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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 1-4
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
27%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.90
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
43.9%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.25
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L16L00D32W12L11D01L02L21W00DH·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.211.291.121.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.821.001.201.172.33
vs Weaker (19)1.211.321.331.331.101.30
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W51W11D31W22D00D02L20W21W13LA·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01A·COW08/01H·FOR15/01H·STI29/01H·STE05/02A·ELG15/02H·EDI19/02A·KEL26/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.171.601.331.601.00
vs Stronger (14)2.000.862.400.801.780.89
vs Similar (13)1.081.541.111.561.001.50
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.002.002.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.78-5.3%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.95+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
09.0%10%8.2%4.0%1.4%
17.3%14%9.0%4.4%1.6%
24.7%6.8%5.0%2.4%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.56 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.75 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.78).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.19 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1402537781264335263952281498788127A·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80215321152112108317101A·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

29015951211131118913912126111111751224172429222118221817A·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 3.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

150143851054319278211263511515710910139A·KELH·EDIA·ELGH·STEH·STIH·FORA·COWA·STRH·KELA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100422332111357312562351281017A·KELH·EDIA·ELGH·STEH·STIH·FORA·COWA·STRH·KELA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

27010141010141214138127131013151071210924202627202023251919A·KELH·EDIA·ELGH·STEH·STIH·FORA·COWA·STRH·KELA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.19.83.03.42.621.921.522.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)10.310.410.23.03.42.622.423.021.8
vs Weaker (30)8.98.09.53.03.52.621.620.222.6
% over line43%36%48%38%48%30%57%50%63%
% under line57%64%52%62%52%70%43%50%37%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.09.34.03.64.322.923.622.2
vs Stronger (26)9.410.38.74.13.94.222.624.721.1
vs Similar (19)9.59.49.63.53.14.122.522.322.7
vs Weaker (5)11.411.511.35.45.55.325.824.526.7
% over line48%60%36%60%60%60%56%48%64%
% under line52%40%64%40%40%40%44%52%36%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cowdenbeath
9.8
Stenhousemuir
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Albion Rvs
9.5
Stirling
9.3
Elgin
9.1
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Forfar
9.0
Stranraer
9.0
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stirling
4.2
Elgin
4.1
Stranraer
4.0
Annan Athletic
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.6
Forfar
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
23.5
Stranraer
23.2
Annan Athletic
22.9
Stenhousemuir
22.5
Cowdenbeath
22.4
Elgin
22.3
Forfar
22.1
Albion Rvs
21.9
Edinburgh City
21.1
Kelty Hearts
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.5%
Under 9.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D12L11D11D01L01L00D00DH·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.430.710.620.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.451.000.200.800.671.17
vs Weaker (19)0.580.580.560.670.600.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D01L21W12L00D01L20W00D02LA·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01A·COW08/01H·FOR15/01H·STI29/01H·STE05/02A·ELG15/02H·EDI19/02A·KEL26/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.470.730.800.60
vs Stronger (14)0.790.570.600.600.890.56
vs Similar (13)0.460.770.330.780.750.75
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D04L00D20W01L00D00D01L21W00DH·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.790.570.500.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.820.800.400.501.17
vs Weaker (19)0.630.740.780.670.500.80
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W10W10W10W00D01L00D21W11DA·STI18/12H·KEL26/12A·STR02/01A·COW08/01H·FOR15/01H·STI29/01H·STE05/02A·ELG15/02H·EDI19/02A·KEL26/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.501.130.600.800.40
vs Stronger (14)1.210.291.800.200.890.33
vs Similar (13)0.620.770.780.780.250.75
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
2
Draws
3
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21AAnnan Athletic Vs AR1-1
21/08/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-1
24/04/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-0
27/03/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1
21/12/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic4-2
17/08/19AAnnan Athletic Vs AR3-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22AStranraer Vs AR0-0
15/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs AR1-2
05/02/22AForfar Vs AR2-0
29/01/22HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-1
15/01/22AElgin Vs AR1-1
08/01/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-2
26/12/21HAR Vs Stranraer3-2
18/12/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-0
11/12/21AKelty Hearts Vs AR6-1
04/12/21HAR Vs Forfar2-3

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs AA3-1
19/02/22HAA Vs Edinburgh City2-1
15/02/22AElgin Vs AA0-2
05/02/22HAA Vs Stenhousemuir0-2
29/01/22HAA Vs Stirling0-0
15/01/22HAA Vs Forfar2-2
08/01/22ACowdenbeath Vs AA1-3
02/01/22AStranraer Vs AA1-1
26/12/21HAA Vs Kelty Hearts5-1
18/12/21AStirling Vs AA2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.02
HomeWLWLL1.09
AwayDDLWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%26%
AVG goals2.802.483.07
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.101.041.15
Conceded1.701.431.93
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet20%22%19%
Corners9.479.099.78
Cards3.003.432.63
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.34
HomeWDDLW1.20
AwayWDWWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%28%44%
AVG goals2.582.922.24
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.361.481.24
Conceded1.221.441.00
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners9.629.969.28
Cards3.983.644.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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