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Albion Rvs vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
34%
31%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
34.3%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.11
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.27
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.23
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L02L30W02L23L51W01L01L12LA·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.330.801.201.731.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.500.801.000.802.000.80
vs Weaker (20)1.151.600.701.401.601.80
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D01L03L21W01L14L02L03L01LA·STE28/01H·ALB04/02H·STR18/02A·ALB21/02A·DUM25/02H·BON04/03A·ANN11/03A·EAS24/03H·STI01/04A·STI04/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.731.131.531.471.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.601.001.171.002.25
vs Weaker (20)1.451.801.221.781.641.82
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.89-10.5%
Under 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.85+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
012%11%6.7%2.5%0.7%
111%15%7.5%2.8%0.8%
26.7%7.5%4.2%1.6%0.4%
32.5%2.8%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.03 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.08 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.39 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

15021217353778431864635148810154414108A·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70222314342221222422435724346A·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

2908141314410912691271010514108161322271421151920191829A·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 3.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

100523743652321343532471076754786A·STIH·STIA·EASA·ANNH·BONA·DUMA·ALBH·STRH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7011333152133223324422647164666A·STIH·STIA·EASA·ANNH·BONA·DUMA·ALBH·STRH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

320107771715101581215151010711131614917143225203020182923A·STIH·STIA·EASA·ANNH·BONA·DUMA·ALBH·STRH·ALBA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.84.14.43.822.021.123.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)7.97.68.14.34.24.423.021.924.1
vs Weaker (34)10.19.610.64.04.43.621.620.722.5
% over line42%28%56%58%60%56%48%36%60%
% under line58%72%44%42%40%44%52%64%40%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.68.44.44.34.422.522.023.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.49.27.13.83.54.323.623.224.1
vs Weaker (33)8.68.38.94.64.84.521.921.322.5
% over line36%32%40%62%64%60%55%48%62%
% under line64%68%60%38%36%40%45%52%38%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Forfar
10.7
Dumbarton
10.4
Annan Athletic
9.9
Stranraer
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Albion Rvs
9.4
East Fife
9.2
Stirling
9.1
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.4
Elgin
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Stirling
4.1
Stranraer
4.1
Albion Rvs
4.1
East Fife
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.8
Forfar
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
22.1
Albion Rvs
22.0
Forfar
22.0
East Fife
21.1
Stirling
21.1
Annan Athletic
21.0
Stranraer
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.8%
Under 21.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D00D00D22D40W01L00D10WA·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.370.400.331.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.400.401.400.20
vs Weaker (20)0.750.400.400.301.100.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L00D11D00D12L01L02L01LA·STE28/01H·ALB04/02H·STR18/02A·ALB21/02A·DUM25/02H·BON04/03A·ANN11/03A·EAS24/03H·STI01/04A·STI04/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.530.870.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.700.170.830.750.50
vs Weaker (20)0.900.850.780.891.000.82
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D02L30W02L01L11D00D01L02LA·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.400.870.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.500.600.400.600.60
vs Weaker (20)0.401.200.301.100.501.30
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D03L10W01L02L01L01L00DA·STE28/01H·ALB04/02H·STR18/02A·ALB21/02A·DUM25/02H·BON04/03A·ANN11/03A·EAS24/03H·STI01/04A·STI04/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.600.670.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.830.330.251.75
vs Weaker (20)0.550.950.440.890.641.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
3
Draws
2
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Elgin · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1
11/10/22AElgin Vs AR1-0
02/04/22HAR Vs Elgin0-0
15/01/22AElgin Vs AR1-1
16/10/21HAR Vs Elgin2-0
14/08/21AElgin Vs AR3-0
17/04/21AElgin Vs AR2-5

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23AForfar Vs AR2-1
25/03/23HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
21/03/23HAR Vs Stranraer0-1
18/03/23ADumbarton Vs AR1-5
04/03/23AStirling Vs AR3-2
25/02/23HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
21/02/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
18/02/23AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
11/02/23HAR Vs East Fife0-1
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/23AStirling Vs ELG1-0
01/04/23HELG Vs Stirling0-3
24/03/23AEast Fife Vs ELG2-0
11/03/23AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG4-1
04/03/23HELG Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
25/02/23ADumbarton Vs ELG1-2
21/02/23AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG3-0
18/02/23HELG Vs Stranraer0-1
04/02/23HELG Vs Albion Rvs1-1
28/01/23AStenhousemuir Vs ELG2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.02
HomeLWLLL0.76
AwayDLLWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%16%36%
AVG goals2.502.082.92
Over 1.5 %64%52%76%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.100.721.48
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners9.408.969.84
Cards4.104.363.84
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.12
HomeDDLLL1.16
AwayLWLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.702.522.88
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.141.121.16
Conceded1.561.401.72
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners8.548.648.44
Cards4.364.284.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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