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Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 2-0
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Vs
32%
32%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Anagennisi Deryneia win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W14L10W10W42W04L02L22D13LA·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02H·ERM25/02H·KRA04/03A·XYL12/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.780.731.271.582.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.882.000.621.381.122.62
vs Weaker (7)1.861.291.001.002.501.50
Clean sheet %26% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L23L10W01L33D02L10W10W20WA·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·XYL15/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01H·PAE11/02A·ERM18/02H·KRA25/02H·XYL04/03H·OLY11/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.171.331.001.091.36
vs Stronger (23)1.221.171.331.001.091.36
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %39% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0 ✓
6.2%
Anagennisi Deryneia goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
013%11%7.3%2.8%0.8%
110%15%7.6%2.9%0.8%
26.2%7.0%4.0%1.5%0.4%
32.2%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.2%
40.6%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Othellos
2.03
AE Zakakiou
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.90
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.72
PAEEK
1.44
Xylotympou
1.44
Ermis
1.43
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.38
Krasava Ypsonas
1.36
Peyia
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.26
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Omonia Aradippou
1.10
Alki Oroklini
0.53
Olympiada Lympion
0.41
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.04 points worse than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.26).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.11
Xylotympou
1.70
AE Zakakiou
1.59
Ethnikos Achna
1.59
Othellos
1.59
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.45
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.33
PAEEK
1.30
Ermis
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.11
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Omonia Aradippou
1.00
Peyia
0.86
MEAP Nisou
0.83
Olympiada Lympion
0.78
Alki Oroklini
0.65
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.22 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AE Zakakiou
0.72
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.79
Ethnikos Achna
0.93
Othellos
0.97
Peyia
1.00
PAEEK
1.11
Omonia Aradippou
1.14
Ermis
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.17
Ayia Napa
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.41
Xylotympou
1.44
Krasava Ypsonas
1.57
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.70
Olympiada Lympion
2.19
Alki Oroklini
2.53
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.48 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D10W00D21W01L01L10W11DA·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02H·ERM25/02H·KRA04/03A·XYL12/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.450.450.920.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.750.500.380.621.12
vs Weaker (7)1.000.570.330.671.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L11D10W00D30W01L10W10W10WH·OTH17/12A·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01H·PAE11/02A·ERM18/02H·KRA25/02H·XYL04/03H·OLY11/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.670.640.640.300.70
vs Stronger (21)0.480.670.640.640.300.70
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D03L00D10W21W03L01L12L02LA·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02H·ERM25/02H·KRA04/03A·XYL12/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.481.090.270.820.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.311.250.121.000.501.50
vs Weaker (7)0.860.710.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %35% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L00D01L03L01L00D00D10WH·OTH17/12A·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01H·PAE11/02A·ERM18/02H·KRA25/02H·XYL04/03H·OLY11/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.480.640.450.700.50
vs Stronger (21)0.670.480.640.450.700.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AD wins
0
Draws
1
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ayia Napa · H/A from AD
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23AAyia Napa Vs AD0-1
15/10/22HAD Vs Ayia Napa0-3

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23AXylotympou Vs AD3-1
04/03/23HAD Vs Krasava Ypsonas2-2
25/02/23HAD Vs Ermis0-2
18/02/23APAEEK Vs AD4-0
05/02/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs AD2-4
28/01/23AAyia Napa Vs AD0-1
21/01/23HAD Vs Xylotympou1-0
15/01/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AD4-1
07/01/23HAD Vs PAEEK1-0
22/12/22AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AD3-1

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HAN Vs Olympiada Lympion2-0
04/03/23HAN Vs Xylotympou1-0
25/02/23HAN Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-0
18/02/23AErmis Vs AN2-0
11/02/23HAN Vs PAEEK3-3
28/01/23HAN Vs Anagennisi Deryneia0-1
22/01/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs AN0-1
15/01/23AXylotympou Vs AN3-2
07/01/23HAN Vs Ethnikos Achna1-2
22/12/22APeyia Vs AN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.00
HomeDWWLD1.09
AwayLWWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.962.003.83
Over 1.5 %78%64%92%
Over 2.5 %57%36%75%
Over 3.5 %39%9%67%
Scored1.170.731.58
Conceded1.781.272.25
BTTS43%27%58%
Clean Sheet26%36%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.30
HomeLDWWW1.50
AwayLLLWL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%42%36%
AVG goals2.392.332.45
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %39%33%45%
Over 3.5 %13%8%18%
Scored1.221.331.09
Conceded1.171.001.36
BTTS35%50%18%
Clean Sheet39%42%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OthellosOthellos2959
66%
2.0
4628+18
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
2AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2956
55%
1.9
4621+25
2.3
62%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.7
-
3Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna2955
55%
1.9
4627+19
2.5
66%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2950
48%
1.7
3223+9
1.9
55%
28%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.10.8
-
5Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2940
34%
1.4
4234+8
2.6
69%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6ErmisErmis2840
39%
1.4
3432+2
2.4
64%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
7XylotympouXylotympou2739
41%
1.4
4639+7
3.1
74%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
8PAEEKPAEEK2739
37%
1.4
3530+5
2.4
63%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
9PeyiaPeyia2939
34%
1.3
2529-4
1.9
55%
28%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2838
36%
1.4
5944+15
3.7
89%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2012.11.6
-
11Ayia NapaAyia Napa2734
37%
1.3
3033-3
2.3
74%
37%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2733
33%
1.2
3646-10
3.0
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
13MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
34%
1.1
2441-17
2.2
45%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2932
24%
1.1
2933-4
2.1
59%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.01.1
-
15Olympiada LympionOlympiada Lympion2711
7%
0.4
2159-38
3.0
74%
41%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
16Alki OrokliniAlki Oroklini179
12%
0.5
1143-32
3.2
65%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.5
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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