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Andranik vs Ararat-Armenia II Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2025
Time: 10:30
Final 3-0
Andranik
Andranik
Vs
57%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Andranik win✓ Hit
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-842W82W10W02L40W20W01L21W10W34LA·BAN11/09H·SHI23/09A·NOA01/10H·BKM06/10A·LER10/10H·PYU15/10A·SAR22/10H·ARA04/11A·ARA10/11A·HAY18/11
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.271.671.072.331.47
vs Stronger (5)0.602.000.001.671.502.50
vs Similar (11)1.640.911.500.501.801.40
vs Weaker (14)2.791.292.671.332.881.25
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L22D01L13L22D02L13L01L02LH·BEN28/09H·LER06/10A·PYU10/10H·SAR15/10A·ARA22/10H·BAN28/10H·ARA04/11A·HAY09/11A·BKM15/11A·MIK19/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.171.002.310.862.00
vs Stronger (17)0.652.470.882.750.442.22
vs Similar (13)1.311.771.121.881.601.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0 ✓
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
Andranik goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia II goals →
01234
07.0%4.8%2.9%0.9%0.2%
19.9%12%5.3%1.7%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.6%0.4%
36.2%6.1%3.0%1.0%0.2%
42.9%2.8%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Andranik goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Andranik is 1.40 points better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Andranik is 1.00 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Andranik is 1.07 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W50W10W00D10W00D00D21W10W03LA·BAN11/09H·SHI23/09A·NOA01/10H·BKM06/10A·LER10/10H·PYU15/10A·SAR22/10H·ARA04/11A·ARA10/11A·HAY18/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.000.250.790.93
vs Stronger (5)0.001.000.000.670.001.50
vs Similar (11)1.000.821.000.201.001.33
vs Weaker (14)1.140.211.380.120.830.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D00D12L21W01L11D01L02LH·BEN28/09H·LER06/10A·PYU10/10H·SAR15/10A·ARA22/10H·BAN28/10H·ARA04/11A·HAY09/11A·BKM15/11A·MIK19/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.800.670.331.13
vs Stronger (17)0.471.060.750.750.221.33
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.860.570.500.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W32W00D02L30W20W01L00D00D31WA·BAN11/09H·SHI23/09A·NOA01/10H·BKM06/10A·LER10/10H·PYU15/10A·SAR22/10H·ARA04/11A·ARA10/11A·HAY18/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.500.811.210.57
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.001.001.501.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.400.200.500.33
vs Weaker (14)1.210.930.751.121.830.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L11D01L01L01L01L02L00D00DH·BEN28/09H·LER06/10A·PYU10/10H·SAR15/10A·ARA22/10H·BAN28/10H·ARA04/11A·HAY09/11A·BKM15/11A·MIK19/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.230.331.470.401.00
vs Stronger (17)0.241.240.251.620.220.89
vs Similar (13)0.541.230.431.290.671.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
Andranik's squad is €1m more valuable than Ararat-Armenia II's (€1m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
Andranik and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Andranik and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
Andranik and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
AND wins
0
Draws
1
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Andranik vs Ararat-Armenia II · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs AND0-1
15/03/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs AND1-6
26/08/24HAND Vs Ararat-Armenia II4-3
04/12/23AArarat-Armenia II Vs AND0-1
05/08/23HAND Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-2

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/25AHayq Vs AND4-3
10/11/25AAraks Ararat Vs AND0-1
04/11/25HAND Vs Ararat II2-1
22/10/25ASardarapat Vs AND1-0
15/10/25HAND Vs Pyunik II2-0
10/10/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs AND0-4
06/10/25HAND Vs BKMA II0-2
01/10/25ANoah II Vs AND0-1
23/09/25HAND Vs Shirak II8-2
11/09/25ABanants II Vs AND2-4

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/11/25AMika Vs AI2-0
15/11/25ABKMA II Vs AI1-0
09/11/25AHayq Vs AI3-1
04/11/25HAI Vs Araks Ararat0-2
28/10/25HAI Vs Banants II2-2
22/10/25AArarat II Vs AI3-1
15/10/25HAI Vs Sardarapat0-1
10/10/25APyunik II Vs AI2-2
06/10/25HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh1-3
28/09/25HAI Vs Bentonit Ijevan2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.66
HomeWWLWW1.48
AwayWWLWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%40%56%
AVG goals3.042.683.40
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%36%72%
Over 3.5 %36%20%52%
Scored1.761.402.12
Conceded1.281.281.28
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.94
HomeWLLDL1.16
AwayDLLLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals3.383.403.36
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored1.361.441.28
Conceded2.021.962.08
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
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Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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