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Albion Rvs vs Forfar Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 3-2
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D11D01L12L11D01L10W00DA·FOR27/02H·STE01/03H·PET05/03A·DUN08/03H·STR12/03A·BRE19/03A·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.171.071.200.801.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.381.201.300.911.45
vs Weaker (9)0.670.670.801.000.500.25
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L01L11D11D31W12L20W22D02LH·ALB27/02A·BRE01/03A·STR05/03A·AIR08/03H·COW12/03H·AYR19/03A·STE26/03H·PET02/04A·DUN09/04H·AIR16/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.731.001.671.271.80
vs Stronger (23)1.261.871.081.751.452.00
vs Similar (7)0.711.290.671.330.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Forfar goals →
01234
09.1%7.9%5.4%2.1%0.6%
19.5%14%7.4%2.9%0.8%
27.4%8.7%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.4%4.0%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.19
Ayr
1.69
Peterhead
1.64
Stranraer
1.42
Albion Rvs
1.36
Airdrie United
1.36
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.11
Cowdenbeath
1.08
Forfar
0.94
Albion Rvs is 0.42 points better than Forfar in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.94).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dunfermline
2.31
Peterhead
2.00
Ayr
1.81
Forfar
1.33
Airdrie United
1.33
Brechin
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stranraer
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.11
Albion Rvs is 0.22 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.83
Albion Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.31
Peterhead
1.31
Stranraer
1.36
Airdrie United
1.39
Brechin
1.64
Forfar
1.67
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stenhousemuir
2.22
Albion Rvs is 0.44 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ForfarForfar

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W00D01L10W00D00D00D00DA·FOR27/02H·STE01/03H·PET05/03A·DUN08/03H·STR12/03A·BRE19/03A·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.530.470.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.570.600.600.550.55
vs Weaker (9)0.220.110.400.200.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W11D11D01L00D11D02LH·ALB27/02A·BRE01/03A·STR05/03A·AIR08/03H·COW12/03H·AYR19/03A·STE26/03H·PET02/04A·DUN09/04H·AIR16/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.401.000.530.80
vs Stronger (23)0.571.000.501.000.641.00
vs Similar (7)0.140.570.001.000.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L11D00D02L11D01L10W00DA·FOR27/02H·STE01/03H·PET05/03A·DUN08/03H·STR12/03A·BRE19/03A·AIR26/03H·DUN02/04A·AYR09/04H·COW16/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.530.730.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.480.810.600.700.360.91
vs Weaker (9)0.440.560.400.800.500.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L01L00D20W11D20W11D00DH·ALB27/02A·BRE01/03A·STR05/03A·AIR08/03H·COW12/03H·AYR19/03A·STE26/03H·PET02/04A·DUN09/04H·AIR16/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.600.670.731.00
vs Stronger (23)0.700.870.580.750.821.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.710.670.330.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (26)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
STE (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (4)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AR wins
1
Draws
2
FOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Forfar · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/16AForfar Vs AR1-0
19/12/15HAR Vs Forfar1-1
15/08/15AForfar Vs AR4-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/16HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
09/04/16AAyr Vs AR0-1
02/04/16HAR Vs Dunfermline0-1
26/03/16AAirdrie United Vs AR1-1
19/03/16ABrechin Vs AR2-1
12/03/16HAR Vs Stranraer0-1
08/03/16ADunfermline Vs AR1-1
05/03/16HAR Vs Peterhead1-1
01/03/16HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
27/02/16AForfar Vs AR1-0

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/16HFOR Vs Airdrie United0-2
09/04/16ADunfermline Vs FOR2-2
02/04/16HFOR Vs Peterhead2-0
26/03/16AStenhousemuir Vs FOR2-1
19/03/16HFOR Vs Ayr3-1
12/03/16HFOR Vs Cowdenbeath1-1
08/03/16AAirdrie United Vs FOR1-1
05/03/16AStranraer Vs FOR1-0
01/03/16ABrechin Vs FOR4-0
27/02/16HFOR Vs Albion Rvs1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.26
HomeDDLLD1.35
AwayLDLDW1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.212.412.00
Over 1.5 %65%76%53%
Over 2.5 %35%41%29%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.001.290.71
Conceded1.211.121.29
BTTS50%59%41%
Clean Sheet26%24%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.00
HomeWDWWL1.06
AwayLLDLD0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%18%
AVG goals2.942.883.00
Over 1.5 %79%76%82%
Over 2.5 %56%47%65%
Over 3.5 %44%41%47%
Scored1.321.351.29
Conceded1.621.531.71
BTTS56%47%65%
Clean Sheet18%18%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3679
67%
2.2
8330+53
3.1
78%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.30.8
-
2
A
Ayr
3661
53%
1.7
6547+18
3.1
81%
69%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
3PeterheadPeterhead3659
44%
1.6
7247+25
3.3
78%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
-
4StranraerStranraer3651
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3649
39%
1.4
4850-2
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6
AR
Albion Rvs
3649
36%
1.4
4044-4
2.3
67%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7BrechinBrechin3642
33%
1.2
4759-12
2.9
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3640
31%
1.1
4680-34
3.5
78%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3639
31%
1.1
4672-26
3.3
78%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
10ForfarForfar3634
22%
0.9
4860-12
3.0
81%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
Scotland: League One 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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