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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
22%
28%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.76
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.49
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
50.8%
Avg Implied 49.5% · @ 1.85
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W22D11D02L12L21W01L11D22DH·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.430.671.601.071.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.800.400.601.001.00
vs Weaker (20)0.951.750.802.101.101.40
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W21W01L11D41W41W21W60W31W21WH·STE13/08A·ANN20/08A·BON27/08H·ALB03/09H·STR17/09A·FOR24/09A·EAS01/10H·DUM08/10A·STE15/10H·BON29/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.131.801.131.331.13
vs Stronger (13)0.921.381.001.570.831.17
vs Similar (17)2.060.942.500.751.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.0%
@ 1.82-4.2%
Under 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.91+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
09.0%11%9.8%5.2%2.1%
16.3%13%9.5%5.0%2.0%
23.6%5.7%4.6%2.4%1.0%
31.2%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.94 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.56 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.31 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

130585656355631036634154131111811139959H·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7021432433423312211123766454423H·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

330414121211197151320891611101291351418243022331727222219H·STEA·DUMA·ELGH·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 6.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

14063101016223956384810613118514912810H·BONA·STEH·DUMA·EASA·FORH·STRH·ALBA·BONA·ANNH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

10055231441211322133110518314444H·BONA·STEH·DUMA·EASA·FORH·STRH·ALBA·BONA·ANNH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801711914961410141412811161212181016528231524282027242821H·BONA·STEH·DUMA·EASA·FORH·STRH·ALBA·BONA·ANNH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.69.03.53.83.221.220.122.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)8.98.69.23.13.42.821.421.221.7
vs Weaker (32)8.88.68.93.73.93.421.019.422.6
% over line34%24%44%44%44%44%52%36%68%
% under line66%76%56%56%56%56%48%64%32%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.88.64.03.14.822.221.822.6
vs Stronger (22)8.17.88.44.13.54.622.523.721.2
vs Similar (28)9.19.58.73.92.85.022.020.423.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line30%36%24%58%40%76%52%52%52%
% under line70%64%76%42%60%24%48%48%48%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Dumbarton
10.1
Forfar
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.3
Stranraer
9.2
Albion Rvs
8.8
East Fife
8.7
Stirling
8.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
8.6
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Elgin
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
East Fife
3.5
Albion Rvs
3.5
Forfar
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
23.0
Stranraer
22.7
Forfar
22.6
Stirling
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.0
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.8
Dumbarton
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Albion Rvs
21.2
East Fife
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.4%
Under 9.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.6%
Under 21.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D00D00D11D21W00D11D10WH·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.400.530.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.500.400.400.400.60
vs Weaker (20)0.450.750.400.600.500.90
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L00D41W30W21W40W11D11DH·STE13/08A·ANN20/08A·BON27/08H·ALB03/09H·STR17/09A·FOR24/09A·EAS01/10H·DUM08/10A·STE15/10H·BON29/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.000.470.670.73
vs Stronger (13)0.460.690.290.570.670.83
vs Similar (17)1.120.531.620.380.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D11D02L01L00D01L00D12LH·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10A·ELG11/10A·DUM15/10H·STE29/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.271.070.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.300.000.200.600.40
vs Weaker (20)0.501.000.401.500.600.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D11D00D11D00D20W20W10WH·STE13/08A·ANN20/08A·BON27/08H·ALB03/09H·STR17/09A·FOR24/09A·EAS01/10H·DUM08/10A·STE15/10H·BON29/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.800.670.670.40
vs Stronger (13)0.460.690.711.000.170.33
vs Similar (17)0.940.410.880.381.000.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
3
Draws
3
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22AStirling Vs AR1-1
23/04/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
13/11/21HAR Vs Stirling1-0
28/08/21AStirling Vs AR2-1
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
15/10/22ADumbarton Vs AR1-1
11/10/22AElgin Vs AR1-0
08/10/22HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
01/10/22AStranraer Vs AR2-1
17/09/22HAR Vs Forfar0-2
03/09/22AStirling Vs AR1-1
27/08/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic2-2
20/08/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-2
13/08/22HAR Vs East Fife0-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HSTI Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
15/10/22AStenhousemuir Vs STI1-3
08/10/22HSTI Vs Dumbarton6-0
01/10/22AEast Fife Vs STI1-2
24/09/22AForfar Vs STI1-4
17/09/22HSTI Vs Stranraer4-1
03/09/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs1-1
27/08/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-0
20/08/22AAnnan Athletic Vs STI1-2
13/08/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.00
HomeLDLWD1.04
AwayWDLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.542.482.60
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.541.481.60
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners8.828.609.04
Cards3.463.763.16
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.38
HomeWDWWW1.40
AwayWLWWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.723.002.44
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %54%64%44%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.461.681.24
Conceded1.261.321.20
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners8.668.768.56
Cards3.983.124.84

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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