Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Alloa Athletic are tipped to win, with a 56 % chance of a home victory, 26 % for a draw and 18 % for Peterhead. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4 % probability. Alloa’s home form shows they score 1.4 goals and concede 0.6 against teams of similar strength, while Peterhead, on the road, averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8 % with a 7 % edge, Under 6.5 at 98.4 % with a 5 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2 % with a 6 % edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.5 % with a 6 % edge, Under 5.5 at 95.3 % with a 5 % edge and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1 % with a 3 % edge. Alloa’s recent two-game winning streak and Peterhead’s return from a loss set the stage for a tight, low-scoring affair.

The pre-match favourite, Alloa Athletic, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The model had given the home side a 56% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely score of 1-1, but the overall outcome did not. Every suggested pick was a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Under 7.5 at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 96.4%, Under 5.5 at 95.3%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9%. All selections were settled in the model’s favour.