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Albion Rvs vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-5
AR
Albion Rvs
Vs
29%
29%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.86
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.27
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stranraer win✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.31
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D14L01L13L00D00D10W42W00DA·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.530.861.291.121.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.641.640.670.830.602.60
vs Weaker (19)1.211.471.001.621.361.36
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L02L21W11D00D14L30W21W01L02LA·KEL29/01H·EDI05/02A·ELG12/02H·STE19/02H·ALB26/02A·ANN05/03H·COW12/03A·EDI18/03A·STI26/03H·FOR02/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.071.331.531.73
vs Stronger (22)1.361.321.000.821.731.82
vs Similar (8)1.122.121.252.751.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.92-2.5%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.81+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
Albion Rvs goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
01234
09.3%10%7.9%3.7%1.3%
17.8%14%8.8%4.1%1.4%
25.1%7.1%4.9%2.3%0.8%
31.9%2.6%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Albion Rvs goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Albion Rvs is 0.22 points worse than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Albion Rvs is 0.36 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Albion Rvs is 0.11 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505445587355266452535810158712928H·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50123221212112213053231321H·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

24013710111210912119789771315951220212221201516202417H·ELGA·ANNA·STIH·FORH·KELA·KELH·EDIH·ANNA·STRA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

For 6.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

16028521031424425252449310713168277812H·FORA·STIA·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·ALBH·STEA·ELGH·EDIA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5031322312212321114322423532H·FORA·STIA·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·ALBH·STEA·ELGH·EDIA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 19.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

2409148977681099151210109611101223171414192422191722H·FORA·STIA·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·ALBH·STEA·ELGH·EDIA·KEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.42.93.22.621.521.221.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.79.79.72.83.32.322.423.121.6
vs Weaker (31)9.18.99.32.93.22.721.019.921.9
% over line41%38%44%32%36%28%53%42%64%
% under line59%62%56%68%64%72%47%58%36%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.09.13.83.64.022.022.022.0
vs Stronger (39)8.78.68.83.83.64.121.421.521.3
vs Similar (11)10.310.410.23.73.63.824.424.224.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%50%31%52%38%65%50%54%46%
% under line60%50%69%48%62%35%50%46%54%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.4
Forfar
9.4
Albion Rvs
9.3
Kelty Hearts
9.1
Stirling
9.1
Stranraer
9.0
Edinburgh City
8.9
Elgin
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.8
Stranraer
3.8
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Forfar
3.4
Edinburgh City
3.4
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.9
Elgin
22.4
Forfar
22.4
Annan Athletic
22.1
Stranraer
22.0
Cowdenbeath
22.0
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Albion Rvs
21.5
Edinburgh City
20.2
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.5%
Under 3.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.0%
Under 21.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D02L00D00D00D21W00DA·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.290.710.560.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.271.000.170.670.401.40
vs Weaker (19)0.530.630.380.750.640.55
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L10W10W00D13L20W20W00D00DA·KEL29/01H·EDI05/02A·ELG12/02H·STE19/02H·ALB26/02A·ANN05/03H·COW12/03A·EDI18/03A·STI26/03H·FOR02/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.670.530.730.80
vs Stronger (22)0.820.680.730.360.911.00
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.501.000.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D13L01L11D00D00D10W21W00DA·EDI15/02A·STR26/02H·ANN02/03H·EDI05/03A·KEL12/03H·KEL16/03H·FOR19/03A·STI22/03A·ANN26/03H·ELG02/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.570.570.560.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.640.500.170.201.20
vs Weaker (19)0.680.840.620.880.730.82
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L11D01L00D01L10W01L01L02LA·KEL29/01H·EDI05/02A·ELG12/02H·STE19/02H·ALB26/02A·ANN05/03H·COW12/03A·EDI18/03A·STI26/03H·FOR02/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.400.800.800.93
vs Stronger (22)0.550.640.270.450.820.82
vs Similar (8)0.751.500.751.750.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards74.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AR wins
2
Draws
4
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Albion Rvs vs Stranraer · H/A from AR
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22AStranraer Vs AR0-0
26/12/21HAR Vs Stranraer3-2
02/10/21AStranraer Vs AR1-0
20/04/21HAR Vs Stranraer0-2
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
10/03/18AStranraer Vs AR2-3
27/01/18HAR Vs Stranraer1-3
19/12/17AStranraer Vs AR2-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/22HAR Vs Elgin0-0
26/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-4
22/03/22AStirling Vs AR0-1
19/03/22HAR Vs Forfar0-0
16/03/22HAR Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
12/03/22AKelty Hearts Vs AR3-1
05/03/22HAR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
02/03/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-4
26/02/22AStranraer Vs AR0-0
15/02/22AEdinburgh City Vs AR1-2

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/22HSTR Vs Forfar0-2
26/03/22AStirling Vs STR1-0
18/03/22AEdinburgh City Vs STR1-2
12/03/22HSTR Vs Cowdenbeath3-0
05/03/22AAnnan Athletic Vs STR4-1
26/02/22HSTR Vs Albion Rvs0-0
19/02/22HSTR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
12/02/22AElgin Vs STR1-2
05/02/22HSTR Vs Edinburgh City0-2
29/01/22AKelty Hearts Vs STR3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.14
HomeLLDDD1.12
AwayWDLWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.642.163.12
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.100.921.28
Conceded1.541.241.84
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.359.259.44
Cards2.903.242.56
Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.44
HomeLDDWL1.46
AwayLWLWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.822.672.96
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.441.381.50
Conceded1.381.291.46
BTTS50%29%69%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners9.049.009.08
Cards3.823.584.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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