0
50'Josep ChavarrĂ­a6.0
28'Jorge de Frutos6.3
15'AlemĂŁo6.7
8'Isi PalazĂłn4.9
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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