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Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Vs
24%
22%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alloa Athletic win✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Falkirk win✗ Miss
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W32W24L01L10W21W13L10W02L22DH·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.521.621.441.111.582.00
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (8)1.500.881.400.601.671.33
vs Weaker (12)1.501.921.501.751.502.00
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W36L00D13L10W13L03L25L50W01LA·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05A·EDI11/07H·AYR14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.471.531.731.071.20
vs Stronger (5)1.203.401.674.000.502.50
vs Similar (23)1.221.171.501.170.911.18
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.8%
Under 2.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.8%
Alloa Athletic goals ↓
Falkirk goals →
01234
03.6%5.1%6.4%4.7%2.5%
13.0%9.3%9.2%6.7%3.6%
22.8%6.1%6.6%4.8%2.6%
31.3%2.9%3.1%2.3%1.2%
40.5%1.0%1.1%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alloa Athletic goals (down), columns = Falkirk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Alloa Athletic is 0.40 points better than Falkirk in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Alloa Athletic is 1.20 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Alloa Athletic is 0.40 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FalkirkFalkirk

For 5.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

16074556525792126741045511101171638111410H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

90331145323432121133419575314H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

30011917610131213101616131515151461771020232325262930292317H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.610.83.43.63.225.124.625.7
vs Stronger (9)10.18.511.83.44.03.023.824.523.0
vs Similar (36)9.58.510.63.83.73.925.524.626.4
vs Weaker (5)11.011.0-1.02.50.024.024.0-
% over line55%41%72%52%60%44%75%73%78%
% under line45%59%28%48%40%56%25%27%22%
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
100.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Alloa Athletic or Draw✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
24%
22%
54%
covers Alloa Athletic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic or Falkirk✗ Miss
77.8%
Avg Implied -
24%
22%
54%
covers Alloa Athletic + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Falkirk✓ Hit
75.9%
Avg Implied -
24%
22%
54%
covers Draw + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.9%
Under
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.6%
Under
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.9%
Under
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
Under
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Alloa Athletic, so a minus line means Alloa Athletic give that many goals of a start and Falkirk receive them. At -1, Alloa Athletic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Alloa Athletic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Falkirk
Alloa Athletic -2
3.9%
Draw -2
7.1%
Falkirk +2
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Falkirk
Alloa Athletic -1
10.9%
Draw -1
13.2%
Falkirk +1
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic +1
46.3%
Draw +1
20.5%
Falkirk -1
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Alloa Athletic)Actual: Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic +2
66.8%
Draw +2
16.3%
Falkirk -2
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L01L10W10W02L00D02L01LH·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.330.440.751.25
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.120.400.000.670.33
vs Weaker (12)0.581.330.251.000.751.50
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W00D02L00D03L02L23L40W01LA·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05A·EDI11/07H·AYR14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.870.930.530.67
vs Stronger (5)0.801.601.331.670.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.570.700.750.750.360.64
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D12L00D00D11D11D10W00D21WH·DUN19/07A·AIR26/07A·RAN16/08A·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.711.110.670.830.75
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (8)1.000.751.000.601.001.00
vs Weaker (12)0.920.581.250.750.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D15L00D11D10W10W01L02L10W00DA·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05A·EDI11/07H·AYR14/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.670.800.530.53
vs Stronger (5)0.401.800.332.330.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.480.750.420.550.55
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 23.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 21.5 fouls100.0%--------
Under 19.5 fouls99.8%--------
Under 7.596.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.592.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap89.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals88.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.588.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.584.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals82.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.0%--------
Under 11.5 corners78.2%--------
Home or Away77.8%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals76.1%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away75.9%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.8%--------
Under 4.570.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Falkirk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon McCann33%
Aodhan Doherty33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ross33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Alloa Athletic's squad is €6m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Alloa Athletic's attack is €2m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Alloa Athletic and Falkirk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Alloa Athletic's defence is €3m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AA wins
0
Draws
0
FAL wins

Head-to-head

Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HAA Vs Stranraer2-2
14/07/26AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-0
16/05/26AStenhousemuir Vs AA0-1
13/05/26HAA Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
09/05/26AAirdrie United Vs AA1-2
05/05/26HAA Vs Airdrie United1-0
29/11/25ARaith Rovers Vs AA1-0
16/08/25ARangers Vs AA4-2
26/07/25AAirdrie United Vs AA2-3
19/07/25HAA Vs Dundee1-0

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/26HFAL Vs Ayr Utd0-1
11/07/26AEdinburgh City Vs FAL0-5
16/05/26HFAL Vs Rangers2-5
13/05/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs FAL3-0
09/05/26HFAL Vs Hibernian1-3
02/05/26HFAL Vs Motherwell1-0
25/04/26ACeltic Vs FAL3-1
18/04/26ADunfermline Vs FAL0-0
12/04/26HFAL Vs Rangers3-6
04/04/26AMotherwell Vs FAL2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.57
HomeWWWLD2.00
AwayLLWWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%42%
AVG goals3.142.563.58
Over 1.5 %67%56%75%
Over 2.5 %62%56%67%
Over 3.5 %48%44%50%
Scored1.521.441.58
Conceded1.621.112.00
BTTS62%56%67%
Clean Sheet29%44%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.42
HomeLWLLL1.52
AwayWDLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.943.322.56
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.521.801.24
Conceded1.421.521.32
BTTS50%68%32%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners9.628.6410.83
Cards4.204.144.26

🏆 17. League Table

Alloa Athletic plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
Falkirk plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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