This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.47
2.19
1.25
1.14
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.32
2.44
0.89
0.70
1.70
vs Weaker (11)
2.00
1.73
1.86
1.71
2.25
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-0 ✓
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
Alcorcon goals ↓
Valladolid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.6%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.5%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.7%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alcorcon goals (down), columns = Valladolid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Alcorcon is 0.36 points worse than Valladolid in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Alcorcon is 0.76 goals worse than Valladolid in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.64).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Alcorcon is 0.31 goals better than Valladolid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Alcorcon
For 6.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 15.6 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
For 4.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 32.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alcorcon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
2.9
2.7
3.1
32.5
31.4
33.5
vs Stronger (25)
9.1
8.7
9.6
2.4
1.9
3.2
33.6
31.3
36.0
vs Similar (25)
10.3
10.6
10.0
3.4
3.8
3.0
31.4
31.6
31.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
43%
47%
42%
44%
40%
97%
93%
100%
% under line
55%
57%
53%
58%
56%
60%
3%
7%
0%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.3
3.5
3.4
3.7
31.9
32.3
31.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.3
11.0
9.8
3.6
2.8
4.4
31.7
31.4
31.9
vs Weaker (18)
11.5
11.4
11.5
3.4
4.4
2.1
32.3
33.3
30.5
% over line
59%
60%
57%
54%
54%
54%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
41%
40%
43%
46%
46%
46%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Almeria
11.0
Huesca
11.0
Lugo
10.8
Valladolid
10.8
Zaragoza
10.7
Rayo Vallecano
10.6
Numancia
10.3
Sporting Gijon
10.2
Granada CF
10.1
Tenerife
9.9
Mallorca
9.9
Barcelona B
9.8
Cadiz
9.8
Alcorcon
9.7
Cordoba
9.7
Sevilla B
9.7
Cultural Leonesa
9.3
Gimnastic
9.3
Albacete
9.2
Oviedo
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.4
Osasuna
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.3
Valladolid
6.1
Tenerife
6.0
Osasuna
5.7
Huesca
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Gimnastic
5.6
Oviedo
5.6
Lugo
5.6
Albacete
5.4
Cadiz
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Mallorca
5.1
Numancia
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
Rayo Vallecano
5.1
Alcorcon
5.0
Barcelona B
5.0
Cultural Leonesa
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Cordoba
4.5
Reus Deportiu
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
32.9
Alcorcon
32.5
Valladolid
31.9
Tenerife
31.5
Lugo
31.4
Oviedo
31.4
Almeria
31.2
Mallorca
30.9
Gimnastic
30.8
Cordoba
30.2
Cultural Leonesa
29.6
Huesca
29.5
Zaragoza
29.4
Sporting Gijon
29.4
Cadiz
29.1
Sevilla B
29.1
Reus Deportiu
29.1
Osasuna
28.7
Granada CF
28.7
Barcelona B
28.0
Rayo Vallecano
28.0
Numancia
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.1%
Under 3.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.0%
Under 21.5
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Alcorcon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.36
0.86
0.29
0.14
0.43
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.44
0.50
0.38
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.06
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.58
1.33
0.11
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.82
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alcorcon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Alcorcon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.33
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.86
0.29
0.29
0.57
1.43
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.75
0.50
0.38
0.38
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.12
0.75
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.74
1.11
0.78
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.91
1.14
0.71
1.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Alcorcon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alcorcon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alcorcon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Alcorcon · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dyego Sousa30%
Jacobo González14%
Christian Borrego11%
Javier Pérez Mateo9%
Emmanuel Addai9%
Víctor García8%
Fede Vico6%
Chema4%
Juanma Bravo4%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi3%
Pedro Mosquera3%
Yan Eteki3%
Javier Lara3%
Javier Castro2%
Xavier Quintilla0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
David Morillas0%
Alejandro López0%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Iago López Carracedo0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Juan Artola0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yan Eteki38%
Chema33%
Jacobo González31%
Iago López Carracedo24%
Xavier Quintilla23%
Óscar Rivas22%
Dyego Sousa22%
Alejandro López20%
Pedro Mosquera19%
Javier Pérez Mateo17%
Iker Bilbao17%
Víctor García16%
David Morillas14%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi14%
Juan Artola14%
Jean-Sylvain Babin12%
Javier Castro10%
Juanma Bravo8%
Christian Borrego8%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez7%
Fede Vico6%
Javier Lara3%
Emmanuel Addai3%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fede Vico19%
Álvaro Bustos12%
Emmanuel Addai11%
Xavier Quintilla9%
Jacobo González8%
Víctor García8%
Iago López Carracedo6%
Juanma Bravo4%
Javier Lara3%
Óscar Rivas3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Pedro Mosquera0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
Yan Eteki0%
David Morillas0%
Alejandro López0%
Chema0%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Javier Pérez Mateo0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Christian Borrego0%
Juan Artola0%
Javier Castro0%
Marciano Sanca Tchami0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Addai40%
Jacobo González25%
Marciano Sanca Tchami9%
Dyego Sousa9%
Víctor García5%
Juan Artola3%
Óscar Rivas3%
Christian Borrego3%
Xavier Quintilla0%
Fede Vico0%
Pedro Mosquera0%
Jean-Sylvain Babin0%
Yan Eteki0%
David Morillas0%
Javier Lara0%
Alejandro López0%
Chema0%
Álvaro Bustos0%
Juanma Bravo0%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi0%
Iago López Carracedo0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
Javier Pérez Mateo0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Iker Bilbao0%
Javier Castro0%
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Lugo
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa
Mallorca