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Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath Result & Analysis

Date: 24/11/2015
Time: 00:00
Final 2-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
74%
16%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
10.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L10W20W03L10W10W11D01L11DA·PET05/09H·AIR12/09A·STR19/09H·STE26/09A·DUN03/10H·PET17/10A·BRE24/10A·AIR31/10A·AYR14/11H·DUN21/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.141.830.830.501.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.091.801.000.501.17
vs Weaker (3)1.001.332.000.000.502.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-723L22D21W02L05L22D30W00D30W07LA·AIR05/09H·PET12/09H·FOR19/09A·BRE26/09A·AYR03/10H·STE17/10A·STR24/10H·DUN31/10H·BRE14/11A·PET21/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.362.501.571.001.144.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.002.891.500.500.604.80
vs Weaker (5)2.001.801.671.672.502.00
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.2%
Under 2.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
01234
02.7%1.5%1.1%0.4%0.1%
15.3%6.7%3.1%1.1%0.3%
28.5%8.7%4.5%1.5%0.4%
38.0%8.2%4.2%1.4%0.4%
45.7%5.8%3.0%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.19
Ayr
1.69
Peterhead
1.64
Stranraer
1.42
Albion Rvs
1.36
Airdrie United
1.36
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.11
Cowdenbeath
1.08
Forfar
0.94
Albion Rvs is 0.28 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dunfermline
2.31
Peterhead
2.00
Ayr
1.81
Forfar
1.33
Airdrie United
1.33
Brechin
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stranraer
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.11
Albion Rvs is 0.17 goals worse than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.83
Albion Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.31
Peterhead
1.31
Stranraer
1.36
Airdrie United
1.39
Brechin
1.64
Forfar
1.67
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stenhousemuir
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.78 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L00D10W01L00D10W11D01L11DA·PET05/09H·AIR12/09A·STR19/09H·STE26/09A·DUN03/10H·PET17/10A·BRE24/10A·AIR31/10A·AYR14/11H·DUN21/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.641.000.670.380.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.821.000.800.500.83
vs Weaker (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D10W00D02L10W10W00D10W04LA·AIR05/09H·PET12/09H·FOR19/09A·BRE26/09A·AYR03/10H·STE17/10A·STR24/10H·DUN31/10H·BRE14/11A·PET21/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.710.290.291.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.441.330.750.250.202.20
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.670.330.501.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W02L10W00D00D00D00DA·PET05/09H·AIR12/09A·STR19/09H·STE26/09A·DUN03/10H·PET17/10A·BRE24/10A·AIR31/10A·AYR14/11H·DUN21/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.830.170.120.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.270.800.200.000.33
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.000.000.502.00
Clean sheet %79% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D11D02L03L12L20W00D20W03LA·AIR05/09H·PET12/09H·FOR19/09A·BRE26/09A·AYR03/10H·STE17/10A·STR24/10H·DUN31/10H·BRE14/11A·PET21/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.430.860.710.862.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.561.560.750.250.402.60
vs Weaker (5)1.401.201.001.332.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.4%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (26)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
STE (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (4)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AR wins
0
Draws
1
COW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/15ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/15HAR Vs Dunfermline1-1
14/11/15AAyr Vs AR1-0
31/10/15AAirdrie United Vs AR1-1
24/10/15ABrechin Vs AR0-1
17/10/15HAR Vs Peterhead1-0
03/10/15ADunfermline Vs AR3-0
26/09/15HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-0
19/09/15AStranraer Vs AR0-1
12/09/15HAR Vs Airdrie United1-3
05/09/15APeterhead Vs AR1-1

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/15APeterhead Vs COW7-0
14/11/15HCOW Vs Brechin3-0
31/10/15HCOW Vs Dunfermline0-0
24/10/15AStranraer Vs COW0-3
17/10/15HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
03/10/15AAyr Vs COW5-0
26/09/15ABrechin Vs COW2-0
19/09/15HCOW Vs Forfar2-1
12/09/15HCOW Vs Peterhead2-2
05/09/15AAirdrie United Vs COW3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.50
HomeWLWWD2.17
AwayWLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%67%25%
AVG goals2.212.671.88
Over 1.5 %64%83%50%
Over 2.5 %36%50%25%
Over 3.5 %21%33%12%
Scored1.071.830.50
Conceded1.140.831.38
BTTS36%50%25%
Clean Sheet36%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.07
HomeDWDDW1.71
AwayLLLWL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%43%14%
AVG goals3.862.575.14
Over 1.5 %86%71%100%
Over 2.5 %79%71%86%
Over 3.5 %50%29%71%
Scored1.361.571.14
Conceded2.501.004.00
BTTS50%57%43%
Clean Sheet29%43%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3679
67%
2.2
8330+53
3.1
78%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.30.8
-
2
A
Ayr
3661
53%
1.7
6547+18
3.1
81%
69%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
3PeterheadPeterhead3659
44%
1.6
7247+25
3.3
78%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
-
4StranraerStranraer3651
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3649
39%
1.4
4850-2
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6
AR
Albion Rvs
3649
36%
1.4
4044-4
2.3
67%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7BrechinBrechin3642
33%
1.2
4759-12
2.9
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3640
31%
1.1
4680-34
3.5
78%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3639
31%
1.1
4672-26
3.3
78%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
10ForfarForfar3634
22%
0.9
4860-12
3.0
81%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
Scotland: League One 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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