
Caernarfon Town statistics for 2026/27: goals scored and conceded, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and fouls, plus the squad's top scorers, form, results and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model probabilities.
In 2026/27, Caernarfon Town are scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50 goals a game across 6 matches – 83% of their games go over 2.5 and 67% see both teams score. They win 67%, draw 0% and lose 33%, keeping a clean sheet in 33% of games.
| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 1.93 | 1.30 | 2.12 | 1.50 | 1.71 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.75 | 2.75 | 1.00 | 3.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 2.12 | 1.12 | 2.29 | 1.21 | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.00 | 0.50 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Barry Town | 6 | 18 | 100% | 3.0 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 4.0 | 83% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 2 | The New Saints | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 3.2 | 67% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.7 | 0.5 | - |
| 3 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 3.5 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 4 | Cardiff MET | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 3.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 4.0 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 6 | Llandudno | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Penybont | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 9 | Airbus UK | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Cambrian & Clydach | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 2.7 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.5 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | - |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 6 | 3 | 17% | 0.5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2.3 | 83% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | - |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | - |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2.8 | 67% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 15 | Trefelin | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 3.2 | 100% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 2.8 | - |
| 16 | Holywell | 6 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 4.3 | - |
| Player | Pos | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Nash | Centre-Back | – | – | €100k |
| Ryan Sears | Centre-Back | €100k | €100k | €100k |
| Sion Bradley | Left Winger | – | €100k | €100k |
| Zack Clarke | Centre-Forward | €100k | €100k | €100k |
| Connor Roberts | Goalkeeper | – | €75k | €75k |
| Dominic Smith | Centre-Back | – | €75k | €75k |
| Jake Canavan | Central Midfield | €75k | – | €75k |
| Mathew Jones | Left-Back | €75k | €75k | €75k |
| Noah Edwards | Central Midfield | – | – | €75k |
| Paulo Mendes | Central Midfield | €50k | €75k | €75k |
| Adrian Cieslewicz | Left Winger | – | €50k | €50k |
| Chris Marriott | Left-Back | – | – | €50k |
| Danny Gosset | Central Midfield | €50k | €50k | €50k |
| Hari Thomas | Goalkeeper | €50k | €50k | €50k |
| Phil Mooney | Centre-Back | €25k | €50k | €50k |
| Caron Williams | Left-Back | – | €25k | €25k |
| Adam Davies | Centre-Forward | €75k | €100k | – |
| Ben Hughes | Goalkeeper | €75k | – | – |
| Blaine Hudson | Centre-Back | €50k | – | – |
| Brad Young | Centre-Forward | – | €100k | – |
| Connor Evans | Centre-Forward | – | €25k | – |
| Darren Thomas | Attacking Midfield | €50k | €50k | – |
| Gruff John | Centre-Back | €25k | – | – |
| Iwan Lewis | Central Midfield | – | €75k | – |
| Joe Faux | Left Midfield | €50k | – | – |
| Josh Lock | Attacking Midfield | €100k | €75k | – |
| Kyle Harrison | Centre-Back | – | €50k | – |
| Louis Lloyd | Centre-Forward | €125k | – | – |
| Matty Hill | Right Winger | €50k | – | – |
| Morgan Owen | Right-Back | €75k | €75k | – |
| Osebi Abadaki | Right Winger | – | €50k | – |
| Osian Ellis | Central Midfield | €50k | €50k | – |
| Osian Evans | Centre-Forward | €25k | – | – |
| Rio Owen | Centre-Forward | – | €50k | – |
| Sam Downey | Central Midfield | €50k | – | – |
| Stefan Edwards | Left-Back | €25k | – | – |
| Stephen McMullan | Goalkeeper | €100k | – | – |
| Tomos Pritchard | Goalkeeper | €10k | – | – |
| Metric | 2026/27 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 2.50 | 1.75 | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.59 | ▲ |
| Conceded / game | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.60 | 2.09 | 1.69 | ▼ |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 88% | ▲ |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 59% | 66% | 74% | 69% | ▲ |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 38% | 43% | 50% | 38% | ▼ |
| BTTS | 67% | 62% | 69% | 71% | 53% | ▲ |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 22% | ▲ |
| Win % | 67% | 38% | 43% | 38% | 38% | ▲ |
| Draw % | 0% | 28% | 20% | 24% | 9% | ▼ |
| Points / game | 2.00 | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.38 | 1.22 | ▲ |
| Corners / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Shots / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Shots on target | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fouls / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Cards / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Yellows / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Reds / game | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar | vs The New Saints | 0-4 | L |
| 03 Apr | @ Colwyn Bay | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Apr | vs Flint Town United | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Apr | vs Penybont | 2-0 | W |
| 02 Aug | @ GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2-1 | W |
| 07 Aug | vs Penybont | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Colwyn Bay | 3-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Trefelin | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Holywell | 5-3 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs The New Saints | 2-3 | L |