Andranik vs Noah II Result & Analysis

A high-scoring encounter is expected as both sides have shown a propensity to trade goals, with the model projecting an average of 3.2 goals. The most likely total is three, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.7% chance. Home side Andranik, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded, while Noah II, on the road, averages 1.62 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. The model favours a home win, assigning a 39% probability to that outcome, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 36% chance of an away win. In addition to the match result, the model offers a selection for Over 1.5 goals with an 83.3% probability, noting that the edge percentage is 83.3. The recent form shows Andranik coming off a defeat, whereas Noah II follows a win, adding context to the predicted outcome.

The upset came as Andranik, the pre-match favourite with a 39% probability of victory, fell short, losing 1-2 to Noah II. The model’s call was wrong, yet its single suggested pick - Over 1.5 goals at 83.3% - hit, confirming a high-scoring affair. Andranik, fresh from a 1-4 defeat to Olympia Yerevan, had a recent run of LWWWW, while Noah II, after a 2-1 win over Sardarapat 2, posted a WLDLW streak. The final score of 1-2 matched the model’s most likely 1-2 outcome, but the home side’s 39% win chance proved insufficient. The match delivered more goals than the 3.2 expected total, with the 1-2 result underscoring the unpredictability of the First League.