Ammanford AFC face Cardiff MET in a match where the model favours an away win, with a 50% chance of victory for the visitors, 29% for a draw and 21% for a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.4, most likely a 2-goal encounter, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% chance. Ammanford, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Cardiff MET, on the road against a weaker opponent, boasts 2.0 goals scored and a clean sheet average of 0.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Under 5.5 (96.4%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.4%). These picks reflect the low-scoring nature of the fixture, with both teams unlikely to exceed a modest goal tally.
Results analysis
Ammanford AFC’s recent run of losses has ended in a heavy 0-5 defeat to Cardiff MET, who were on a two-game winning streak before the match. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as the final score confirmed Cardiff MET’s triumph. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 52%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.9%, while Away under 2.5 2H goals missed at 94.9%. The model’s predictions largely aligned with the outcome, underscoring its reliability.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ammanford AFC win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.15
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.66
Betfair
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
1xBet
5.31
Marathonbet
5.25
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.81
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.01
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Cardiff MET win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.53
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Dafabet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ammanford AFC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.10
1.64
0.93
1.50
1.25
vs Stronger (21)
1.86
1.05
1.70
0.80
2.00
1.27
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.22
1.50
1.25
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff MET
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.40
1.94
1.59
1.23
1.15
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.62
1.31
2.07
1.40
1.00
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
@ 1.22-3.7%
Under 1.5
29.4%
@ 3.54+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.76-9.0%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.93+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.98
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
@ 2.86-9.5%
Under 3.5
77.6%
@ 1.34+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.91
Unibet
2.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
@ 1.80-3.7%
No
53.1%
@ 1.85+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
No
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.86
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.93+7.1%
0-1
12.6%@ 6.37+6.0%
0-2
10.6%@ 6.72+4.3%
0-0
10.2%@ 9.72+5.8%
1-2
9.3%@ 7.16+3.4%
1-0
6.6%@ 13.03+3.4%
0-3
5.5%@ 10.26+1.3%
2-1
5.2%@ 15.32+2.5%
Ammanford AFC goals ↓
Cardiff MET goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
13%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
1
6.6%
13%
9.3%
4.8%
1.8%
2
3.4%
5.2%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ammanford AFC goals (down), columns = Cardiff MET goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Ammanford AFC is 1.67 points worse than Cardiff MET in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Ammanford AFC is 2.00 goals worse than Cardiff MET in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Ammanford AFC is 1.17 goals worse than Cardiff MET in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ammanford AFC or Draw✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.23
Edge
+7.4%
20%
28%
52%
covers Ammanford AFC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Ammanford AFC or Cardiff MET✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied 77.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
-5.2%
20%
28%
52%
covers Ammanford AFC + Cardiff MET
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Draw or Cardiff MET✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied 82.0% · @ 1.11
Edge
-2.1%
20%
28%
52%
covers Draw + Cardiff MET
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.2%
@ 1.58-0.1%
Under
41.8%
@ 2.20+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 3.73-2.9%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.22+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 9.72-3.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Marathonbet
9.60
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Under
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Ammanford AFC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 17.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.6%
@ 1.11-3.8%
Under
21.4%
@ 5.19+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.35
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.6%
@ 1.64-10.5%
Under
54.4%
@ 2.10+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.2%
@ 2.92-11.3%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.34+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
Under
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Cardiff MET over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
7.1%
@ 6.10-8.2%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.10+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ammanford AFC, so a minus line means Ammanford AFC give that many goals of a start and Cardiff MET receive them. At -1, Ammanford AFC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ammanford AFC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: Cardiff MET
Ammanford AFC -2
1.7%
@ 34.00-1.1%
Draw -2
5.2%
@ 17.00-0.3%
Cardiff MET +2
93.1%
@ 1.03+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
34.00
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Handicap -1 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: Cardiff MET
Ammanford AFC -1
6.9%
@ 9.70-1.8%
Draw -1
13.2%
@ 5.78-1.5%
Cardiff MET +1
79.9%
@ 1.10+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap +1 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: Cardiff MET
Ammanford AFC +1
48.2%
@ 2.24+9.5%
Draw +1
24.2%
@ 3.36-1.5%
Cardiff MET -1
27.6%
@ 2.43-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Unibet
2.04
Draw
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
2.95
Away
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.46
Bet365
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.35
Handicap +2 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: Cardiff MET
Ammanford AFC +2
72.4%
@ 1.42+12.0%
Draw +2
16.3%
@ 4.25-4.0%
Cardiff MET -2
11.4%
@ 4.43-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.34
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ammanford AFC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.64
0.50
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (21)
0.71
0.38
0.60
0.30
0.82
0.45
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.75
1.00
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff MET
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.65
0.59
0.54
0.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.58
0.73
0.53
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.32+0.5%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 2.99-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.8%
@ 2.50+1.3%
Under 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.43-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 5.62-4.1%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.08+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 2.72+8.1%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.38-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
Superbet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 10.75+0.3%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.62-7.2%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.16+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.03
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.8%
@ 4.00-11.3%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.20+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 11.50-4.0%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ammanford AFC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.00
0.43
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (21)
1.14
0.67
1.10
0.50
1.18
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.75
0.25
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff MET) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff MET
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.29
1.00
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.73
1.33
0.87
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.20+3.3%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 3.87-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
1xBet
3.85
William Hil
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.01-0.2%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.72+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Under
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 4.10-2.9%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.18+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Superbet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.7%
@ 2.30+5.7%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.53-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 8.10+4.8%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.03-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff MET over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.7%
@ 1.41-1.4%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.62+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.55
Cardiff MET over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.5%
@ 2.97-7.5%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.33+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
Cardiff MET over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
5.1%
@ 7.60-7.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.05
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.4%
1.03
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
94.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
+8.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+11.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
79.9%
1.11
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.8%
1.34
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+11.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
78.3%
1.22
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.6%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.33
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+7.5%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
72.4%
1.42
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.34
-
-
+12.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.9%
1.18
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-3.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and Cardiff MET have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →