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Albion Rvs vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.28
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.3%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.34
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.87
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W00D14L01L13L00D00D10W42WA·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.601.001.431.121.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.800.801.000.602.60
vs Weaker (20)1.251.501.111.671.361.36
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L12L02L02L31W00D12L00D20WA·STE29/01A·KEL05/02H·STR12/02H·ANN15/02A·COW19/02H·STI26/02A·FOR05/03A·ANN12/03H·KEL19/03H·EDI26/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.401.200.930.731.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.301.400.200.402.40
vs Weaker (20)1.001.451.101.300.901.60
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.92-9.8%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.82+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0 ✓
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
012%9.7%5.7%2.0%0.5%
111%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.7%8.0%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.1%3.2%1.7%0.6%0.1%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.06 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.11 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.19 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150445587355266452537781015871292814A·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

503221212112210532313210A·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

240101112109121197897713159512111321222120151620241724A·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

12062165746435352545648712107857910H·EDIH·KELA·ANNA·FORH·STIA·COWH·ANNH·STRA·KELA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601523323223323216233543533H·EDIH·KELA·ANNA·FORH·STIA·COWH·ANNH·STRA·KELA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

300910121191511912181214910810159141019232420302619182424H·EDIH·KELA·FORH·STIA·COWH·ANNH·STRA·KELA·STEH·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.49.52.93.22.621.921.322.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.910.29.72.83.32.322.523.421.6
vs Weaker (32)9.28.99.42.93.22.721.519.922.8
% over line43%39%46%32%38%27%55%43%65%
% under line57%61%54%68%62%73%45%57%35%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.39.74.14.33.822.623.122.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.310.110.43.73.44.022.321.822.9
vs Weaker (32)8.27.39.34.34.83.722.723.821.4
% over line32%19%46%56%65%46%57%62%52%
% under line68%81%54%44%35%54%43%38%48%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.6
Albion Rvs
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.4
Forfar
9.3
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Stirling
9.0
Elgin
9.0
Stranraer
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Forfar
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.9
Elgin
22.6
Annan Athletic
22.3
Cowdenbeath
22.3
Stranraer
22.2
Forfar
22.2
Albion Rvs
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Edinburgh City
20.2
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.1%
Under 21.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D02L00D00D00D21WA·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.290.710.560.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.301.100.200.800.401.40
vs Weaker (20)0.500.600.330.670.640.55
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L01L02L01L20W00D00D00D20WA·STE29/01A·KEL05/02H·STR12/02H·ANN15/02A·COW19/02H·STI26/02A·FOR05/03A·ANN12/03H·KEL19/03H·EDI26/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.600.600.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.800.200.401.00
vs Weaker (20)0.500.750.500.800.500.70
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D13L01L11D00D00D10W21WA·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.710.710.560.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.700.600.200.201.20
vs Weaker (20)0.750.900.781.000.730.82
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D00D01L11D00D12L00D00DA·STE29/01A·KEL05/02H·STR12/02H·ANN15/02A·COW19/02H·STI26/02A·FOR05/03A·ANN12/03H·KEL19/03H·EDI26/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.600.330.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.700.600.000.001.40
vs Weaker (20)0.500.700.600.500.400.90
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
2
Draws
3
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Elgin · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22AElgin Vs AR1-1
16/10/21HAR Vs Elgin2-0
14/08/21AElgin Vs AR3-0
17/04/21AElgin Vs AR2-5
12/12/20HAR Vs Elgin3-1
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2
05/10/19HAR Vs Elgin1-3

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-4
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
19/03/22HAR Vs Forfar0-0
16/03/22HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AKelty Hearts Vs AR3-1
05/03/22HAR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
02/03/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-4
26/02/22AStranraer Vs AR0-0
15/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs AR1-2
05/02/22AForfar Vs AR2-0

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22HELG Vs Edinburgh City2-0
19/03/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG2-1
05/03/22AForfar Vs ELG0-0
26/02/22HELG Vs Stirling3-1
19/02/22ACowdenbeath Vs ELG2-0
15/02/22HELG Vs Annan Athletic0-2
12/02/22HELG Vs Stranraer1-2
05/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs ELG4-0
29/01/22AStenhousemuir Vs ELG2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.18
HomeLLLDD1.12
AwayWDLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.742.253.19
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %32%21%42%
Scored1.160.961.35
Conceded1.581.291.85
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.479.439.50
Cards2.903.252.58
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.30
HomeLLWDW1.65
AwayLLLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.622.652.58
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.241.500.96
Conceded1.381.151.62
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners8.968.279.71
Cards4.084.353.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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