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Ammanford AFC vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 11:30
Final 0-2
Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC
Vs
15%
23%
62%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

GAP Connah S Quay FC is the clear favourite to win, with a predicted 63% chance of victory. This is largely due to their impressive away form, particularly against weaker opponents, where they average 3 goals scored and concede just 0.5. On the other hand, Ammanford AFC struggles at home, conceding 0.73 goals per game against stronger opponents.

The model predicts a 15% chance of a home win and a 22% chance of a draw. The expected total goals is 3, with the most likely score being 0-2 in favour of GAP Connah S Quay FC, occurring 11% of the time.

Notably, Ammanford AFC's recent form is a concern, coming off a defeat and averaging just 1.73 goals scored at home. In contrast, GAP Connah S Quay FC is on a 2-game winning run, scoring 6 goals against Trefelin in their last match.

The model's selection is the away win, and among other selections, the "Over 1.5" model selection has an 80.4% probability of occurring. The probabilities for each outcome are: home win 15%, draw 22%, and away win 63%. The "Over 1.5" model selection has a 80.4% chance of occurring.

Results analysis

The win extends Ammanford AFC’s recent slump, while GAP Connah S Quay FC continued their three-game winning run. The final score was 0-2, confirming the model’s favourite of an Away win with a 62 % probability. The prediction was right, and the match finished as expected. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.9 %, Away +2 handicap hit at 94.7 %, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 93.3 %, and Under 5.5 hit at 92.1 %. The model’s selections performed strongly across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ammanford AFC win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied 10.3% · @ 8.80
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
13.00
10Bet
12.00
William Hil
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.68
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
GAP Connah S Quay FC win✓ Hit
62.0%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.28
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
SBO
1.31
Betano
1.31

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W32W10W00D51W40W21W12L22D02LH·CAR06/03A·LLA14/03H·BAG20/03H·CAM24/03A·TRE28/03H·NEW03/04A·CWM18/04A·BRI31/07H·COL07/08A·AIR14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.071.860.931.441.19
vs Stronger (21)2.001.052.000.802.001.27
vs Similar (9)0.781.111.501.250.201.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L12L42W21W11D12L11D12L31W60WA·BAR21/02H·THE03/03A·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.072.401.201.930.93
vs Stronger (3)1.671.672.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (25)2.121.002.171.252.080.77
vs Weaker (2)3.501.006.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
@ 1.22+5.4%
Under 1.5
19.7%
@ 3.63-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
888Sport
5.00
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.72+2.7%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.00-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.88
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Under
888Sport
2.50
10Bet
2.35
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
@ 2.69+0.2%
Under 3.5
65.9%
@ 1.38-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.80
Under
888Sport
1.60
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
@ 2.15+10.7%
No
46.7%
@ 1.59-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
2.40
1xBet
2.21
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
No
888Sport
1.73
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%@ 8.86+5.8%
0-2 ✓
10.8%@ 5.36+2.5%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.77+4.2%
0-1
9.7%@ 5.61+1.8%
0-3
7.3%@ 7.37+1.3%
1-3
6.7%@ 10.70+2.6%
0-0
6.2%@ 10.74+2.1%
2-2
4.6%@ 22.55+2.6%
Ammanford AFC goals ↓
GAP Connah S Quay FC goals →
01234
06.2%9.7%11%7.3%3.7%
13.9%11%9.9%6.7%3.4%
22.2%4.5%4.6%3.1%1.6%
30.7%1.4%1.4%0.9%0.5%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ammanford AFC goals (down), columns = GAP Connah S Quay FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Ammanford AFC is 2.17 points worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Ammanford AFC is 2.17 goals worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 2.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Ammanford AFC is 1.67 goals worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ammanford AFC or Draw✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.26
Edge
+9.6%
15%
23%
62%
covers Ammanford AFC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
4.00
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Ammanford AFC or GAP Connah S Quay FC✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 82.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
-5.2%
15%
23%
62%
covers Ammanford AFC + GAP Connah S Quay FC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC✓ Hit
84.6%
Avg Implied 89.0% · @ 1.04
Edge
-4.4%
15%
23%
62%
covers Draw + GAP Connah S Quay FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.2%
@ 1.97+13.6%
Under
39.8%
@ 1.72-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.82
888Sport
1.80
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.6%
@ 5.77+7.5%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.10-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
888Sport
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Under
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 14.88+0.3%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Ammanford AFC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 21.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.8%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Under
13.2%
@ 6.38-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.10
Superbet
5.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.1%
@ 1.46-2.9%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.49+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.40
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.36-5.9%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.50+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 4.36-6.5%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.17+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ammanford AFC, so a minus line means Ammanford AFC give that many goals of a start and GAP Connah S Quay FC receive them. At -1, Ammanford AFC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ammanford AFC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ammanford AFC -2
1.3%
@ 41.00-1.0%
Draw -2
4.0%
@ 23.00-0.2%
GAP Connah S Quay FC +2
94.7%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
41.00
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ammanford AFC -1
5.3%
@ 26.00+1.8%
Draw -1
10.0%
@ 13.00+2.9%
GAP Connah S Quay FC +1
84.6%
@ 1.03-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Handicap +1 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ammanford AFC +1
38.0%
@ 3.36+11.3%
Draw +1
23.2%
@ 3.64-1.4%
GAP Connah S Quay FC -1
38.8%
@ 1.84-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.18
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Away
Marathonbet
1.94
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +2 (Ammanford AFC)Actual: Draw
Ammanford AFC +2
61.2%
@ 1.90+14.9%
Draw +2
19.2%
@ 3.72-4.5%
GAP Connah S Quay FC -2
19.6%
@ 2.94-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.74
Unibet
1.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.10
Away
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
2.88
10Bet
2.60
Bet365
2.60

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D10W20W01L11D02L01LH·CAR06/03A·LLA14/03H·BAG20/03H·CAM24/03A·TRE28/03H·NEW03/04A·CWM18/04A·BRI31/07H·COL07/08A·AIR14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.790.500.560.44
vs Stronger (21)0.810.380.800.300.820.45
vs Similar (9)0.330.670.751.000.000.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W10W01L00D11D10W31W20WA·BAR21/02H·THE03/03A·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.000.331.000.47
vs Stronger (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.400.920.421.150.38
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.31-0.3%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 3.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.02
William Hil
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.49-0.4%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.43+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.3%
@ 5.78-3.5%
Under 2.5
87.7%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.55
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.6%
@ 3.50+29.3%
Under
44.4%
@ 1.25-29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
23.6%
@ 10.00+14.4%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.02-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.6%
@ 1.51-27.2%
Under
66.4%
@ 2.34+27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.44
Superbet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.30
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 3.18-22.8%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.30+22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.65
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Pinnacle
2.79
Superbet
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 8.40-10.0%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.04+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L00D00D41W20W20W01L20W01LH·CAR06/03A·LLA14/03H·BAG20/03H·CAM24/03A·TRE28/03H·NEW03/04A·CWM18/04A·BRI31/07H·COL07/08A·AIR14/08← FAW ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.601.070.430.880.75
vs Stronger (21)1.190.671.200.501.180.82
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.750.250.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L21W11D10W12L00D02L00D40WA·BAR21/02H·THE03/03A·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.671.400.870.930.47
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.080.601.250.830.920.38
vs Weaker (2)2.500.004.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ammanford AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.5%
Under 0.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.5%
Under 1.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.4%
Under 2.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ammanford AFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ammanford AFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.6%
Under
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ammanford AFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.0%
Under
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
---+10.0%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.9%1.01-----+4.5%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.9%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+5.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap94.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals93.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---0.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.1%1.04
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals90.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.7%1.08
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
+3.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals86.8%1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-+1.3%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals85.3%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
+6.5%✓ Hit
Draw or Away84.6%1.04
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
-4.4%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap84.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----4.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.4%1.14
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.09
+1.9%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.3%1.22
Pinnacle
1.34
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+5.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away77.3%1.12
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.13
888Sport
1.13
-5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals76.4%1.10
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-7.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals76.4%1.02
Betano
1.02
-----14.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals74.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Ammanford AFC and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AA wins
0
Draws
0
GCS wins

Head-to-head

Ammanford AFC vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AAirbus UK Vs AA2-0
07/08/26HAA Vs Colwyn Bay2-2
31/07/26ABriton Ferry Vs AA2-1
18/04/26ACwmbran Celtic Vs AA1-2
03/04/26HAA Vs Newport City4-0
28/03/26ATreowen Stars Vs AA1-5
24/03/26HAA Vs Cambrian & Clydach0-0
20/03/26HAA Vs Baglan Dragons1-0
14/03/26ALlantwit Major Vs AA2-3
06/03/26HAA Vs Cardiff Draconians2-1

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HGCS Vs Trefelin6-0
07/08/26AHolywell Vs GCS1-3
02/08/26HGCS Vs Caernarfon Town1-2
18/04/26HGCS Vs Colwyn Bay1-1
03/04/26AThe New Saints Vs GCS2-1
29/03/26HGCS Vs Barry Town1-1
21/03/26HGCS Vs Penybont2-1
13/03/26ACaernarfon Town Vs GCS2-4
03/03/26HGCS Vs The New Saints1-2
21/02/26ABarry Town Vs GCS1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.66
HomeWWDWD1.83
AwayWWWLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals2.582.832.37
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %52%57%48%
Over 3.5 %22%30%15%
Scored1.481.741.26
Conceded1.101.091.11
BTTS56%57%56%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.78
HomeWDDLW1.83
AwayDLWLW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.003.292.73
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.902.121.69
Conceded1.101.171.04
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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