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Albion Rvs vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
25%
32%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.75
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied 51.9% · @ 1.77
Edge
-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L23L51W01L01L12L30W04L31W12LH·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04H·ELG08/04A·ANN15/04H·STE22/04A·EAS29/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.071.001.561.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.700.901.600.601.801.20
vs Weaker (20)1.151.650.781.221.452.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W22D30W10W22D10W00D31W21WA·STR18/03H·FOR21/03H·DUM25/03A·ELG01/04H·ELG04/04H·EAS08/04A·STE15/04A·DUM18/04H·ANN22/04H·FOR29/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.972.311.001.640.93
vs Stronger (13)1.921.002.001.141.830.83
vs Similar (17)2.060.942.560.891.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.9%
Under 1.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.5%
@ 1.60-23.7%
Under 2.5
65.5%
@ 2.23+23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.8%
Under 3.5
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
2-0 ✓
4.7%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
014%14%9.1%3.7%1.1%
19.5%14%8.0%3.2%1.0%
24.7%5.7%3.5%1.4%0.4%
31.4%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Albion Rvs is 0.94 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Albion Rvs is 0.56 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Albion Rvs is 0.31 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1508493410612121735377841212147148810154A·EASH·STEA·ANNH·ELGA·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70241121132223143426234243572A·EASH·STEA·ANNH·ELGA·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 9.1 · Total 17.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

270810125666481413144109126912718171210222714211519A·EASH·STEA·ANNH·ELGA·FORH·BONH·STRA·DUMA·STIH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

14021044753363257352625912812697107814H·FORH·ANNA·DUMA·STEH·EASH·ELGA·ELGH·DUMH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9011132211321133543122442526942H·FORH·ANNA·DUMA·STEH·EASH·ELGA·ELGH·DUMH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

25051011471814111110710771210899515152525211714221714H·FORH·ANNA·DUMA·STEH·EASH·ELGA·ELGH·DUMH·FORA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.110.24.04.13.921.420.222.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.07.48.64.23.84.821.619.523.6
vs Weaker (34)10.410.010.83.94.33.621.320.621.9
% over line48%33%62%58%58%58%44%33%54%
% under line52%67%38%42%42%42%56%67%46%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.54.03.54.520.920.021.8
vs Stronger (22)8.88.09.64.74.54.922.523.321.8
vs Similar (28)9.710.19.33.42.84.119.517.521.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%42%42%54%42%67%40%31%50%
% under line58%58%58%46%58%33%60%69%50%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Forfar
10.5
Dumbarton
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Albion Rvs
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
Stranraer
9.4
Stirling
9.3
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
East Fife
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Albion Rvs
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Stranraer
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.8
Forfar
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
22.4
Elgin
22.2
Forfar
22.0
East Fife
21.4
Albion Rvs
21.4
Stranraer
21.0
Stirling
20.9
Annan Athletic
20.8
Dumbarton
20.6
Stenhousemuir
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.4%
Under 9.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.0%
Under 21.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D40W01L00D10W00D02L10W11DH·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04H·ELG08/04A·ANN15/04H·STE22/04A·EAS29/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.400.360.211.120.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.400.400.401.400.40
vs Weaker (20)0.700.400.330.111.000.64
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D20W10W21W00D00D11D10WA·STR18/03H·FOR21/03H·DUM25/03A·ELG01/04H·ELG04/04H·EAS08/04A·STE15/04A·DUM18/04H·ANN22/04H·FOR29/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.310.620.860.50
vs Stronger (13)1.080.621.140.861.000.33
vs Similar (17)1.120.531.440.440.750.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L11D00D01L02L30W02L21W01LH·ANN25/02A·STI04/03A·DUM18/03H·STR21/03H·BON25/03A·FOR01/04H·ELG08/04A·ANN15/04H·STE22/04A·EAS29/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.710.790.441.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.800.501.200.200.400.80
vs Weaker (20)0.451.250.441.110.451.36
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D10W00D01L10W00D20W11DA·STR18/03H·FOR21/03H·DUM25/03A·ELG01/04H·ELG04/04H·EAS08/04A·STE15/04A·DUM18/04H·ANN22/04H·FOR29/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.401.000.380.790.43
vs Stronger (13)0.850.380.860.290.830.50
vs Similar (17)0.940.411.110.440.750.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
4
Draws
2
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stirling · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AStirling Vs AR3-2
05/11/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
03/09/22AStirling Vs AR1-1
23/04/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
13/11/21HAR Vs Stirling1-0
28/08/21AStirling Vs AR2-1
06/04/21AStirling Vs AR1-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23AEast Fife Vs AR2-1
22/04/23HAR Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
15/04/23AAnnan Athletic Vs AR4-0
08/04/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
01/04/23AForfar Vs AR2-1
25/03/23HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
21/03/23HAR Vs Stranraer0-1
18/03/23ADumbarton Vs AR1-5
04/03/23AStirling Vs AR3-2
25/02/23HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23HSTI Vs Forfar2-1
22/04/23HSTI Vs Annan Athletic3-1
18/04/23ADumbarton Vs STI0-0
15/04/23AStenhousemuir Vs STI0-1
08/04/23HSTI Vs East Fife2-2
04/04/23HSTI Vs Elgin1-0
01/04/23AElgin Vs STI0-3
25/03/23HSTI Vs Dumbarton2-2
21/03/23HSTI Vs Forfar2-0
18/03/23AStranraer Vs STI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.06
HomeLLLWW0.92
AwayLWLLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%21%35%
AVG goals2.562.083.00
Over 1.5 %66%54%77%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.140.831.42
Conceded1.421.251.58
BTTS44%33%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.669.1210.15
Cards4.024.123.92
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.80
HomeDWDWW2.04
AwayDDWWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.603.002.17
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.601.961.21
Conceded1.001.040.96
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners9.329.199.46
Cards3.983.544.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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