Andranik’s attacking surge, averaging over four goals a game at home against weaker opposition, sets the tone for a high-scoring affair, while Bentonit Ijevan’s defensive frailty on the road, conceding over one goal per match, suggests a lopsided contest. The model favours a home win, with a 59% chance, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 19%. The expected total goals hover at 3.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1% probability. Home side Andranik typically scores 4.17 goals and concedes 0.5 at home, whereas Bentonit Ijevan averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.36 conceded away against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 6.5 (94.8%), Home +2 handicap (92.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.2%), Under 5.5 (88.1%) and Over 1.5 (85.2%). Andranik’s recent form, after a loss, and Bentonit’s draw-heavy run, both add intrigue to a match primed for goals.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Andranik win
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan win
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Andranik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.03
3.14
1.07
2.31
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (14)
2.50
1.07
3.00
1.50
2.12
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
3.82
0.55
4.17
0.50
3.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bentonit Ijevan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.67
1.71
2.21
1.12
1.19
vs Stronger (22)
1.36
1.77
1.90
2.20
0.92
1.42
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.38
1.25
2.25
1.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
Andranik goals ↓
Bentonit Ijevan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
1
7.3%
10.0%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
6.5%
7.1%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.5%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Andranik goals (down), columns = Bentonit Ijevan goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Andranik is 1.23 points better than Bentonit Ijevan in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Andranik is 1.43 goals better than Bentonit Ijevan in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Andranik is 0.63 goals better than Bentonit Ijevan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Andranik or Draw
82.5%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Andranik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Andranik or Bentonit Ijevan
78.2%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Andranik + Bentonit Ijevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bentonit Ijevan
39.3%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
17%
covers Draw + Bentonit Ijevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Andranik over/under 0.5
Over
88.6%
Under
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 3.5
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
Under
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
Under
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Andranik, so a minus line means Andranik give that many goals of a start and Bentonit Ijevan receive them. At -1, Andranik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Andranik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Andranik)
Andranik -2
20.2%
Draw -2
18.5%
Bentonit Ijevan +2
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Andranik)
Andranik -1
38.8%
Draw -1
22.0%
Bentonit Ijevan +1
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Andranik)
Andranik +1
82.5%
Draw +1
10.7%
Bentonit Ijevan -1
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Andranik)
Andranik +2
93.3%
Draw +2
4.8%
Bentonit Ijevan -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Andranik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.21
0.29
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.57
1.17
0.67
1.38
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.27
1.67
0.00
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bentonit Ijevan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.71
1.07
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (22)
0.64
0.95
1.00
1.20
0.33
0.75
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Andranik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.93
0.79
1.06
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.50
1.83
0.83
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.27
2.50
0.50
1.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bentonit Ijevan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bentonit Ijevan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.00
1.14
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
0.82
0.90
1.00
0.58
0.67
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.25
1.50
1.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bentonit Ijevan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik's squad is €1m more valuable than Bentonit Ijevan's (€1m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Bentonit Ijevan have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Andranik and Bentonit Ijevan have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Andranik and Bentonit Ijevan have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympia Yerevan
BKMA II
Pyunik II
Mika
Lernayin Artsakh
Banants II
Noah II
Araks Ararat
Shirak II
Sardarapat 2
Ararat-Armenia II
Hayq
Ararat II