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Aldershot vs Halifax Result & Analysis

Date: 25/11/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Aldershot
Aldershot
Vs
34%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Halifax
Halifax
England: National League
Referee: S Mulhall

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aldershot win✓ Hit
34.3%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.95
Edge
-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.64
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halifax win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.43
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D32W12L10W21W42W12L10W12L32WH·SOU26/09H·DAG30/09A·ALT03/10A·SOL07/10H·HAR21/10H·MAI24/10A·DOR28/10H·KID11/11A·ROC18/11A·BRO21/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.672.141.501.311.81
vs Stronger (18)1.941.832.441.781.441.89
vs Similar (12)1.331.421.601.001.141.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HalifaxHalifax

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D23L21W20W21W21W11D01L10W22DH·DAG26/09H·EAS30/09A·WOK03/10A·EBB07/10H·KID21/10H·HAR24/10A·YOR28/10A·MAI11/11H·WEA18/11H·FYL21/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.831.440.811.070.86
vs Stronger (16)1.061.001.380.880.751.12
vs Similar (14)1.500.641.500.751.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.77-8.5%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.97+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
1-0 ✓
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
Aldershot goals ↓
Halifax goals →
01234
010.0%9.4%6.6%2.7%0.8%
19.2%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.3%7.8%4.8%2.0%0.6%
32.5%3.1%1.9%0.8%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aldershot goals (down), columns = Halifax goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Chesterfield
2.13
Barnet
1.87
Bromley
1.76
Altrincham
1.67
Solihull
1.65
Gateshead
1.63
Southend
1.63
Halifax
1.54
Aldershot
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Rochdale
1.35
Hartlepool
1.30
Eastleigh
1.28
Maidenhead
1.26
Dag and Red
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Woking
1.20
Fylde
1.20
Ebbsfleet
1.17
York
1.15
Boreham Wood
1.13
Kidderminster
1.00
Dorking
0.98
Oxford City
0.72
Aldershot is 0.04 points worse than Halifax in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chesterfield
2.30
Barnet
1.98
Gateshead
1.91
Altrincham
1.83
Aldershot
1.61
Fylde
1.61
Bromley
1.59
Eastleigh
1.59
Solihull
1.54
Southend
1.52
Hartlepool
1.52
Dag and Red
1.50
Rochdale
1.50
Oldham
1.37
Maidenhead
1.30
Wealdstone
1.30
Boreham Wood
1.28
Ebbsfleet
1.28
Halifax
1.26
York
1.20
Dorking
1.17
Oxford City
1.17
Woking
1.07
Kidderminster
0.87
Aldershot is 0.35 goals better than Halifax in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Southend
0.98
Bromley
1.07
Halifax
1.09
Woking
1.20
Altrincham
1.28
Kidderminster
1.28
Oldham
1.30
Barnet
1.30
Solihull
1.35
Dag and Red
1.37
Gateshead
1.39
Rochdale
1.39
Chesterfield
1.41
Maidenhead
1.46
York
1.50
Wealdstone
1.57
Boreham Wood
1.59
Ebbsfleet
1.61
Hartlepool
1.78
Fylde
1.78
Aldershot
1.80
Dorking
1.85
Eastleigh
1.89
Oxford City
2.04
Aldershot is 0.72 goals worse than Halifax in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Gateshead
61%
Chesterfield
60%
Barnet
57%
Southend
56%
Wealdstone
55%
Rochdale
55%
Dorking
53%
Ebbsfleet
52%
Altrincham
52%
Hartlepool
50%
Aldershot
50%
Woking
49%
Solihull
48%
Oxford City
48%
Halifax
48%
Fylde
47%
Oldham
46%
Kidderminster
46%
York
45%
Eastleigh
44%
Bromley
43%
Boreham Wood
43%
Maidenhead
42%
Aldershot is 2.2 percentage points better than Halifax in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AldershotAldershot

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L00D00D22D01L10W11D02LH·SOU26/09H·DAG30/09A·ALT03/10A·SOL07/10H·HAR21/10H·MAI24/10A·DOR28/10H·KID11/11A·ROC18/11A·BRO21/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.930.430.250.94
vs Stronger (18)0.670.891.110.670.221.11
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.600.000.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HalifaxHalifax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L10W11D11D00D01L00D01LH·DAG26/09H·EAS30/09A·WOK03/10A·EBB07/10H·KID21/10H·HAR24/10A·YOR28/10A·MAI11/11H·WEA18/11H·FYL21/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.310.440.430.50
vs Stronger (16)0.380.560.380.500.380.62
vs Similar (14)0.360.360.250.380.500.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aldershot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AldershotAldershot

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W11D10W21W20W11D00D01L30WH·SOU26/09H·DAG30/09A·ALT03/10A·SOL07/10H·HAR21/10H·MAI24/10A·DOR28/10H·KID11/11A·ROC18/11A·BRO21/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.971.211.071.060.88
vs Stronger (18)1.280.941.331.111.220.78
vs Similar (12)0.921.001.001.000.861.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HalifaxHalifax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D20W10W10W10W11D00D10W21WH·DAG26/09H·EAS30/09A·WOK03/10A·EBB07/10H·KID21/10H·HAR24/10A·YOR28/10A·MAI11/11H·WEA18/11H·FYL21/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.120.380.640.36
vs Stronger (16)0.690.441.000.380.380.50
vs Similar (14)1.140.291.250.381.000.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aldershot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halifax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards89.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
OLD (21)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
Aldershot and Halifax have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Aldershot and Halifax have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (9)
€3m
CHE (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
Aldershot and Halifax have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
ALD wins
1
Draws
4
HAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aldershot vs Halifax · H/A from ALD
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/23AHalifax Vs ALD2-0
17/09/22HALD Vs Halifax5-1
07/05/22AHalifax Vs ALD1-1
25/09/21HALD Vs Halifax0-1
16/03/21AHalifax Vs ALD1-0
08/12/20HALD Vs Halifax1-3

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/23ABromley Vs ALD2-3
18/11/23ARochdale Vs ALD2-1
11/11/23HALD Vs Kidderminster1-0
28/10/23ADorking Vs ALD2-1
24/10/23HALD Vs Maidenhead4-2
21/10/23HALD Vs Hartlepool2-1
07/10/23ASolihull Vs ALD0-1
03/10/23AAltrincham Vs ALD2-1
30/09/23HALD Vs Dag and Red3-2
26/09/23HALD Vs Southend1-1

HalifaxHalifax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/23HHAL Vs Fylde2-2
18/11/23HHAL Vs Wealdstone1-0
11/11/23AMaidenhead Vs HAL1-0
28/10/23AYork Vs HAL1-1
24/10/23HHAL Vs Hartlepool2-1
21/10/23HHAL Vs Kidderminster2-1
07/10/23AEbbsfleet Vs HAL0-2
03/10/23AWoking Vs HAL1-2
30/09/23HHAL Vs Eastleigh2-3
26/09/23HHAL Vs Dag and Red0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aldershot
Aldershot
England: National League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.32
HomeDWWWW1.40
AwayLWLLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals3.183.203.16
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.521.681.36
Conceded1.661.521.80
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards3.964.203.72
Halifax
Halifax
England: National League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.44
HomeLWWWD1.65
AwayDWWDL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.042.351.71
Over 1.5 %62%69%54%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %16%27%4%
Scored1.161.460.83
Conceded0.880.880.88
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners---
Cards3.963.884.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ChesterfieldChesterfield4698
67%
2.1
10665+41
3.7
91%
74%
52%
-
0%
4.0
48%
-
0%
6
3122.31.4
60%
2BarnetBarnet4686
57%
1.9
9160+31
3.3
87%
57%
39%
-
0%
4.2
65%
-
0%
4
0132.01.3
57%
3BromleyBromley4681
48%
1.8
7349+24
2.7
76%
48%
30%
-
0%
3.6
41%
-
0%
4
1121.61.1
43%
4AltrinchamAltrincham4677
48%
1.7
8459+25
3.1
80%
65%
37%
-
0%
3.7
50%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
52%
5SolihullSolihull4676
46%
1.7
7162+9
2.9
85%
57%
24%
-
0%
4.0
54%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
48%
6SouthendSouthend4675
46%
1.6
7045+25
2.5
85%
48%
13%
-
0%
3.3
39%
-
0%
1
0001.51.0
56%
7GatesheadGateshead4675
48%
1.6
8864+24
3.3
87%
63%
41%
-
0%
4.0
57%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
61%
8HalifaxHalifax4671
41%
1.5
5850+8
2.3
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
4.2
52%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
48%
9AldershotAldershot4669
43%
1.5
7483-9
3.4
85%
61%
39%
-
0%
4.5
63%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
50%
10OldhamOldham4663
33%
1.4
6360+3
2.7
78%
50%
33%
-
0%
3.9
52%
-
0%
3
1111.41.3
46%
11RochdaleRochdale4662
35%
1.3
6964+5
2.9
83%
59%
33%
-
0%
4.0
52%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
55%
12HartlepoolHartlepool4660
37%
1.3
7082-12
3.3
85%
63%
41%
-
0%
3.6
48%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
50%
13EastleighEastleigh4659
35%
1.3
7387-14
3.5
80%
65%
41%
-
0%
4.1
52%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
44%
14
M
Maidenhead
4658
33%
1.3
6067-7
2.8
70%
52%
39%
-
0%
4.1
61%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
42%
15
DA
Dag and Red
4656
30%
1.2
6963+6
2.9
74%
50%
33%
-
0%
3.7
54%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
16WealdstoneWealdstone4656
33%
1.2
6072-12
2.9
74%
48%
33%
-
0%
4.0
50%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
55%
17WokingWoking4655
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.3
65%
37%
17%
-
0%
4.2
54%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
49%
18
F
Fylde
4655
33%
1.2
7482-8
3.4
96%
74%
43%
-
0%
3.8
57%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
47%
19
E
Ebbsfleet
4654
30%
1.2
5974-15
2.9
76%
50%
33%
-
0%
4.5
61%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
52%
20YorkYork4653
26%
1.2
5569-14
2.7
83%
46%
30%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
45%
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4652
26%
1.1
5973-14
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
3.5
39%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
43%
22
K
Kidderminster
4646
24%
1.0
4059-19
2.2
63%
41%
15%
-
0%
3.7
48%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
46%
23
D
Dorking
4645
26%
1.0
5485-31
3.0
78%
59%
33%
-
0%
3.9
63%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
53%
24
OC
Oxford City
4633
17%
0.7
5494-40
3.2
83%
65%
43%
-
0%
3.4
41%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
48%
England: National League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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