This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.30
1.00
1.31
1.18
1.29
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
2.44
0.60
2.60
1.25
2.25
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.62
1.25
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.40
-
-
2.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.1%
Under 2.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
4.9%
Almeria goals ↓
Leganes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
9.9%
12%
8.8%
4.9%
1
3.1%
9.6%
9.7%
7.1%
3.9%
2
1.6%
3.5%
3.9%
2.9%
1.6%
3
0.4%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almeria goals (down), columns = Leganes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Valencia
2.40
Osasuna
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Almeria
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Pontevedra
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Zaragoza
2.00
Girona
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Zamora
2.00
Marbella
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Villarreal
1.50
Gimnastic
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Villamuriel
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Salamanca UDS
1.50
Conquense
1.50
UD San Pedro
1.50
Vic
1.50
Chiclana
1.50
Manises
1.50
Parla Escuela
1.50
Yeclano
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Valladolid
1.33
Tenerife
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Deportiva Minera
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Escobedo
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Ponferradina
0.67
Athletic Club
0.50
Olot
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Gévora
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Cacereño
0.50
Levante
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
L'Hospitalet
0.00
Lanzarote
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Móstoles
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
SS Reyes
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Don Benito
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Cuarte
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Dolorense
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Guijuelo
0.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0.00
Bergantiños
0.00
Lleida Esportiu
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Almeria is 0.25 points better than Leganes in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Barcelona
3.50
Zaragoza
3.50
Las Palmas
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Lanzarote
3.00
Yeclano
3.00
Unionistas de Salamanca
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Real Madrid
2.67
Valladolid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Almeria
2.50
Burgos
2.50
UD San Pedro
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Móstoles
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Vic
2.00
Chiclana
2.00
Pontevedra
2.00
Barakaldo
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Cadiz
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Manises
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Levante
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Castellón
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Poblense
1.00
L'Hospitalet
1.00
Olot
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
SS Reyes
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Don Benito
1.00
Cuarte
1.00
Gévora
1.00
Zamora
1.00
Ejea
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
Marbella
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Dolorense
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Guijuelo
1.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00
Bergantiños
1.00
Lleida Esportiu
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Eldense
0.67
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Villamuriel
0.50
Salamanca UDS
0.50
Conquense
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Eibar
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Badalona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Almeria is 0.30 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Eibar
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Alaves
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Pontevedra
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Yeclano
0.50
Zamora
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Marbella
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Elche
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Compostela
1.00
Beasain
1.00
Águilas
1.00
Atlético Paso
1.00
Vic
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Xerez
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Sonseca
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Hércules
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Celta Vigo
1.25
Ourense CF
1.25
Barbastro
1.33
Osasuna
1.40
Almeria
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Valladolid
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Astur
2.00
Olot
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Badalona
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Cortes
2.00
SS Reyes
2.00
Don Benito
2.00
Llanera
2.00
Alfaro
2.00
Manises
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Promesas EDF
2.00
Guijuelo
2.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00
Bergantiños
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Villamuriel
2.50
San Tirso
2.50
Chiclana
2.50
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Las Rozas
3.00
CD Coria
3.00
Cuarte
3.00
Dolorense
3.00
Lleida Esportiu
3.00
Salamanca UDS
3.50
UD San Pedro
3.50
Gévora
3.50
Levante
4.00
Amorebieta
4.00
Lanzarote
4.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Ontiñena
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
4.00
Sporting Mahón
4.00
Melilla CD
4.00
L'Hospitalet
5.00
Móstoles
5.00
Jove Español
5.00
Tudelano
5.00
Poblense
6.00
Laredo
6.00
Almeria is 0.30 goals better than Leganes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almeria
For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 17.5 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leganes
For 2.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.8
4.7
4.7
4.7
26.4
26.2
26.6
vs Stronger (10)
10.4
10.2
10.6
4.3
4.2
4.4
24.2
24.8
23.6
vs Similar (31)
9.5
9.1
9.9
5.3
5.1
5.6
26.5
26.1
27.0
vs Weaker (9)
7.7
6.0
8.4
3.2
3.5
3.1
29.1
31.0
28.4
% over line
40%
41%
40%
68%
65%
70%
70%
64%
76%
% under line
60%
59%
60%
32%
35%
30%
30%
36%
24%
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.1
9.5
4.5
4.7
4.3
26.3
25.9
26.8
vs Stronger (9)
8.4
7.4
9.8
3.9
3.6
4.2
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Similar (30)
9.3
8.2
10.2
4.9
4.6
5.1
26.4
25.1
27.5
vs Weaker (11)
7.6
8.8
6.5
3.7
6.2
2.3
27.1
29.0
25.2
% over line
45%
43%
46%
72%
78%
67%
79%
74%
83%
% under line
55%
57%
54%
28%
22%
33%
21%
26%
17%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barcelona
10.4
Oviedo
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.2
Racing Santander
10.2
Real Madrid
10.1
Real Sociedad
10.0
Burgos
9.7
Numancia
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Levante
9.7
Eibar
9.7
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Alaves
9.6
Espanyol
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Real Betis
9.5
Cordoba
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Sevilla
9.5
Tenerife
9.5
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Las Palmas
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Albacete
9.4
Castellón
9.4
Valladolid
9.4
Ponferradina
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Athletic Club
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Mirandes
9.2
Osasuna
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.0
Gimnastic
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Malaga
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Valencia
8.8
FC Andorra
8.8
Elche
8.8
Atletico Madrid
8.8
Amorebieta
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Cadiz
8.7
Leganes
8.7
Mallorca
8.7
Girona
8.4
Getafe
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Racing Santander
6.1
Gimnastic
5.9
Villarreal
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Zaragoza
5.7
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Elche
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Alaves
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Espanyol
5.2
Cordoba
5.1
Sevilla
5.1
Real Betis
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Almeria
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Girona
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Alcorcon
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Barcelona
4.8
Leganes
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Burgos
4.6
FC Cartagena
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.5
Athletic Club
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.3
Castellón
4.2
Real Madrid
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Numancia
30.6
Gimnastic
30.1
Getafe
30.1
Cordoba
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.8
Cadiz
29.5
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.6
Elche
28.1
Espanyol
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Rayo Vallecano
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Almeria
26.8
Zaragoza
26.7
Granada CF
26.7
Alaves
26.6
Tenerife
26.5
Real Sociedad
26.4
Leganes
26.3
Castellón
26.2
Eldense
26.0
Deportivo La Coruna
25.8
Valladolid
25.8
Racing Ferrol
25.6
Real Betis
25.6
Levante
25.4
Mallorca
25.4
Villarreal
25.2
Celta Vigo
25.1
Athletic Club
25.1
Mirandes
25.1
FC Andorra
25.0
Valencia
24.9
Las Palmas
24.7
Osasuna
24.6
Alcorcon
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Amorebieta
24.3
Albacete
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Huesca
23.8
Sevilla
23.8
FC Cartagena
23.8
Eibar
23.2
Real Madrid
23.1
Atletico Madrid
23.0
Girona
23.0
Burgos
22.8
Barcelona
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Almeria or Draw✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
68%
covers Almeria + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Almeria or Leganes✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
68%
covers Almeria + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Leganes✓ Hit
88.6%
Avg Implied -
11%
20%
68%
covers Draw + Leganes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Almeria over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.0%
Under
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
64.8%
Under
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Almeria, so a minus line means Almeria give that many goals of a start and Leganes receive them. At -1, Almeria must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Almeria win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Almeria)Actual: Leganes
Almeria -2
0.8%
Draw -2
2.8%
Leganes +2
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Almeria)Actual: Leganes
Almeria -1
3.6%
Draw -1
7.8%
Leganes +1
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Almeria)Actual: Draw
Almeria +1
31.6%
Draw +1
22.9%
Leganes -1
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Almeria)Actual: Almeria
Almeria +2
54.5%
Draw +2
20.8%
Leganes -2
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.38
0.69
0.82
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.40
0.70
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.38
0.38
0.53
0.59
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.25
0.38
0.12
0.25
0.38
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
1.00
-
-
0.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.50
1.92
0.54
1.06
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.53
1.90
0.60
0.89
0.44
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.33
3.00
0.00
1.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Leganes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leganes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.62
0.92
0.65
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.78
0.20
1.80
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.38
0.88
0.38
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
-
-
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Almeria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Javier Suárez53%
Léo Baptistão20%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Sergio Arribas18%
Gonzalo Melero14%
Gui8%
Arnau Puigmal7%
Alejandro Pozo6%
Lázaro6%
Rachad Fettal6%
Marko Milovanović5%
Álex Centelles5%
Edgar González5%
Lucas Robertone4%
Marc Pubill3%
Dion Lopy2%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Kaiky0%
Ruben Quintanilla0%
Marko Perović0%
Selvi Clúa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dion Lopy50%
Ruben Quintanilla33%
Chumi28%
Gonzalo Melero22%
Luis Javier Suárez21%
Iddrisu Baba20%
Edgar González18%
Fernando Martínez18%
Lucas Robertone17%
Lázaro17%
Selvi Clúa17%
Marc Pubill16%
Gui15%
Marko Milovanović15%
Álex Centelles15%
Marko Perović12%
Nicolás Melamed12%
Bruno Langa12%
Alejandro Pozo11%
Kaiky11%
Aleksandar Radovanović10%
Arnau Puigmal7%
Sergio Arribas7%
Rachad Fettal6%
Léo Baptistão5%
Luís Maximiano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben Quintanilla33%
Lucas Robertone17%
Luis Javier Suárez16%
Nicolás Melamed12%
Arnau Puigmal12%
Gonzalo Melero11%
Marc Pubill11%
Álex Centelles10%
Sergio Arribas9%
Léo Baptistão8%
Dion Lopy8%
Lázaro6%
Rachad Fettal6%
Marko Milovanović5%
Kaiky4%
Alejandro Pozo3%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Edgar González0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Gui0%
Marko Perović0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Javier Suárez65%
Léo Baptistão40%
Sergio Arribas25%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Lázaro17%
Lucas Robertone8%
Dion Lopy5%
Gonzalo Melero3%
Marc Pubill3%
Álex Centelles2%
Arnau Puigmal2%
Edgar González2%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Alejandro Pozo0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Kaiky0%
Gui0%
Marko Milovanović0%
Ruben Quintanilla0%
Marko Perović0%
Rachad Fettal0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Leganes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dani Raba22%
Munir El Haddadi21%
Yan Diomande20%
Juan Cruz18%
Diego Garcia13%
Seydouba Cisse8%
Enric Franquesa8%
Javier Hernández6%
Miguel de la Fuente5%
Sergio González5%
Jorge Sáenz4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Matija Nastasić3%
Óscar Rodríguez3%
Yvan Neyou3%
Darko Brašanac3%
Valentin Rosier3%
Renato Tapia3%
Sébastien Haller0%
Juan Soriano0%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Julián Chicco0%
Roberto López0%
Duk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yvan Neyou42%
Valentin Rosier26%
Adrià Altimira24%
Renato Tapia22%
Dani Raba22%
Óscar Rodríguez19%
Javier Hernández18%
Jorge Sáenz17%
Matija Nastasić14%
Darko Brašanac12%
Seydouba Cisse11%
Juan Soriano10%
Duk10%
Yan Diomande10%
Miguel de la Fuente8%
Enric Franquesa8%
Sergio González8%
Diego Garcia6%
Juan Cruz5%
Munir El Haddadi4%
Sébastien Haller0%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Julián Chicco0%
Roberto López0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Óscar Rodríguez16%
Dani Raba16%
Juan Cruz13%
Yan Diomande10%
Miguel de la Fuente8%
Roberto López6%
Julián Chicco6%
Darko Brašanac6%
Valentin Rosier6%
Jorge Sáenz4%
Yvan Neyou3%
Javier Hernández3%
Seydouba Cisse3%
Matija Nastasić0%
Sébastien Haller0%
Juan Soriano0%
Munir El Haddadi0%
Renato Tapia0%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Sergio González0%
Enric Franquesa0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Duk0%
Diego Garcia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Munir El Haddadi11%
Diego Garcia10%
Dani Raba9%
Miguel de la Fuente8%
Juan Cruz8%
Óscar Rodríguez6%
Roberto López6%
Javier Hernández6%
Seydouba Cisse3%
Matija Nastasić0%
Sébastien Haller0%
Juan Soriano0%
Renato Tapia0%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Julián Chicco0%
Valentin Rosier0%
Yvan Neyou0%
Jorge Sáenz0%
Darko Brašanac0%
Sergio González0%
Enric Franquesa0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Duk0%
Yan Diomande0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Almeria's squad is €24m more valuable than Leganes's (€54m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Almeria's attack is €25m more valuable than Leganes's (€38m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Almeria's midfield is €3m less valuable than Leganes's (€4m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Almeria's defence is €3m more valuable than Leganes's (€11m vs €8m).
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mirandes
Oviedo
Levante
Elche
Racing Santander
Granada CF
Huesca
Eibar
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
Cordoba
Burgos
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
Zaragoza
Eldense
Tenerife
Racing Ferrol
FC Cartagena
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Girona
Las Palmas
Valladolid