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Albion Rvs vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 25/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
32%
35%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied 49.0% · @ 1.87
Edge
-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.50
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.70
Edge
+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W01L11D01L02L30W02L23L51W01LA·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.270.861.211.621.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.600.701.250.751.830.67
vs Weaker (20)1.101.550.701.401.501.70
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L12L10W12L01L11D10W12L11DA·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03H·EAS18/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.551.201.800.861.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.800.802.801.000.80
vs Weaker (19)1.111.421.401.300.781.56
Clean sheet %24% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.5%
Under 1.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.2%
@ 1.85-21.2%
Under 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.88+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.2%
Under 3.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.5%
No
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.8%
0-1 ✓
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
017%13%7.0%2.2%0.5%
113%15%6.5%2.1%0.5%
26.5%6.2%3.0%1.0%0.2%
32.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.08 points worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.31 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.03 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 5.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

15035377843186463544113810154414108814H·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70314342221222421333572434643H·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

290410912691271010514108161381971314211519201918292720H·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

210138222553565484979531214781191216144H·EASA·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701324125213212212414617353325H·EASA·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

350612141112815201171413139156958618252035182722211414H·EASA·STIA·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.74.04.43.721.920.822.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.17.68.53.94.33.622.421.123.3
vs Weaker (33)10.09.610.44.14.43.721.620.722.5
% over line42%29%54%56%58%54%46%33%58%
% under line58%71%46%44%42%46%54%67%42%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)9.710.78.64.33.94.721.822.720.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (10)9.511.67.43.53.83.221.621.621.6
vs Weaker (19)9.810.39.34.74.05.621.823.320.2
% over line48%60%36%62%60%64%55%53%57%
% under line52%40%64%38%40%36%45%47%43%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Dumbarton
10.4
Forfar
10.4
Annan Athletic
9.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Stranraer
9.5
Albion Rvs
9.4
East Fife
9.3
Stirling
9.2
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Albion Rvs
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.8
Forfar
21.9
Albion Rvs
21.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.8
Stirling
21.4
East Fife
21.3
Annan Athletic
21.0
Stranraer
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.4%
Under 3.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.7%
Under 21.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W01L00D00D00D22D40W01LA·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.400.430.361.060.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.500.501.170.17
vs Weaker (20)0.700.450.400.301.000.60
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L00D01L00D00D00D10W00DA·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03H·EAS18/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.760.470.870.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.000.201.400.600.60
vs Weaker (19)0.530.630.600.600.440.67
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L00D02L30W02L01L11D00DA·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.430.860.560.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.400.750.250.670.50
vs Weaker (20)0.401.100.301.100.501.10
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D10W11D01L11D10W02L11DA·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03A·STI11/03H·EAS18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.790.730.930.360.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.800.601.400.400.20
vs Weaker (19)0.580.790.800.700.330.89
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
AR wins
0
Draws
0
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-4
08/10/22HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
20/08/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/23HAR Vs Stranraer0-1
18/03/23ADumbarton Vs AR1-5
04/03/23AStirling Vs AR3-2
25/02/23HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
21/02/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
18/02/23AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
11/02/23HAR Vs East Fife0-1
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1
28/01/23HAR Vs Forfar0-1
14/01/23AStranraer Vs AR0-4

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HBR Vs East Fife1-1
11/03/23AStirling Vs BR2-1
04/03/23AElgin Vs BR0-1
28/02/23HBR Vs Forfar1-1
25/02/23HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
14/02/23HBR Vs Stirling1-2
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1
04/02/23HBR Vs Annan Athletic1-2
28/01/23ADumbarton Vs BR1-0
21/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.04
HomeLLWLL0.79
AwayWDLLW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%17%35%
AVG goals2.562.122.96
Over 1.5 %64%54%73%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.100.751.42
Conceded1.461.381.54
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners9.369.009.69
Cards4.004.383.65
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD0.97
HomeLLLDD1.00
AwayLLWWL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals2.593.002.14
Over 1.5 %76%87%64%
Over 2.5 %45%47%43%
Over 3.5 %24%33%14%
Scored1.031.200.86
Conceded1.551.801.29
BTTS52%60%43%
Clean Sheet24%20%29%
Corners9.7210.738.64
Cards4.313.934.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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