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Andranik vs Nikarm Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 5-0
Andranik
Andranik
Vs
61%
21%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nikarm
Nikarm
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Andranik win✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nikarm win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L10W22D00D32W06L01L03L30W16LH·ARA05/08A·ARA14/08H·NOA21/08A·BAN25/08H·PYU31/08A·GAN14/09H·ONO22/09A·BKM27/09H·MIK01/10A·LER18/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.201.601.400.403.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (5)0.601.801.001.500.332.00
vs Weaker (4)1.752.502.001.331.006.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-818L15L64W02L01L15L13L32WH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08A·BKM17/09H·MIK22/09H·SHI20/10
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
3.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.623.752.203.600.674.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.50--0.503.50
vs Similar (5)2.204.002.503.751.005.00
vs Weaker (1)1.003.001.003.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.0%
Under 2.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
Andranik goals ↓
Nikarm goals →
01234
03.5%2.6%2.1%0.9%0.3%
15.6%8.8%5.0%2.1%0.7%
27.5%9.4%5.9%2.5%0.8%
35.9%7.4%4.6%1.9%0.6%
43.5%4.4%2.7%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Andranik goals (down), columns = Nikarm goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Gandzasar
2.64
BKMA II
2.25
Syunik
2.22
Lernayin Artsakh
2.07
Banants II
1.50
Andranik
1.46
Noah II
1.39
Ararat-Armenia II
1.39
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.18
Ararat II
1.14
Pyunik II
1.07
Mika
0.61
Onor
0.59
Nikarm
0.43
Andranik is 1.04 points better than Nikarm in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 0.43).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.89
Gandzasar
2.46
Lernayin Artsakh
2.21
Syunik
2.19
Noah II
1.89
Ararat II
1.86
Banants II
1.82
Pyunik II
1.79
Ararat-Armenia II
1.71
Alashkert II
1.64
Shirak II
1.46
Andranik
1.32
Nikarm
0.96
Onor
0.85
Mika
0.75
Andranik is 0.36 goals better than Nikarm in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 0.96).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Gandzasar
0.61
Syunik
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.96
BKMA II
1.11
Banants II
1.21
Noah II
1.36
Ararat-Armenia II
1.46
Andranik
1.46
Ararat II
1.68
Alashkert II
1.75
Shirak II
1.79
Pyunik II
2.04
Mika
2.14
Onor
3.04
Nikarm
4.36
Andranik is 2.89 goals better than Nikarm in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 4.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D21W00D21W02L01L01L20W14LH·ARA05/08A·ARA14/08H·NOA21/08A·BAN25/08H·PYU31/08A·GAN14/09H·ONO22/09A·BKM27/09H·MIK01/10A·LER18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.001.200.600.201.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.400.801.001.000.000.67
vs Weaker (4)1.251.251.330.331.004.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikarmNikarm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L11D32W00D01L10W10WH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08H·MIK22/09H·SHI20/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.291.001.600.500.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (5)1.001.801.002.001.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AndranikAndranik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W01L00D11D04L00D02L10W02LH·ARA05/08A·ARA14/08H·NOA21/08A·BAN25/08H·PYU31/08A·GAN14/09H·ONO22/09A·BKM27/09H·MIK01/10A·LER18/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.200.400.800.201.60
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (5)0.201.000.000.500.331.33
vs Weaker (4)0.501.250.671.000.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikarm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikarmNikarm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L32W02L00D03L22DH·NOA06/08A·BAN15/08H·PYU21/08A·GAN25/08H·ONO30/08H·MIK22/09H·SHI20/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.862.291.202.000.003.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (5)1.202.201.501.750.004.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikarm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (25)
€3m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (8)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAN (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AND wins
0
Draws
0
NIK wins

Head-to-head

Andranik vs Nikarm · H/A from AND
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

AndranikAndranik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/23ALernayin Artsakh Vs AND6-1
01/10/23HAND Vs Mika3-0
27/09/23ABKMA II Vs AND3-0
22/09/23HAND Vs Onor0-1
14/09/23AGandzasar Vs AND6-0
31/08/23HAND Vs Pyunik II3-2
25/08/23ABanants II Vs AND0-0
21/08/23HAND Vs Noah II2-2
14/08/23AArarat II Vs AND0-1
05/08/23HAND Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-2

NikarmNikarm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/23HNIK Vs Shirak II3-2
22/09/23HNIK Vs Mika1-3
17/09/23ABKMA II Vs NIK5-1
30/08/23HNIK Vs Onor0-1
25/08/23AGandzasar Vs NIK2-0
21/08/23HNIK Vs Pyunik II6-4
15/08/23ABanants II Vs NIK5-1
06/08/23HNIK Vs Noah II1-8

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Andranik
Andranik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.10
HomeLDWLW1.40
AwayWDLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.203.003.40
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.001.600.40
Conceded2.201.403.00
BTTS30%40%20%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Nikarm
Nikarm
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.75
HomeLWLLW1.20
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%40%0%
AVG goals5.385.804.67
Over 1.5 %88%80%100%
Over 2.5 %75%80%67%
Over 3.5 %75%80%67%
Scored1.622.200.67
Conceded3.753.604.00
BTTS75%80%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GandzasarGandzasar2874
86%
2.6
6917+52
3.1
82%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II2863
71%
2.2
8131+50
4.0
93%
79%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.1
-
3SyunikSyunik2760
70%
2.2
5924+35
3.1
70%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.20.9
-
4Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2858
64%
2.1
6227+35
3.2
86%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Banants IIBanants II2842
36%
1.5
5134+17
3.0
75%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
6AndranikAndranik2841
43%
1.5
3741-4
2.8
75%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.5
-
7Noah IINoah II2839
39%
1.4
5338+15
3.2
79%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
8Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II2839
39%
1.4
4841+7
3.2
82%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9Alashkert IIAlashkert II2837
36%
1.3
4649-3
3.4
75%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Shirak IIShirak II2833
36%
1.2
4150-9
3.2
71%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Ararat IIArarat II2832
32%
1.1
5247+5
3.5
79%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
12Pyunik IIPyunik II2830
32%
1.1
5057-7
3.8
82%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
13MikaMika2817
14%
0.6
2160-39
2.9
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
14OnorOnor2716
15%
0.6
2382-59
3.9
78%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
15NikarmNikarm2812
14%
0.4
27122-95
5.3
86%
79%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.4
-
Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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