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Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
46%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.03
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.38
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.30
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W13L10W11D23L16L00D32W12L11DA·EDI05/11A·STE09/11H·STI13/11A·ANN20/11H·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.471.211.211.381.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.311.621.001.001.502.00
vs Weaker (17)1.291.351.331.331.251.38
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L10W02L00D12L13L20W01LH·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12H·ANN08/01A·STE15/01H·STR22/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.400.871.530.531.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.821.000.670.201.00
vs Weaker (19)0.741.740.782.110.701.40
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.84-11.8%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.89+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
01234
012%8.2%4.3%1.3%0.3%
113%14%5.8%1.7%0.4%
29.6%8.6%3.9%1.2%0.3%
34.3%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.4%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.28 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 0.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.25 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.78).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.25 goals worse than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

130264335263952733476428788127107136A·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FORA·ANNH·STIA·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702115211241223123171016353A·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FORA·ANNH·STIA·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

2209139121261111117512713913139111122211822181720222222A·ELGH·STEH·STRA·COWA·KELH·FORA·ANNH·STIA·STEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

17045710728362353232517917911838578H·STRA·STEH·ANNH·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80222353116234221114581187232H·STRA·STEH·ANNH·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

270151110101310104111113881181151391826202314222119191827H·STRA·STEH·ANNH·EDIH·ALBA·STRH·STIA·FORA·ELGH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.310.03.03.32.721.420.722.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.510.810.22.93.22.521.421.221.6
vs Weaker (28)9.08.09.83.13.52.821.420.222.4
% over line45%39%50%38%46%31%51%43%58%
% under line55%61%50%62%54%69%49%57%42%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.99.83.93.54.322.522.222.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.910.39.63.22.93.422.023.620.2
vs Weaker (31)9.89.610.04.43.94.822.721.224.2
% over line48%40%56%58%56%60%50%56%44%
% under line52%60%44%42%44%40%50%44%56%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cowdenbeath
9.9
Albion Rvs
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Elgin
9.5
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Stirling
9.4
Stranraer
9.0
Edinburgh City
8.9
Kelty Hearts
8.8
Forfar
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.1
Stirling
4.1
Stranraer
4.0
Annan Athletic
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.5
Forfar
3.2
Kelty Hearts
3.1
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
23.9
Stranraer
22.9
Annan Athletic
22.8
Cowdenbeath
22.5
Stenhousemuir
22.4
Elgin
22.0
Forfar
22.0
Edinburgh City
21.5
Albion Rvs
21.4
Kelty Hearts
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.6%
Under 9.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
43.1%
Under 21.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D10W11D01L12L00D12L11D11DA·EDI05/11A·STE09/11H·STI13/11A·ANN20/11H·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.430.640.880.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.200.600.881.00
vs Weaker (17)0.710.590.560.670.880.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D02L00D00D12L00D00DH·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12H·ANN08/01A·STE15/01H·STR22/01
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.570.470.670.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.360.670.330.200.40
vs Weaker (19)0.160.680.330.890.000.50
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L00D00D22D04L00D20W01L00DA·EDI05/11A·STE09/11H·STI13/11A·ANN20/11H·FOR04/12A·KEL11/12A·COW18/12H·STR26/12H·STE08/01A·ELG15/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.790.570.500.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.770.800.400.621.00
vs Weaker (17)0.590.760.780.670.380.88
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L10W00D00D12L01L20W01LH·KEL06/11A·ELG13/11A·FOR20/11H·STI04/12A·STR11/12H·ALB18/12H·EDI22/12H·ANN08/01A·STE15/01H·STR22/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.400.870.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.450.330.330.000.60
vs Weaker (19)0.581.050.441.220.700.90
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls72.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
2
Draws
3
COW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Cowdenbeath · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
18/12/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-0
11/09/21HAR Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
04/05/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-0
13/04/21HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
03/04/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-1
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1
28/09/19ACowdenbeath Vs AR1-0
26/03/19HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22AElgin Vs AR1-1
08/01/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-2
26/12/21HAR Vs Stranraer3-2
18/12/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-0
11/12/21AKelty Hearts Vs AR6-1
04/12/21HAR Vs Forfar2-3
20/11/21AAnnan Athletic Vs AR1-1
13/11/21HAR Vs Stirling1-0
09/11/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR3-1
05/11/21AEdinburgh City Vs AR0-4

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/22HCOW Vs Stranraer0-1
15/01/22AStenhousemuir Vs COW0-2
08/01/22HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-3
22/12/21HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-2
18/12/21HCOW Vs Albion Rvs0-0
11/12/21AStranraer Vs COW2-0
04/12/21HCOW Vs Stirling1-0
20/11/21AForfar Vs COW3-0
13/11/21AElgin Vs COW1-0
06/11/21HCOW Vs Kelty Hearts0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.04
HomeWWLWL1.21
AwayLDLDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals2.962.713.19
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.221.251.19
Conceded1.741.462.00
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners9.679.359.96
Cards3.003.332.69
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL0.80
HomeWDLLL0.92
AwayLLLLW0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%24%12%
AVG goals2.282.522.04
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %36%44%28%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored0.740.880.60
Conceded1.541.641.44
BTTS40%52%28%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners9.869.889.84
Cards3.923.524.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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