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Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
Vs
47%
23%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Caernarfon Town’s recent run of LWWWL and a 2-3 loss to The New Saints sets a narrative of a team looking to rebound, while Flint Town United, after a 1-2 defeat to GAP Connah S Quay FC, are also eager to change course. The model favours a home win, with a 47% chance, followed by a 23% draw and a 30% away win. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely total of 3 goals carries a 21% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.4% chance. Caernarfon’s home form shows 2.29 goals scored and 1.21 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Flint Town’s away record is 1.36 scored and 1.29 conceded. Suggested selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 96.7% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4% with a 7% edge, Under 6.5 at 92.3% with a 2% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.1%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.4% with a 3% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.0% with a 7% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caernarfon Town win
47.4%
Avg Implied 61.5% · @ 1.46
Edge
-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.48
Draw
23.0%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.24
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.43
Betfair
4.40
Betano
4.30
Flint Town United win
29.6%
Avg Implied 17.3% · @ 5.18
Edge
+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.80
Superbet
5.75
1xBet
5.43
Dafabet
5.40
Pinnacle
5.33

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L20W30W20W21W12L30W20W53W23LH·THE27/03A·COL03/04H·FLI12/04H·PEN18/04A·GAP02/08H·PEN07/08H·COL15/08A·TRE21/08A·HOL28/08H·THE31/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.302.121.501.711.07
vs Stronger (4)0.752.751.003.500.502.00
vs Similar (24)2.121.122.291.211.901.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L03L22D23L23L01L01L11D12LH·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08H·GAP31/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.501.251.691.361.29
vs Stronger (3)2.671.332.671.33--
vs Similar (26)1.151.580.921.921.361.29
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.8%
@ 1.11+6.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
@ 5.02-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.6%
@ 1.42+6.4%
Under 2.5
29.4%
@ 2.54-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.5%
@ 2.07+4.9%
Under 3.5
50.5%
@ 1.66-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Both teams to score
Yes
70.4%
@ 1.54+10.9%
No
29.6%
@ 2.25-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.55
No
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.27

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%@ 8.34+4.1%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.51+2.8%
2-2
7.0%@ 12.72+3.5%
1-2
6.8%@ 15.21+3.9%
3-1
6.0%@ 9.65+1.4%
2-0
5.5%@ 8.46+0.2%
3-2
4.8%@ 16.45+2.1%
1-0
4.5%@ 9.35-0.3%
Caernarfon Town goals ↓
Flint Town United goals →
01234
03.5%3.3%3.3%1.8%0.7%
14.5%9.4%6.8%3.6%1.5%
25.5%8.7%7.0%3.7%1.5%
33.7%6.0%4.8%2.5%1.0%
41.9%3.1%2.4%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Caernarfon Town goals (down), columns = Flint Town United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Caernarfon Town is 1.83 points better than Flint Town United in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Caernarfon Town is 1.50 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Caernarfon Town is 0.33 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Caernarfon Town or Draw
70.4%
Avg Implied 82.5% · @ 1.11
Edge
-12.1%
47%
23%
30%
covers Caernarfon Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Caernarfon Town or Flint Town United
77.0%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.15
Edge
-2.8%
47%
23%
30%
covers Caernarfon Town + Flint Town United
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw or Flint Town United
52.6%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.43
Edge
+14.9%
47%
23%
30%
covers Draw + Flint Town United
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5
Over
87.1%
@ 1.07+0.0%
Under
12.9%
@ 7.20-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.50
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5
Over
60.7%
@ 1.40-5.3%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.71+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.68
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5
Over
33.6%
@ 2.25-7.4%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.57+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Caernarfon Town over/under 3.5
Over
15.1%
@ 4.19-7.0%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.19+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Flint Town United over/under 0.5
Over
79.8%
@ 1.42+14.5%
Under
20.2%
@ 2.66-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.80
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Flint Town United over/under 1.5
Over
47.5%
@ 2.96+16.4%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.34-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Under
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Flint Town United over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
@ 7.07+8.7%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.06-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.10
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Flint Town United over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
@ 12.25+0.2%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Caernarfon Town, so a minus line means Caernarfon Town give that many goals of a start and Flint Town United receive them. At -1, Caernarfon Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Caernarfon Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Caernarfon Town)
Caernarfon Town -2
13.4%
@ 3.64-11.0%
Draw -2
14.5%
@ 4.47-5.4%
Flint Town United +2
72.1%
@ 1.59+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.68
Bet365
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Handicap -1 (Caernarfon Town)
Caernarfon Town -1
27.9%
@ 2.15-13.0%
Draw -1
19.5%
@ 3.75-3.9%
Flint Town United +1
52.6%
@ 2.46+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.40
Marathonbet
2.36
Handicap +1 (Caernarfon Town)
Caernarfon Town +1
70.4%
@ 1.11-9.7%
Draw +1
15.1%
@ 7.50+3.2%
Flint Town United -1
14.5%
@ 11.00+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
11.00
Handicap +2 (Caernarfon Town)
Caernarfon Town +2
85.5%
@ 1.04-5.7%
Draw +2
8.9%
@ 17.00+3.3%
Flint Town United -2
5.7%
@ 29.00+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D30W20W01L12L10W20W31W12LH·THE27/03A·COL03/04H·FLI12/04H·PEN18/04A·GAP02/08H·PEN07/08H·COL15/08A·TRE21/08A·HOL28/08H·THE31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.060.750.570.43
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.502.000.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.880.541.140.570.500.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L10W21W21W00D01L01L01LH·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08H·GAP31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.620.750.790.64
vs Stronger (3)1.670.671.670.67--
vs Similar (26)0.620.730.420.830.790.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.5%
@ 1.21+0.4%
Under 0.5
24.5%
@ 3.64-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.5%
@ 2.06-5.2%
Under 1.5
60.5%
@ 1.66+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Under
William Hil
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 4.16-6.2%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.17+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
Under
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.9%
@ 1.47-2.1%
Under
39.1%
@ 2.50+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.61
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.47
Betano
2.37
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.1%
@ 3.23-6.4%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.29+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.0%
@ 8.10-6.4%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.6%
@ 2.37+1.6%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.51-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.46
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.9%
@ 7.77-3.1%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W00D00D20W00D20W00D22D11DH·THE27/03A·COL03/04H·FLI12/04H·PEN18/04A·GAP02/08H·PEN07/08H·COL15/08A·TRE21/08A·HOL28/08H·THE31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.701.060.751.140.64
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.501.500.001.50
vs Similar (24)1.250.581.140.641.400.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L02L02L01L00D10W11DH·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08H·GAP31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.620.940.570.64
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.67--
vs Similar (26)0.540.850.501.080.570.64
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.9%
@ 1.12+0.9%
Under 0.5
17.1%
@ 5.10-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Betano
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.5%
@ 1.66-5.4%
Under 1.5
49.5%
@ 2.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.8%
@ 2.95-5.4%
Under 2.5
74.2%
@ 1.33+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.20
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.5%
@ 1.32-4.6%
Under
34.5%
@ 3.10+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.4%
@ 2.42-11.7%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.49+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.48
Marathonbet
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.4%
@ 5.45-7.7%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.12+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.9%
@ 1.98+2.4%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.73-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.67
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.7%
@ 5.75-2.4%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
@ 10.25-5.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------
Under 7.596.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+3.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
---+6.4%
Under 6.592.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
--+2.9%
Away under 3.5 goals92.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
----0.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.1%1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
--+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.6%1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
---+7.7%
Over 1.588.8%1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+6.8%
Home over 0.5 goals87.1%1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-+0.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.3%1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
--+2.4%
Home +2 handicap85.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----5.7%
Home under 3.5 goals84.9%1.19
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+7.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals84.4%1.17
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+6.2%
Under 5.583.7%1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+0.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals82.9%1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+0.9%
Away over 0.5 goals79.8%1.42
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
+14.5%
Away under 2.5 goals78.3%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-8.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals77.9%1.29
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
--+6.4%
Home or Away77.0%1.15
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-2.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals75.5%1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+0.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals74.2%1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+5.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals73.6%1.49
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
-+11.7%
Away +2 handicap72.1%1.59
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
---+16.4%
Over 2.570.6%1.42
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
+6.4%
Home or Draw70.4%1.11
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-12.1%
Home +1 handicap70.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----9.7%
BTTS Yes70.4%1.54
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.55
+10.9%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
CT wins
2
Draws
1
FTU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United · H/A from CT
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26HCT Vs Flint Town United3-0
05/12/25HCT Vs Flint Town United1-1
22/08/25AFlint Town United Vs CT2-5
14/01/25HCT Vs Flint Town United3-0
25/09/24AFlint Town United Vs CT1-2
19/04/23AFlint Town United Vs CT2-3
24/02/23HCT Vs Flint Town United2-2
23/12/22AFlint Town United Vs CT2-1

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HCT Vs The New Saints2-3
28/08/26AHolywell Vs CT3-5
21/08/26ATrefelin Vs CT0-2
15/08/26HCT Vs Colwyn Bay3-0
07/08/26HCT Vs Penybont1-2
02/08/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs CT1-2
18/04/26HCT Vs Penybont2-0
12/04/26HCT Vs Flint Town United3-0
03/04/26AColwyn Bay Vs CT0-2
27/03/26HCT Vs The New Saints0-4

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC1-2
28/08/26APenybont Vs FTU1-1
21/08/26HFTU Vs Briton Ferry0-1
14/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs FTU1-0
07/08/26HFTU Vs Barry Town2-3
31/07/26ALlandudno Vs FTU3-2
18/04/26ACardiff MET Vs FTU2-2
12/04/26ACaernarfon Town Vs FTU3-0
03/04/26HFTU Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1
28/03/26HFTU Vs llanelli AFC1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.66
HomeWWLWL1.60
AwayLWWWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals3.423.643.20
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %68%80%56%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored2.022.161.88
Conceded1.401.481.32
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.24
HomeLLLLL1.21
AwayLDLLD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals3.263.213.31
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %46%42%50%
Scored1.581.621.54
Conceded1.681.581.77
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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