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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 13/11/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
23%
27%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.84
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
49.5%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.20
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L12L21W03L13L01L20W40W13LA·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08A·STI28/08H·COW11/09H·KEL18/09A·FOR25/09A·STR02/10H·ELG16/10A·EDI05/11A·STE09/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.601.001.201.402.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.501.501.141.292.001.80
vs Weaker (18)1.001.670.881.121.102.10
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L30W21W10W22D40W20W11D11D13LA·ANN14/08A·STR21/08H·ALB28/08H·FOR11/09A·EDI17/09H·COW25/09A·ELG02/10H·STR16/10A·KEL30/10H·STE06/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.201.131.731.13
vs Stronger (15)1.531.071.501.121.571.00
vs Similar (15)1.401.200.861.141.881.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.73-4.6%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 2.00+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
1-0 ✓
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
08.4%10%9.2%4.9%2.0%
16.2%13%9.5%5.1%2.0%
23.8%6.1%4.9%2.6%1.1%
31.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.08 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.11 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.33 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1407642725534310464563410136910713109914A·STEA·EDIH·ELGA·STRA·FORH·KELH·COWA·STIH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5023122121222345333020254A·STEA·EDIH·ELGA·STRA·FORH·KELH·COWA·STIH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

28013911111013159655814799612171122222324111321181828A·STEA·EDIH·ELGA·STRA·FORH·KELH·COWA·STIH·ANNA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 5.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1104427415454837254526289599119978H·STEA·KELH·STRA·ELGH·COWA·EDIH·FORH·ALBA·STRA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702232312211344211224544274224H·STEA·KELH·STRA·ELGH·COWA·EDIH·FORH·ALBA·STRA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 9.8 · Total 24.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001111151216915101371512171299201015622272525202729183021H·STEA·KELH·STRA·ELGH·COWA·EDIH·FORH·ALBA·STRA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.33.13.33.022.021.022.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.910.910.83.23.23.222.021.522.7
vs Weaker (28)9.79.49.93.13.42.822.020.523.1
% over line51%48%54%44%50%38%55%48%62%
% under line49%52%46%56%50%62%45%52%38%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.29.94.03.44.523.523.223.8
vs Stronger (27)9.610.48.93.83.34.323.022.723.2
vs Similar (23)10.69.911.24.23.54.824.123.824.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%54%42%62%46%77%64%62%65%
% under line52%46%58%38%54%23%36%38%35%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.2
Stirling
10.0
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Elgin
9.8
Cowdenbeath
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.2
Stranraer
9.1
Edinburgh City
9.0
Forfar
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.3
Elgin
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.7
Stranraer
3.6
Albion Rvs
3.1
Forfar
3.1
Kelty Hearts
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
23.8
Cowdenbeath
23.6
Stirling
23.5
Stranraer
23.0
Stenhousemuir
22.6
Edinburgh City
22.2
Forfar
22.2
Elgin
22.1
Albion Rvs
22.0
Kelty Hearts
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.5%
Under 9.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.0%
Under 21.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D11D02L01L01L00D30W11DA·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08A·STI28/08H·COW11/09H·KEL18/09A·FOR25/09A·STR02/10H·ELG16/10A·EDI05/11A·STE09/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.200.670.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.140.861.001.00
vs Weaker (18)0.500.670.250.500.700.80
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W00D00D11D20W10W00D00D03LA·ANN14/08A·STR21/08H·ALB28/08H·FOR11/09A·EDI17/09H·COW25/09A·ELG02/10H·STR16/10A·KEL30/10H·STE06/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.200.671.000.53
vs Stronger (15)0.470.600.250.620.710.57
vs Similar (15)0.730.600.140.711.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L10W01L12L00D20W10W02LA·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08A·STI28/08H·COW11/09H·KEL18/09A·FOR25/09A·STR02/10H·ELG16/10A·EDI05/11A·STE09/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.800.530.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.581.000.431.000.80
vs Weaker (18)0.501.000.620.620.401.30
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W21W10W11D20W10W11D11D10WA·ANN14/08A·STR21/08H·ALB28/08H·FOR11/09A·EDI17/09H·COW25/09A·ELG02/10H·STR16/10A·KEL30/10H·STE06/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.531.000.470.730.60
vs Stronger (15)1.070.471.250.500.860.43
vs Similar (15)0.670.600.710.430.620.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls74.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
1
Draws
5
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/21AStirling Vs AR2-1
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1
09/03/19AStirling Vs AR0-1
12/02/19AStirling Vs AR1-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR3-1
05/11/21AEdinburgh City Vs AR0-4
16/10/21HAR Vs Elgin2-0
02/10/21AStranraer Vs AR1-0
25/09/21AForfar Vs AR3-1
18/09/21HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-3
11/09/21HAR Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
28/08/21AStirling Vs AR2-1
21/08/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-1
14/08/21AElgin Vs AR3-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/21HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
30/10/21AKelty Hearts Vs STI1-1
16/10/21HSTI Vs Stranraer1-1
02/10/21AElgin Vs STI0-2
25/09/21HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath4-0
17/09/21AEdinburgh City Vs STI2-2
11/09/21HSTI Vs Forfar1-0
28/08/21HSTI Vs Albion Rvs2-1
21/08/21AStranraer Vs STI0-3
14/08/21AAnnan Athletic Vs STI3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.08
HomeDLWLW1.33
AwayLLLWL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.982.713.23
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.261.291.23
Conceded1.721.422.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners10.2210.1710.27
Cards3.143.332.96
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL1.66
HomeWWWDL1.21
AwayLWDWD2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%33%62%
AVG goals2.782.503.04
Over 1.5 %70%58%81%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.561.082.00
Conceded1.221.421.04
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners10.0410.179.92
Cards3.983.384.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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