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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
22%
31%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.67
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.29
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.45
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L01L13L00D00D10W42W00D05L14LH·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.700.861.571.191.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.500.670.830.752.50
vs Weaker (20)1.201.801.002.121.331.58
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L21W10W03L01L10W00D11D02LA·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.301.001.440.931.14
vs Stronger (14)0.931.141.141.290.711.00
vs Similar (16)1.001.440.891.561.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.9%
@ 1.96-10.7%
Under 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.78+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.0%
1-1 ✓
14.0%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.5%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
013%14%10%4.5%1.5%
18.3%14%8.5%3.8%1.3%
24.0%5.3%3.5%1.6%0.5%
31.1%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.08 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.11 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.33 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

15017435445587355266458758101587129A·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

110419212322121211251130532313A·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

220814121013710111210912119789771322222021222120151620A·STEH·STRH·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

120236354255575434264345997101276107H·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50121321323221323433502215H·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

310131881012898101289811131212791131182017221719251920H·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COWH·STEA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.09.23.13.52.621.321.021.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.79.79.72.83.32.322.423.121.6
vs Weaker (31)8.88.69.03.23.72.820.619.621.6
% over line37%33%40%34%36%32%53%42%64%
% under line63%67%60%66%64%68%47%58%36%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.88.93.93.24.722.923.322.5
vs Stronger (23)8.18.47.73.72.94.623.123.922.2
vs Similar (27)9.69.29.94.13.44.822.722.822.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line34%40%28%56%40%72%54%64%44%
% under line66%60%72%44%60%28%46%36%56%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.5
Forfar
9.3
Albion Rvs
9.1
Kelty Hearts
9.0
Stranraer
8.9
Stirling
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.0
Stirling
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Forfar
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Edinburgh City
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.9
Elgin
22.7
Forfar
22.3
Cowdenbeath
22.1
Annan Athletic
22.0
Stranraer
22.0
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Albion Rvs
21.3
Kelty Hearts
20.0
Edinburgh City
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.8%
Under 9.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.9%
Under 21.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D02L00D00D00D21W00D01L14LH·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.290.710.620.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.900.170.670.501.25
vs Weaker (20)0.550.800.380.750.670.83
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W10W01L00D00D00D11D00DA·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.310.560.360.50
vs Stronger (14)0.360.360.430.140.290.57
vs Similar (16)0.310.690.220.890.430.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L01L11D00D00D10W21W00D04L00DH·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04H·STR09/04A·STE16/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.570.860.560.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.600.500.170.251.25
vs Weaker (20)0.651.000.621.380.670.75
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D00D02L01L10W00D00D02LA·ELG26/02H·STE05/03H·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.690.880.570.64
vs Stronger (14)0.570.790.711.140.430.43
vs Similar (16)0.690.750.670.670.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AR wins
1
Draws
4
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
13/11/21HAR Vs Stirling1-0
28/08/21AStirling Vs AR2-1
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3
02/11/19AStirling Vs AR3-0
31/08/19HAR Vs Stirling2-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/22AStenhousemuir Vs AR4-1
09/04/22HAR Vs Stranraer0-5
02/04/22HAR Vs Elgin0-0
26/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-4
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
19/03/22HAR Vs Forfar0-0
16/03/22HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AKelty Hearts Vs AR3-1
05/03/22HAR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
02/03/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-4

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/22HSTI Vs Elgin0-2
09/04/22AKelty Hearts Vs STI1-1
02/04/22ACowdenbeath Vs STI0-0
26/03/22HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
22/03/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs0-1
19/03/22HSTI Vs Annan Athletic0-3
12/03/22AForfar Vs STI0-1
08/03/22HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
05/03/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
26/02/22AElgin Vs STI3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.14
HomeLDDDL1.12
AwayDLWWL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.682.323.04
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.080.921.24
Conceded1.601.401.80
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.149.049.24
Cards3.083.522.64
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.26
HomeWLLWL1.12
AwayLLWDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.402.282.52
Over 1.5 %62%60%64%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.140.961.32
Conceded1.261.321.20
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners8.888.848.92
Cards3.943.164.72

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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