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Albion Rvs vs Forfar Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
24%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.61
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.44
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.91
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D01L02L21W00D14L01L13L00DH·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.631.131.400.871.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.750.831.000.502.50
vs Weaker (18)1.221.561.331.671.111.44
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W22D23L20W11D10W02L00D01L21WH·STR08/01A·ANN15/01H·EDI31/01H·ALB05/02A·STI15/02H·KEL19/02A·STE26/02H·ELG05/03H·STI12/03A·COW15/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.131.881.121.431.14
vs Stronger (14)1.571.001.880.881.171.17
vs Similar (16)1.751.251.881.381.621.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.88-3.5%
Under 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.85+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-0 ✓
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Forfar goals →
01234
09.3%11%9.1%4.5%1.7%
17.0%14%9.2%4.6%1.7%
24.2%6.3%4.7%2.3%0.9%
31.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.58 points worse than Forfar in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.56 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.58).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.61 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403552664525377812643871292814987H·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8021211221532112313210831H·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

29011978977131595121113111891391220151620241724292221H·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDIA·FORH·COWA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

For 6.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

17064346486734577839198107101410914111017A·COWH·STIH·ELGA·STEH·KELA·STIH·ALBH·EDIA·ANNH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5013234121222311224235340524A·COWH·STIH·ELGA·STEH·KELA·STIH·ALBH·EDIA·ANNH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.1 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

24091411815910111010106131112713712823192421201624192020A·COWH·STIH·ELGA·STEH·KELA·STIH·ALBH·EDIA·ANNH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.09.52.93.22.621.721.422.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)9.79.89.62.83.12.521.923.520.4
vs Weaker (30)8.98.49.53.03.32.721.519.923.0
% over line39%33%44%34%40%28%55%46%64%
% under line61%67%56%66%60%72%45%54%36%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.99.43.43.13.622.121.322.9
vs Stronger (29)8.98.59.33.32.83.821.820.623.0
vs Similar (18)9.910.59.53.73.83.622.821.923.6
vs Weaker (3)7.06.09.02.32.52.021.024.015.0
% over line42%44%40%54%40%68%54%52%56%
% under line58%56%60%46%60%32%46%48%44%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.5
Stirling
9.3
Albion Rvs
9.2
Forfar
9.1
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Stranraer
9.0
Elgin
9.0
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stirling
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Stranraer
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
23.2
Stranraer
22.6
Annan Athletic
22.6
Elgin
22.5
Cowdenbeath
22.2
Forfar
22.1
Stenhousemuir
22.0
Albion Rvs
21.7
Edinburgh City
20.6
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.7%
Under 9.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.7%
Under 21.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L01L00D00D01L00D02L00DH·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.400.670.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.251.000.170.670.331.33
vs Weaker (18)0.560.610.560.670.560.56
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W02L10W10W00D01L00D01L11DH·STR08/01A·ANN15/01H·EDI31/01H·ALB05/02A·STI15/02H·KEL19/02A·STE26/02H·ELG05/03H·STI12/03A·COW15/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.620.691.000.29
vs Stronger (14)0.710.290.750.380.670.17
vs Similar (16)0.880.690.501.001.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L21W00D13L01L11D00DH·STE08/01A·ELG15/01H·COW29/01A·FOR05/02A·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.730.730.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.750.670.330.171.17
vs Weaker (18)0.670.940.781.000.560.89
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L21W10W01L10W01L00D00D10WH·STR08/01A·ANN15/01H·EDI31/01H·ALB05/02A·STI15/02H·KEL19/02A·STE26/02H·ELG05/03H·STI12/03A·COW15/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.250.440.430.86
vs Stronger (14)0.860.711.120.500.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.880.561.380.380.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
0
Draws
6
FOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Forfar · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/22AForfar Vs AR2-0
04/12/21HAR Vs Forfar2-3
25/09/21AForfar Vs AR3-1
07/04/18HAR Vs Forfar0-1
13/01/18AForfar Vs AR4-2
04/11/17HAR Vs Forfar3-4
26/08/17AForfar Vs AR0-2
23/04/16HAR Vs Forfar3-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/22HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AKelty Hearts Vs AR3-1
05/03/22HAR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
02/03/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-4
26/02/22AStranraer Vs AR0-0
15/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs AR1-2
05/02/22AForfar Vs AR2-0
29/01/22HAR Vs Cowdenbeath0-1
15/01/22AElgin Vs AR1-1
08/01/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-2

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/22ACowdenbeath Vs FOR1-2
12/03/22HFOR Vs Stirling0-1
05/03/22HFOR Vs Elgin0-0
26/02/22AStenhousemuir Vs FOR2-0
19/02/22HFOR Vs Kelty Hearts1-0
15/02/22AStirling Vs FOR1-1
05/02/22HFOR Vs Albion Rvs2-0
31/01/22HFOR Vs Edinburgh City2-3
15/01/22AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR2-2
08/01/22HFOR Vs Stranraer3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.04
HomeLLLLD1.04
AwayDLWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.762.403.12
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.080.961.20
Conceded1.681.441.92
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners9.248.969.52
Cards2.923.202.64
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.32
HomeLWWDL1.36
AwayLDDLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.682.962.40
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.321.521.12
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.148.929.36
Cards3.363.083.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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