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Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
30%
29%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.79
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.35
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.30
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L15L01L40W40W01L11D01L02L30WA·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.370.871.331.331.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.450.641.000.601.830.67
vs Weaker (19)0.891.790.801.701.001.89
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W51W02L11D40W30W21W12L22DA·STR26/11A·EAS03/12H·ALB23/12H·FOR07/01A·ELG14/01H·BON21/01H·EAS28/01A·BON04/02A·DUM11/02H·STI18/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.701.861.501.381.88
vs Stronger (13)2.081.772.571.571.502.00
vs Similar (14)1.361.791.171.501.502.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.81-5.4%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.93+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
0-2 ✓
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
09.3%9.8%7.7%3.5%1.2%
17.9%14%8.8%4.0%1.4%
25.2%7.2%5.0%2.3%0.8%
32.0%2.7%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.33 points worse than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.39 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.69).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.08 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 6.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1603186463544113651245561041410881411161016H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90221222421331345334346434906H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

340101051410816138197131118171781291120191829272029342020H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 6.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

16010283794613625455866712111610489101413H·STIA·DUMA·BONH·EASH·BONA·ELGH·FORH·ALBA·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7034221221141421217433505033H·STIA·DUMA·BONH·EASH·BONA·ELGH·FORH·ALBA·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.6 · Total 18.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

370136996151017681181621128344191821271419372074H·STIA·DUMA·BONH·EASH·BONA·ELGH·FORH·ALBA·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.19.64.04.33.622.121.123.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.17.68.53.94.33.622.421.123.3
vs Weaker (33)10.09.710.34.04.43.621.921.122.9
% over line42%29%54%56%58%54%50%38%62%
% under line58%71%46%44%42%46%50%62%38%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.23.83.73.920.922.019.9
vs Stronger (22)9.29.39.03.33.03.720.320.320.4
vs Similar (22)10.39.511.03.73.93.621.924.419.8
vs Weaker (6)9.07.310.75.75.75.719.720.319.0
% over line50%48%52%56%60%52%43%38%48%
% under line50%52%48%44%40%48%57%62%52%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Albion Rvs
9.4
Stranraer
9.3
East Fife
9.1
Stirling
8.9
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Stirling
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Albion Rvs
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.4
Albion Rvs
22.1
Stirling
22.1
Forfar
21.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.5
Stranraer
21.2
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Annan Athletic
20.9
East Fife
20.9
Dumbarton
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
37.9%
Under 21.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D30W10W00D10W01L00D00DA·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.400.400.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.820.270.400.401.170.17
vs Weaker (19)0.470.630.400.400.560.89
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L02L01L10W10W21W01L20WA·STR26/11A·EAS03/12H·ALB23/12H·FOR07/01A·ELG14/01H·BON21/01H·EAS28/01A·BON04/02A·DUM11/02H·STI18/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.640.860.621.12
vs Stronger (13)0.621.230.571.290.671.17
vs Similar (14)0.640.930.670.500.621.25
vs Weaker (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D05L01L10W30W01L01L00D02L30WA·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.470.930.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.360.600.200.670.50
vs Weaker (19)0.421.160.401.300.441.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L20W50W00D10W30W20W00D11D02LA·STR26/11A·EAS03/12H·ALB23/12H·FOR07/01A·ELG14/01H·BON21/01H·EAS28/01A·BON04/02A·DUM11/02H·STI18/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.210.640.750.75
vs Stronger (13)1.460.542.000.290.830.83
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.501.000.880.75
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
3
Draws
3
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Annan Athletic · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1
27/08/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic2-2
26/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-4
02/03/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-4
20/11/21AAnnan Athletic Vs AR1-1
21/08/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-1
24/04/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-0
27/03/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
18/02/23AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
11/02/23HAR Vs East Fife0-1
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1
28/01/23HAR Vs Forfar0-1
14/01/23AStranraer Vs AR0-4
07/01/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-4
31/12/22HAR Vs Dumbarton0-1
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1
03/12/22AForfar Vs AR1-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23HAA Vs Stirling2-2
11/02/23ADumbarton Vs AA2-1
04/02/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AA1-2
28/01/23HAA Vs East Fife3-0
21/01/23HAA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose4-0
14/01/23AElgin Vs AA1-1
07/01/23HAA Vs Forfar0-2
23/12/22HAA Vs Albion Rvs5-1
03/12/22AEast Fife Vs AA1-3
26/11/22AStranraer Vs AA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.06
HomeWLLLW0.92
AwayLWWDL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%21%31%
AVG goals2.522.252.77
Over 1.5 %64%54%73%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.060.881.23
Conceded1.461.381.54
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners9.369.089.62
Cards3.964.333.62
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.50
HomeWLWWD1.48
AwayDWDWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals3.343.483.20
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %68%76%60%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.802.001.60
Conceded1.541.481.60
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners9.669.1610.16
Cards3.783.683.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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