This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.43
0.79
1.19
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
1.25
1.25
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.09
1.67
0.56
1.08
1.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.8%
Almeria goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
7.8%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.7%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.4%
8.9%
4.7%
1.7%
0.4%
3
3.9%
4.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almeria goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Almeria is 0.26 points worse than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Almeria is 0.48 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Almeria is 0.12 goals better than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almeria
For 5.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 13.7 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 17.0 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.9
10.1
1.8
1.4
2.2
30.5
27.0
34.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
12.2
13.2
10.7
1.6
2.0
1.2
31.2
29.2
34.7
vs Weaker (23)
10.8
12.3
9.8
2.0
0.7
3.2
29.8
23.3
33.6
% over line
62%
88%
38%
24%
24%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
12%
62%
76%
76%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.8
9.8
1.9
2.2
1.6
32.2
30.8
33.6
vs Stronger (9)
10.5
10.5
-
1.9
2.8
0.0
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.5
9.8
1.9
2.2
1.7
33.8
31.3
36.2
vs Weaker (5)
9.5
-
9.5
2.2
0.0
2.8
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
50%
50%
50%
24%
24%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
76%
76%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valladolid
12.3
Almeria
11.5
Rayo Vallecano
11.0
Zaragoza
10.9
Cadiz
10.8
Lugo
10.7
Barcelona B
10.6
Huesca
10.5
Numancia
10.4
Granada CF
10.3
Mallorca
9.8
Sporting Gijon
9.8
Tenerife
9.8
Oviedo
9.6
Cordoba
9.6
Cultural Leonesa
9.6
Albacete
9.4
Reus Deportiu
9.4
Gimnastic
9.2
Sevilla B
9.2
Alcorcon
8.8
Osasuna
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
7.1
Tenerife
6.1
Gimnastic
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Numancia
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Zaragoza
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Osasuna
5.5
Alcorcon
5.2
Huesca
5.2
Rayo Vallecano
5.2
Albacete
5.1
Granada CF
5.1
Cadiz
5.1
Lugo
5.0
Cultural Leonesa
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.9
Mallorca
4.8
Barcelona B
4.8
Cordoba
4.5
Reus Deportiu
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
34.8
Alcorcon
33.9
Lugo
33.1
Valladolid
32.4
Mallorca
32.3
Tenerife
32.2
Cordoba
31.4
Oviedo
31.3
Gimnastic
31.1
Zaragoza
30.8
Almeria
30.5
Cultural Leonesa
30.2
Reus Deportiu
30.1
Cadiz
29.4
Sporting Gijon
29.0
Sevilla B
28.6
Huesca
28.5
Numancia
28.2
Granada CF
28.2
Rayo Vallecano
28.0
Barcelona B
27.6
Osasuna
27.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.3%
Under 9.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.2%
Under 21.5
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.69
0.50
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.73
0.62
0.62
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.33
0.75
0.38
0.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.25
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.45
0.78
0.22
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.69
0.50
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.80
0.75
0.62
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.40
0.62
0.38
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.86
0.36
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.64
0.89
0.33
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Almeria's squad is €42m more valuable than Tenerife's (€54m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Almeria's attack is €33m more valuable than Tenerife's (€38m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Almeria and Tenerife have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Almeria's defence is €8m more valuable than Tenerife's (€11m vs €3m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Valladolid
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Lugo
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
Mallorca