PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ermis Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Vs
25%
33%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Anagennisi Deryneia win✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ermis win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D33D11D13L10W14L10W10W42W04LH·ERM03/12A·AHI11/12H·KRA17/12A·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.700.671.111.642.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.851.920.501.171.142.57
vs Weaker (7)1.861.291.001.002.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W01L00D20W12L00D22D10W20WH·OLY10/12A·ALK17/12H·MEA22/12A·OMO07/01H·ALK18/01A·PAE21/01H·OLY28/01H·KRA06/02A·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.141.051.001.081.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.271.071.141.291.380.88
vs Weaker (6)0.831.000.800.801.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.2%
Under 1.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.8%
Under 2.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.1%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-2 ✓
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
Anagennisi Deryneia goals ↓
Ermis goals →
01234
015%15%9.1%3.5%1.0%
110%15%7.6%2.9%0.8%
24.8%5.5%3.2%1.2%0.3%
31.3%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (down), columns = Ermis goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Othellos
2.03
AE Zakakiou
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.90
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.72
PAEEK
1.44
Xylotympou
1.44
Ermis
1.43
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.38
Krasava Ypsonas
1.36
Peyia
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.26
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Omonia Aradippou
1.10
Alki Oroklini
0.53
Olympiada Lympion
0.41
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.21 points worse than Ermis in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.43).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.11
Xylotympou
1.70
AE Zakakiou
1.59
Ethnikos Achna
1.59
Othellos
1.59
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.45
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.33
PAEEK
1.30
Ermis
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.11
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Omonia Aradippou
1.00
Peyia
0.86
MEAP Nisou
0.83
Olympiada Lympion
0.78
Alki Oroklini
0.65
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.12 goals better than Ermis in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AE Zakakiou
0.72
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.79
Ethnikos Achna
0.93
Othellos
0.97
Peyia
1.00
PAEEK
1.11
Omonia Aradippou
1.14
Ermis
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.17
Ayia Napa
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.41
Xylotympou
1.44
Krasava Ypsonas
1.57
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.70
Olympiada Lympion
2.19
Alki Oroklini
2.53
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.56 goals worse than Ermis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W01L10W11D10W00D21W01LH·ERM03/12A·AHI11/12H·KRA17/12A·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.440.440.910.91
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.770.500.330.571.14
vs Weaker (7)1.000.570.330.671.500.50
Clean sheet %45% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D00D00D00D00D00D01L10W10WH·OLY10/12A·ALK17/12H·MEA22/12A·OMO07/01H·ALK18/01A·PAE21/01H·OLY28/01H·KRA06/02A·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.430.330.420.440.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.600.430.710.500.50
vs Weaker (6)0.170.000.200.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W01L12L00D03L00D10W21W03LH·ERM03/12A·AHI11/12H·KRA17/12A·OMO22/12H·PAE07/01A·KRA15/01H·XYL21/01A·AYI28/01A·OLY05/02A·PAE18/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.000.220.670.731.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.311.150.000.830.571.43
vs Weaker (7)0.860.710.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L00D20W12L00D21W00D10WH·OLY10/12A·ALK17/12H·MEA22/12A·OMO07/01H·ALK18/01A·PAE21/01H·OLY28/01H·KRA06/02A·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.620.670.670.890.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.470.710.570.880.38
vs Weaker (6)0.671.000.600.801.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AD wins
1
Draws
0
ERM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ermis · H/A from AD
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22HAD Vs Ermis0-0

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23APAEEK Vs AD4-0
05/02/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs AD2-4
28/01/23AAyia Napa Vs AD0-1
21/01/23HAD Vs Xylotympou1-0
15/01/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AD4-1
07/01/23HAD Vs PAEEK1-0
22/12/22AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AD3-1
17/12/22HAD Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-1
11/12/22AAhironas / Onisilos Vs AD3-3
03/12/22HAD Vs Ermis0-0

ErmisErmis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/23HERM Vs Ayia Napa2-0
11/02/23AXylotympou Vs ERM0-1
06/02/23HERM Vs Krasava Ypsonas2-2
28/01/23HERM Vs Olympiada Lympion0-0
21/01/23APAEEK Vs ERM2-1
18/01/23HERM Vs Alki Oroklini2-0
07/01/23AOmonia Aradippou Vs ERM0-0
22/12/22HERM Vs MEAP Nisou0-1
17/12/22AAlki Oroklini Vs ERM1-3
10/12/22HERM Vs Olympiada Lympion1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.10
HomeLDDWW1.22
AwayLLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.901.783.82
Over 1.5 %75%56%91%
Over 2.5 %55%33%73%
Over 3.5 %35%0%64%
Scored1.200.671.64
Conceded1.701.112.18
BTTS40%22%55%
Clean Sheet30%44%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.48
HomeLWDDW1.33
AwayDWDLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%44%
AVG goals2.192.082.33
Over 1.5 %62%67%56%
Over 2.5 %43%33%56%
Over 3.5 %24%17%33%
Scored1.141.001.33
Conceded1.051.081.00
BTTS48%42%56%
Clean Sheet33%33%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OthellosOthellos2959
66%
2.0
4628+18
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
2AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2956
55%
1.9
4621+25
2.3
62%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.7
-
3Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna2955
55%
1.9
4627+19
2.5
66%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2950
48%
1.7
3223+9
1.9
55%
28%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.10.8
-
5Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2940
34%
1.4
4234+8
2.6
69%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6ErmisErmis2840
39%
1.4
3432+2
2.4
64%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
7XylotympouXylotympou2739
41%
1.4
4639+7
3.1
74%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
8PAEEKPAEEK2739
37%
1.4
3530+5
2.4
63%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
9PeyiaPeyia2939
34%
1.3
2529-4
1.9
55%
28%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2838
36%
1.4
5944+15
3.7
89%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2012.11.6
-
11Ayia NapaAyia Napa2734
37%
1.3
3033-3
2.3
74%
37%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2733
33%
1.2
3646-10
3.0
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
13MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
34%
1.1
2441-17
2.2
45%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2932
24%
1.1
2933-4
2.1
59%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.01.1
-
15Olympiada LympionOlympiada Lympion2711
7%
0.4
2159-38
3.0
74%
41%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
16Alki OrokliniAlki Oroklini179
12%
0.5
1143-32
3.2
65%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.5
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

← all matches