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Albion Rvs vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
28%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.93
Edge
-19.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.42
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.53
Edge
+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D32W10W01L15L01L40W40W01L11DH·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.330.711.361.561.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.440.670.670.671.830.67
vs Weaker (21)1.051.620.731.551.401.70
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L13L13L00D02L21W11D13L03L11DH·ALB12/11A·STI19/11H·ANN03/12H·BON10/12A·DUM24/12A·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.770.881.941.431.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.211.640.882.251.670.83
vs Weaker (16)1.061.880.881.621.252.12
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.77-2.5%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.97+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1 ✓
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
08.1%9.3%8.0%4.1%1.5%
16.7%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
24.6%7.0%5.3%2.7%1.0%
31.8%2.7%2.0%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.31 points worse than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.19 goals worse than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.06 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 5.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

160354411365124556107623368814111610161359A·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90421331345332225226434906474A·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 25.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401613819713111817178129115141515131129272029342020193024A·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

140103645368852762684532131081413981495H·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·DUMH·BONH·ANNA·STIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701512344512131212526374624337H·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·DUMH·BONH·ANNA·STIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

30011171710711147171051111144391015152827182127162571930H·STIA·ANNH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·DUMH·BONH·ANNA·STIH·ALB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.33.94.33.622.321.323.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.38.08.53.84.23.622.922.223.3
vs Weaker (34)9.89.79.84.04.43.622.121.123.1
% over line40%26%52%52%52%52%56%43%67%
% under line60%74%48%48%48%48%44%57%33%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.23.94.13.721.021.220.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)8.98.49.43.73.63.821.322.420.1
vs Weaker (21)9.810.59.04.24.83.520.419.321.6
% over line42%46%38%52%54%50%45%48%42%
% under line58%54%62%48%46%50%55%52%58%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Forfar
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Albion Rvs
9.3
Stranraer
9.3
East Fife
9.3
Stirling
8.9
Elgin
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Albion Rvs
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.6
Albion Rvs
22.3
Forfar
22.1
Stirling
22.1
Stranraer
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.2
East Fife
21.0
Annan Athletic
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.4%
Under 9.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.4%
Under 21.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W00D01L10W00D30W10W00D10WH·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.430.360.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.220.670.331.170.17
vs Weaker (21)0.520.620.360.360.700.90
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L11D00D01L20W10W02L01L00DH·ALB12/11A·STI19/11H·ANN03/12H·BON10/12A·DUM24/12A·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.500.810.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.640.500.880.670.33
vs Weaker (16)0.620.880.500.750.751.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D10W00D05L01L10W30W01L01LH·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.291.000.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.000.330.670.50
vs Weaker (21)0.521.000.361.180.700.80
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L00D01L01L01L11D02L11DH·ALB12/11A·STI19/11H·ANN03/12H·BON10/12A·DUM24/12A·ELG07/01H·STE14/01H·STR21/01A·ANN28/01H·STI04/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.381.120.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.641.000.381.381.000.50
vs Weaker (16)0.441.000.380.880.501.12
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AR wins
0
Draws
4
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs East Fife · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22AEast Fife Vs AR2-3
13/08/22HAR Vs East Fife0-1
21/04/18HAR Vs East Fife1-0
24/02/18AEast Fife Vs AR2-0
23/12/17HAR Vs East Fife3-2
14/10/17AEast Fife Vs AR5-4
22/04/17HAR Vs East Fife0-1
28/03/17HAR Vs East Fife1-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1
28/01/23HAR Vs Forfar0-1
14/01/23AStranraer Vs AR0-4
07/01/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-4
31/12/22HAR Vs Dumbarton0-1
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1
03/12/22AForfar Vs AR1-0
19/11/22HAR Vs Stranraer1-0
12/11/22AEast Fife Vs AR2-3
05/11/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23HEF Vs Stirling1-1
28/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs EF3-0
21/01/23HEF Vs Stranraer1-3
14/01/23HEF Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
07/01/23AElgin Vs EF1-2
24/12/22ADumbarton Vs EF2-0
10/12/22HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
03/12/22HEF Vs Annan Athletic1-3
19/11/22AStirling Vs EF3-1
12/11/22HEF Vs Albion Rvs2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.12
HomeDDWLL0.96
AwayLLWWD1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%33%
AVG goals2.542.262.78
Over 1.5 %64%57%70%
Over 2.5 %42%39%44%
Over 3.5 %32%26%37%
Scored1.120.871.33
Conceded1.421.391.44
BTTS48%43%52%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners9.309.269.33
Cards3.924.303.59
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD0.92
HomeLDDLD0.85
AwayDLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.782.503.08
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %36%23%50%
Scored1.080.921.25
Conceded1.701.581.83
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners9.269.319.21
Cards3.904.123.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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